Transcript Slide 1
PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR POST CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION OPERATIONS Ensuring a Comprehensive Approach Presentation by Clare Lockhart RUSI, 31 October 2006 © Agora Support for Post Conflict Operations The only sustainable way to achieve long term, sustainable security across the world is if each nation state provides its own security: the West cannot afford to police the Rest Stability comes not through repression, but through establishment of legitimate institutions Order comes through creation of bonds of trust between citizen and state: each citizen must see a path to social and economic mobility This requires that state institutions are built and national governments assume responsibility to provide a range of services and functions for their citizens © Agora Constraints in Our Current Response The current organizational forms and practices are not up to our current challenges: Silos of politics, security, development and humanitarian organizations hinder and fragment effective action on the ground Non-state provision of traditional state services: through development and humanitarian actors which substitute for and therefore undermine state, market and civil institutions Lack of harmonization: Domestic legal frameworks ignored: thousands of uncoordinated projects fragment rule of law Lack of predictability in flows of resources: resources flow through dozens of donors, on short time horizons and differing budget years: reconciliation of these not possible within a single budget framework Outcome: fragmentation, chaos, no coherent strategy © Agora Constraints in our current approach The military solution: Limits to the use of force The aid solution: Failure of the aid system to deliver The government solution: The right of use and abuse The non-state actor solution: Taliban, Hamas, Hezbollah etc © Agora The user perspective Story of state undermining in Afghanistan: 2002 vs 2005 Military costs $15bn in Afghanistan: support to aid system $3bn; international support to Afghanistan’s budget $200m. While professed goal is “state-building” allocation of resources to other objectives. In 2002, refusal to finance government budget ($20m vs $2bn): refusal to finance government buildings ($40m: not “poverty reducing”: as Afghanistan Stabilization Program: “too dangerous”) Pity the poor finance minister 40 donors, 70% of time spent coordinating external assistance Pity the poor governor $20m vs $2bn- mismatch in resources, therefore capability, authority and legitimacy Pity the poor citizen Allegiances to donors, with accountability mechanisms in place Complex games played at multiple levels: centrifugal forces that fragment power, authority and accountability © Agora An alternative approach New form of partnership based on co-production Different timelines Different instruments © Agora Framework for Failed State Reconstruction State Effectiveness Initiative set up in 2005 Series of Frameworks derived from theoretical and practical analysis: Constitute an integrated approach to state-building Recognizing the sovereignty deficit Agreeing on functions of the state Building a sovereignty index Creating sovereignty strategies Successive validation and refinements: Greentree Estate conference September 2005, African Development Bank, World Bank, UN, Government leaders, academic community Recently piloted at Operation Strong Angel III Application on the ground in Afghanistan, Sudan, Nepal, Lebanon © Agora A state-building strategy © Agora The ten functions of the state Monopoly on the legitimate means of violence Administration and information management Public finances Human capital Rights and responsibilities of citizens Infrastructure services Market regulation Natural and physical assets (environment, land, culture, natural resources) International relations (treaties, public borrowing, national image) Rule of law © Agora Afghanistan 2001-4 Defining the problem: A state that lacks internal and external legitimacy Goal: To create a stable and prosperous Afghanistan that serves its citizens and fulfils its international obligations 3 Scenarios: Stalled Development/Lenin Tango Narco-mafia State Prosperous and stable Afghanistan © Agora Three scenarios Stalled development Collapse © Agora New nation Afghanistan Mechanisms: Political process: Bonn Agreement, Loya Jirga Constitution- providing rule of law with cascading laws, procedures and protocols Presidential elections Strategic partnership: Karzai Tokyo Speech National Development Framework Afghanistan Development Forum, Berlin conference Afghan Compact © Agora Afghanistan National Programs A vehicle for implementation of strategy Partnership with military strategic planners to define programs to meet the end-goal, for example, to create: Afghanistan National Army, A road network, Telecommunications, Public Finance, National Solidarity Program National Emergency Employment Program Steady momentum: one new program every six months © Agora Military Planning in Afghanistan PHASE 1 ANA provides a safe & secure environment 1.1.1-8 01. Capacity-building of CND complete, establish CNPA offices in each province as well as border control posts 02. Continue alternative livelihood programmes 03. Continue eradication programmes(law enforcement) 04. Continue intelligence, investigative and interdiction programmes(law enforcement) 05. Invest in basic demand reduction services and facilities Action plans developed to eliminate the threat to Internal Security posed by the cultivation of illicit crops 1.1.2-3 Threat to Internal Security from illicit crops constrained 1.1.2-5 01. Reduce staffing levels of CND 02. CND refocused on recurrence