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National Seminar “The Challenges of Building a Disaster Resilient India” Retrospect and Prospect of Sustainable Development in Promoting Resilience Concept of Carrying Capacity Based Planning Process National Civil Defense College, Nagpur November 13, 2013 Dr. Tapan Chakrabarti Emeritus Scientist National Environmental Engineering Research Institute Nehru Marg, Nagpur–440 020 Disaster Resilience calls for Adopting the spirit of sustainable development in all ventures having environmental consequences The planning process should be carrying capacity based Preparedness for disaster mitigation and management Public awareness programmes for stakeholders and their roles in disaster management Preamble A growing wave of global environmentalism is forcing technology companies to produce greener products through greener processes. Sustainable growth demands that tech companies should take steps both to expand the number of green-oriented products they produce and to reduce heavy environmental footprint. For the technology industries at large, going green requires transformation along virtually every step of every value chain. Synonyms Environmental technology (abbreviated as envirotech) or green technology (abbreviated as greentech) or clean technology (abbreviated as cleantech) is the application of the environmental science and green chemistry to conserve the natural environment and resources, and to curb the negative impacts of human involvement. Sustainable development is the core of environmental technologies. Background/ History… 1987 The Brundtland Commission… Sustainable Development = Development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs. Sustainable growth is a subset of sustainable development. 1992 The Rio Earth Summit… Agenda 21 - Action Plan/ “Blueprint for Sustainable Development” (40 chapters, 300 pages) Chapter 36: Promoting Education, Public Awareness and Training The Sustainability “Stool” Education for Sustainable Development Global Sustainability Resource / Energy consumption One Billion Consumes 80% Five Billion Consumes 20% Unsustainable level Carrying capacity Sustainable level Quality of Life The green technology must also encompass certain sound ecological principles: Protection of ecosystem Biodiversity conservation Carbon capture and sequestration Environment and health security. Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) in Coal Mining The reasons for corporate environmental and social reporting are rooted in Agenda 21, adopted by the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development at Rio in 1992. This calls for a number of actions by industry to work towards sustainable development. For example, principle 10 promotes the disclosure of environmental performance information by industry. Increased and concerted global efforts have been underway since 1998 beginning with the formation of Global Mining Initiative (GMI) and the subsequent design of Mines, Minerals and Sustainable Development Project supported by nine major mining companies. It can be generally assumed that Corporate Social Responsibility can be a part of long-term strategy of an enterprise in which high profits and ethical business conduct, as well as high safety standards and wellbeing of the employees can be reconciled. The concept of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) includes elements pertaining to both environmental and social issues as well as those connected to employees’ health safety and life. In India, which is the third biggest producer of hard coal in the world (after China and the USA), the environmental situation is very bad. Mining has caused displacement, pollution, forest degradation and social unrest. Additionally, the number of people is growing. The increasing economic development and a rapidly growing population that has taken the country from 300 million people in 1947 to more than 1.2 billion people today is putting a strain. In 2011, India has been ranked as seventh most environmentally hazardous country in the world (Brazil was the worst on environmental indicators, United States second worst, China – third) (http://www.gits4u.com/envo). Hence the Union government in India is considering to make it mandatory for coal mining companies to spend a part of their net profit on the welfare of local people affected by the activities. It is possible that government will make spending on Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) by companies mandatory in the bidding policy (www.businessstandard.com, 2012). Some of the core issues, which the company should deal with, are: (a) Rehabilitation and Compensation issues should be dealt with equitably. The company should provide all infrastructure facilities to the rehabilitation colony. They should also take into consideration the plight of landless households. (b) Proper care of environmental quality. Concerns about air pollution, water pollution and degradation, lands and forests should be given proper emphasis. (c) The company