of cultivation 03. Continue alternative livelihood programmes 04. Maintain basic demand reduction programmes Threat from illicit crops eliminated, and an environment free from the destabilizing influence of 1.1.2-8 Narcotics Threat to Internal Security from illicit crops diminished 1.1.2-7 1.1.2-6 1.1.2-4 2.4-4 01. Implement regional demobilization and disarmament, including 1.2-4 cantonment of heavy weapons 2.4-4 02. Coordinate reintegration amongst all implementing partners, Afghan and International 1.1.3-4 1.1.3-3 01. Alternative employment found for all identified officers and soldiers of AMF and Militias 02. Identify remaining AMF units and Militias yet to be dismantled 03. Solicit International Community funding for continued support 1.1.3-6 Credible National Law Enforcement Agencies that can enforce the Laws of Afghanistan, and are earning the confidence of the AF people 01. Continue to enhance law enforcement capabilities 01.1 Undertake an independent functional evaluation of the AF National Police Service 02. Secure INTERPOL membership 02.1. Secure membership in applicable international police associations 1.1.4-6 Threat to Internal Security from Militia Groups eliminated All Militia Groups Dismantled 1.1.3-8 1.2-7 1.1.3-7 1.1.4 - 1 01. Continue to promote the enhancement of police rehabilitation to the national and international community 01.1. Work to ensure that a multi-ethnic and mixed-gender police service continues to function. 01.2. Ensure all civilian law enforcement agencies meet international professional standards – seek accreditation. 01.3. Promote the benefits of a Professional Standards Branch. 01.4. Promote the benefits of a Public Complaints Commission. 01.5.Initiate On the Job training 02. Ensure institutional, legislative and operational requirements for effective civilian police and judicial cooperation in law enforcement are in place 03. Rehabilitate State Office of Criminal Investigation 04. Complete MOI civil service rehabilitation 05. Invest in Police Reform initiatives 1.1.4-4 05.1 Streamlining of the organization 05.2 Records keeping 05.3 Administrative reform 05.4 Financial reforms An ethnically diverse and representative National Law Enforcement structure established 1.1.4-3 1.1.4.5 Confident, capable, fully integrated National Law Enforcement Agencies respected in Afghan society and by the International Community Professional National Law Enforcement Agencies established that conforms to international standards 1.1.4-7 1.1.4-8 1.1.4-2 01. Promote multi-ethnic representation in the NDS leadership 02. Realign NDS functions to remove police functions, and disassociated with police organizations 03. Develop clear structure and division of responsibilities within NDS 03.1 Establish branches that report directly to Director (Counter-Narcotics, Counter-Terrorism, and Organized Crime) 04. Establish Governmental Security Board control of the NDS Multi-ethnic leadership within NDS loyal to ATA and accountable to political 1.1.5-3 leadership 01. Implement laws to de-couple NDS from military and has 3.3 no police powers. -4 1.1.5-4 NDS subject to legislative and judicial control, with no police powers 1.1.5.5 Reformed NDS that complies with internationally accepted norms 01. Governmental Security Board effective control of the NDS. 1.1.5.6 Efficient and legitimate NDS 1.1.5.7 1.1.5.8 1.1.5-2 1.1.6-1 National strategy in place and effective, mine action capability with donor community support established 1.1.6-3 01. Transfer of de-mining responsibility from UNMACA to a national agency 02. Continue to ensure the donor community remains committed to the MAPA 03. Take measures to comply with the Ottawa Treaty 03.1 Continue stockpile destruction 04. Continue to integrate mine risk education into the community structures Known mine and UXOs areas cleared Threat of the land mines and UXOs has been removed, thereby creating a safe environment for continued development All rural and urban areas cleared 01. Complete clearance and destruction of mines 02. Become signatory of Ottawa Treaty 1.1.6-6 1.1.6-7 1.1.6-5 1.1.6-4 1.1.6-8 Mine Action [6.2] Mine Action [1.1.6] Afghanistan is contaminated with landmines and unexploded ordnance with unknown contamination totally approx 800sqkm of which 160sqkm of land affects high-impacted communities 01. Continue to implement the Mine Action Centre for Afghan (MACA) strategic plan 02. Ensure the donor community remains committed to the Mine Action Programme for Afghanistan (MAPA) 03. Develop and instill values of safety, excellence, efficiency, effectiveness and sustainability to comply with International Mine Action Standards (IMAS) 04. Develop and implement Afghan Mine Actions Standards and other policies and procedures in line with IMAS 05. Develop appropriate systems, processes and structures for Mine Action in Afghanistan 06. Coordinate Mine Action advocacy and awareness in Afghanistan 07. Lead and assist in resource mobilization, aiming for the programme to be fully funded until 2012 08. Facilitate transition to a national programme by 2005 Intelligence Service (National Directorate for Security - NDS)[1.1.5] Intelligence Service (National Directorate for Security - NDS) [1.1.5] Ethnically unbalanced NDS officially answerable to ATA but strongly influenced by warlords and local power. Corrupt and not trustworthy 1.1.5 - 1 DEVELOPMENT 01. Legislate/Define the Afghan policing model 01.1. Accelerate administrative changes of MOI 01.2. Accelerate establishment of special branches of the Police (counter narcotics, organized crime, crime scene investigation, riot police, criminal intelligence, highway patrol, crime laboratory and other specialized units). 