should invest in improving human and physical capital of the region. Education, basic amenities, health care, training opportunities should be provided not only to the employee’s family but for the community as a whole. (d) Issues of post-mine closure like unemployment, income potential, migration, environmental clean up should be discussed much in advance. (e) Effective administration, rule enforcement and accountability should be keywords in the process of rehabilitation as well the functioning of the mines. Environmental Clearance Out of 239 mines in CIL, which existed prior to 1994, including 48 open cast mines, 170 underground mines and 21 combined mines were found to be working without environmental clearance," the CAG said in a report on corporate social responsibility of the company. In order to arrest depletion of ground water level as a result of coal mining, subsidiaries may take up rainwater harvesting. Independent safety audit of every mine should invariably be conducted at a frequency of two years as suggested by the safety committee of CIL. All subsidiaries may maintain computerized database of medical history of employees. Initiatives should be undertaken in areas impacting environment. However, activities like backfilling, land reclamation, preservation of top soil and plantation of trees and other environmental issues need to be identified to meet the challenge of increasing coal production from 324 million tonnes in 2004-05 to 782 million tonnes . Currently, CSR practices are dictated by guidelines notified by the ministry of corporate affairs in December 2009. These are, however, voluntary. Under these, business entities formulate their own CSR Policy, approved by the company’s board. The guidelines state that companies “should” allocate specific amounts in their budgets for CSR activities. “This amount may be related to profits after tax, cost of planned CSR activities or any other suitable parameter,” the guidelines state. Issues involved are: •Extending safety initiatives to an expanded portfolio of mines, with the goal of achieving a perfect record at every one of mines each and every year •Supporting initiatives that promise to enhance further the science of land reclamation and water protection •Investing in advanced coal technologies that can help make coal use cleaner and more climate friendly •Continuing to search out new ways to make the communities around coal mines stronger, more successful and better prepared for the future. The biggest advantage with coal mining is the possibility of practicing development of ecological capital. Possibility also exists in Generation of quality natural resources (timber/biomass/fuel) Protection of loose soil generated during mining operation from erosion vis-à-vis soil conservation Protection and improvement in biodiversity through phytoremediation vis-à-vis biodiversity conservation Remediation of contaminated site Carbon capture and storage. PLANT SPECIES FOR PHYTOREMEDIATION To identify plant populations with the ability to accumulate heavy metals, 300 accessions of 30 plant species were tested in hydroponics for 4 weeks, having moderate levels of Cd, Cu and Zn. The results indicate that many Brasssica spp. such as B. juncea L., B. juncea L. Czern, B. napus L. and B. rapa L. exhibited moderately enhanced Zn and Cd accumulation. They were also found to be most effective in removing Zn from the contaminated soils. To date, more than 400 plant species have been identified as metal hyperaccumulators, representing less than 0.2% of all angiosperms. The plant species that have been identified for remediation of soil include either high biomass plants such as willow or those that have low biomass but high hyperaccumulating characteristics such as Thlaspi and Arabidopsis species. On worldwide basis, the number of species identified to have ability to accumulate one or more metals >1000 mg/kg dry weight has been listed. Protection of Ecosystem Concept of Carrying Capacity In 1798, an English clergyman named Thomas Malthus made a dire prediction: He said the earth could not indefinitely support an everincreasing human population. The planet, he said, would check population growth through famine if humans didn't check themselves. The maximum number of individuals that can be supported sustainably by a given environment is known as its ‘carrying capacity’. For most nonhuman species, the concept is quite simple. If carrying capacity is exceeded, the population declines because its environment can no longer support the excess numbers. Another case where a human community is believed to have exceeded its carrying capacity is that of the Mayans. It appears that population pressure forced them to cultivate more and more marginal land, leading to a reduction of carrying capacity in their ecosystem. The forest land was not amenable to long-term intense cultivation, leading to topsoil erosion on a large scale. This in turn led to conflict between Mayan cities to compete for land which inevitably could not support the rising populations; conflict and gradual collapse of their society ensued. Protection of ecosystem can be ensured through: Adoption of carrying capacity based planning process Avoidance of activities which may lead to irreversible ecological damage Maintaining environmental flow in rivers Ensuring health security Protection of ecosystem Carrying capacity based planning process The concept of carrying capacity implies that improvement of the quality of life is possible only when the pattern and level of production-consumption activities are compatible with the capacities of the natural environment as well as with social preference The carrying capacity based planning process thus involves the integration of social expectations and ecological capabilities and aims not only at environment harmony but also at long term sustainability of the natural resource base and economic efficiency in resource utilization vital for ensuring sustainable development. Concept of Carrying Capacity For human society, carrying capacity can be defined as the maximum rate of resource consumption and waste discharge that can be sustained indefinitely in a defined planning region without progressively impairing the bioproductivity and ecological integrity. Carrying capacity is ultimately determined by the single vital resource or function in least supply. Working within the limits of carrying capacity does not, however, preclude some unavoidable environmental damage in the course of development. Contd... Concept of Carrying Capacity The carrying capacity based planning process involves the integration of societal expectations and ecological capabilities by minimizing differentials between realized and desired supply/demand patterns, infrastructure congestion patterns, resource availability/ resource use patterns, and assimilative capacity/residual patterns. Given certain flow of resources, the carrying capacity based planning process uses various modeling and analytical techniques to estimate changes in carrying capacity indicators, and makes trade offs like changes in technology and pricing pattern, changes in environmental system structures, changes in socially acceptable capacity levels, and control of exogenous forcing functions. Elements of Carrying Capacity Economic Progress Quality of Life Targets for Minimum Basic needs Maximum Benefits Output Activities Strategies for Meeting Targets Optimum Exploitation Inputs Wastes Residuals Resources Environment Available Fiscal Resources Available Resources Supportive Capacity Assimilative Capacity Natural resources Transformational resources Infrastructural resources Socio-cultural resources Carrying Capacity A : Top-down Planning Process B: Concept of Regional Carrying Capacity C: Bottom-up Planning Process Assimilative Capacity of Air Environment Meteorology (Met) Emission Inventory (EI) Air Quality Modeling Calibration Ambient Air Quality (AAQ) of model Estimation of Assimilative Capacity (All Study Regions) Development of Assimilative Capacity Estimation Methodology Development of Assimilative Capacity Based Standards National Environmental Assimilative Capacity Information System Assimilative Capacity of Water Environment Hydrography (Hydro) Wastewater Pollution Loads (WWPL) Water Quality Modeling Calibration of model Water Quality (WQ) Estimation of Assimilative Capacity (All Study Regions) Development of Assimilative Capacity Estimation Methodology Development of Assimilative Capacity Based Standards National Environmental Assimilative Capacity Information System Linking Carrying Capacity Based Planning Process with CSR The following is a rationale for establish a link between carrying capacity and CSR to illustrate the cause and effect nature of the various stages. These issues should be addressed one step at a time. • Growth is inevitable and market forces are already at work. • Growth will require /generate water, wastewater, and transportation infrastructure. • Adequate / suitable infrastructure that is adaptable to sustained growth will require advanced facility planning. Advanced facility planning requires advanced regional planning and growth projections • Regional land use planning and growth projections must meet the needs and desires of the public • Broad public support is essential to the success of regional planning efforts. Support from property owners, cities, and states will be crucial. • In order to address the needs and desires of the public, there must be an extensive public involvement process that establishes a vision and appropriate goals. • In order to execute an extensive public involvement process, all relevant data, including previous studies, economic and demographic data, environmental features, and other base conditions must be gathered and analyzed. The final study report will provide comprehensive analysis, recommendations, and a suitable implementation plan to carry out the recommendations that arise throughout the study process. Waste Management Technology Wastewater Treatment (Physico-Chemical, Biological, Biotechnology, Tertiary treatment) Environmental Materials Solid Waste Management (Composting, Biomethanation, Syngas) Remediation & Restoration (Bio & Phytoremediation, Active Oxidation Process) (Catalysis, Adsorbents, Sensors, Nano-materials) Waste Management Technology Separation Technology (Solvents & Resins, Electrochemical & Phyrochemical, Membrane Science & Technology) Hazardous Waste Management Waste Minimization (Cleaner & Greener Technology, Recycle/Reuse/Recover) (Thermal destruction, Containment, Recycle/Reuse/Recover) Biomedical Waste Management (Disinfection & Certification, Waste to Energy) Waste Reduction Plans Focus on 9 Rs Restore Reduce Renew Recover Recycle Reuse Rethink Replenish Replace “An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure” Benjamin Franklin Resilience and Environmental Disaster The word "resilience" at this conference is the ability of a community confronted by environmental disasters to resist damage and to recover rapidly. Some types of disasters, like severe floods, and land slides in hilly areas, can cause profound and lasting ecological change, particularly when the underlying ecosystem has been stressed by other occurrences such as overwhelming of the carrying capacity of the affected region, inadequate flood control systems, deforestation, and a warming climate Planning for community resilience to environmental disasters needs to give greater consideration to the potentials for response and recovery contributions available through local-level, informal social capital networks, as well as from the more formal policy and planning channels. To demonstrate the potential for mobilizing social capital resources to aid disaster response and recovery, a micro level examination of the social capital mobilization process must be thoroughly examined. Uttarakhand Disaster The National Institute of Disaster Management (NIDM), in one of its first reports on the Uttarakhand floods, has blamed “climatic conditions combined with haphazard human intervention” in the hills for the disaster. the abnormally high amount of rain (more than 400 per cent) in the hill state was caused by the fusion of Westerlies with the monsoonal cloud system. Heavy precipitation swelled rivers, both in the upstream as well as downstream areas. Besides the rain water, a huge quantity of water was probably released from melting of ice and glaciers due to high temperatures during the month of May and June. The water not only filled up the lakes and rivers that overflowed but also may have caused breaching of moraine dammed lakes in the upper reaches of the valley, particularly during the late evening on June 16 and on June 17 causing the disaster. The area has been denuded to a great extent due to deforestation and tree cutting for road construction, and other activities such as building construction, mining and hydel projects. It has also resulted in increased surface flow and rise of river bed due to disposal of debris in the rivers. PM Urges Authorities to Improve Disaster Management System In view of the recent disaster management operations in Odisha, Andhra Pradesh and Uttarakhand, Prime Minister of India Manmohan Singh has asked at the opening of the fifth meeting of the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) held on October 28,2013 that the central and state authorities use the experience to improve management of disasters in the future. He said the country’s disaster management must quickly improve its capabilities and devise disaster risk reduction strategies, as part of the country's mainstream developmental programmes and policies and strengthen and modernize the early working systems. “ With the increasing frequency of natural and humaninduced disasters and the increasing magnitude of their consequences, a clear need exists for governments and communities to become more resilient. A National Discussion must address the importance of resilience, discuss different challenges and approaches for building resilience, and outlined steps for implementing resilience efforts in communities and within government. Launching a National Conversation on Disaster Resilience appears necessary. WIHG meteorological observatory at Chorabari Glacier camp recorded 210 mm rainfall in 12 hours between 15 June (5:00 p.m.) and 16 June (5:00 a.m.). On 16 June 2013 alone (from 5:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m.), 115 mm rainfall was recorded, causing 325 mm rain in 24 hours. The Chorabari Lake is a snow melt and rain fed lake, located about 2 km upstream of Kedarnath town which is approximately 400 m long, 200 m wide having a depth of 15–20 m. The bursting of this lake led to its complete draining within 5–10 min as reported by the watch and ward staff of the Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology (WIHG) who were present in WIHG camp at Chorabari Glacier on 16 June and early morning of 17 June 2013. The heavy rainfall together with melting of snow in the surrounding Chorabari Lake washed off both the banks of the Mandakini River causing massive devastation to the Kedarnath town.”