02. Invest in a National Police Academy 02.1 Establish an Afghan Police code of conduct 03. Accelerate momentum of police training and capacity building 04. Determine funding requirements / sources (Law and Order Trust Fund for Afghanistan (LOFTA)) 04.1 Provide equipment/weapons/ uniforms/vehicles/communications 04.2 Renew / build infrastructure 04.3 Establish Pay system 05. Support synergy with judicial reform programmes 05.1 Encourage co-operation between police, prosecutors and courts 06. Enhance public awareness of police rehabilitation 07. Promote the benefits of recruiting standards for police officers that reflect cultural and gender diversity 07.1 Intrusively monitor diversity recruitment and training programme 08. Promote the benefits of an independent civilian oversight committee on police services 09. Invest in the Model District Programme Police Structure [1.1.4] Police not sufficiently trained, poorly equipped, ineffective against criminality, partially corrupted and not trustworthy. Lack of infrastructures Secure Environment [1] Dismantling of Militia Groups and Resettlement of ExCombatants ongoing with International Community 1.1.3-5 support Internal Security Threat [1.1] Conditions established for the dismantling of Militia Groups and the Resettlement of ExCombatants into civilian life 1.1.3-2 A safe and secure environment for all Afghans (1.0) 01. Develop a National DDR Strategy for AMF and derivative militias, for all of Afghanistan 01.1. Produce sequencing plan for ANBP 01.2. Ensure synchronization and coordination between linked agencies 01.3. Approve and sanction regional decommissioning 1.2-2 recommendations 01.4. Provide coordinated political support and pressures as required 01.5. Instil confidence in communities that DDR steps have led to peace and stability 02. Develop National Strategy for Containment of Heavy Weapons 03. Develop Demobilization Strategy for AMF Commanders 04. Develop reintegration packages for ex-combatants 03 Explore linkages with Private Sector (for ex-combatants to take advantage of economic opportunities generated) 05. Invest in Veteran (and family) long term support programmes 01.1 ATA maintains ANA 02. ANA reaches national force targets 03. ANA conducts own training/running own Colleges & 1.1 6 Academies 1.1-5 Disarmament, Demobilization Reintegration (1.1.3) Afghan National Police/Border Police [1.1.4] Internal Security Threat [1.1] Dismantling of all Militias/quasi-Military Forces[1.1.3] The security situation across parts of Afghanistan has deteriorated significantly. There remains a continued presence of destabilizing forces, both internal and external 1.1.6-2 Neighboring countries used as secure havens. Support to individual parties, tribes and warlords that serve to fragment AF along ethnic, religious and political lines. Drug economy, smuggling between AF and neighboring countries. Inability to control cross border movement. 1.2 - 1 01. Apply pressure on signatories to Kabul Declarations on GoodNeighbourly Relations 02. Enforce controls on the movement of people across national borders 03. Enforce border customs in support of regional political stability and international economic well-being 04. Facilitate greater regional cooperation through trade agreements and other initiatives 05. Monitor regional influences to safe and secure external environment 06. International agreement on recognized borders Bi-lateral relations with neighboring countries established 01. Continue enforcement of border crossings 02. Engage in dialogue with neighbouring countries on matters of mutual concern 1.2-3 Bi-lateral relations assist with regional stability and helps to secure Afghanistan’s borders 1.2-4 1.2-5 01. Continue to monitor regional influences to safe and secure external environment 02. Continue bi-lateral discussions 03. Create forum for discussions on Regional Stability 1.2-6 1.2-7 2.4-7 2.4-7 Afghanistan’s Sovereignty respected and Regional Stability achieved through secure borders Afghanistan restored to its rightful place in the community 3.3 - 8 of nations 1.2-8 1.2-7 1.2-8 1.2-2 2.1-1 Free and fair elections conducted under supervision of International Community 01. Develop ATA capacity to administer elections 01.1 Monitor the implementation of legislation and police violations 01.2 Develop capacity building of the national election institutions 02. Transform the JEMB into an Independent Afghan Electoral Body 03. International Community provide expert advice as required ATA able to conduct free and fair elections with results recognized by International Community 01. Allow international monitoring of elections administration. 02. Administer all aspects of the elections. 03. Implement election results. 2.1-6 2.1-3 Framework in place for routinely conducted elections 2.1-7 2.1 - 5 2.1-4 Free and fair execution of elections and transfer of power 2.1-8 Elections [2.1] ATA Elections [2.1] ATA does not have the capacity to independently conduct its own election at any level or ensure a peaceful transfer of power 01. Build the framework for elections 01.1 Establish a Joint Election Management Body (JEMB) 01.2 Create a coordinated plan 01.3 Complete Voter Registration 01.4 Provide Provisional Rules and Regulations 01.5 Promote an understanding of the benefits of free and fair elections 01.6 Enact laws on political party financing and conflict of interest 01.7 Communicate details of election 01.8 Assure public security to conduct elections including freedom of movement of candidates and where the voters are free from coercive powers 02. Proactively assist with the ongoing implementation of election results and transfer of power 03. Enact the Election Law External Security Threat [1.2] External Security Threat [1.2] FACILITATE Secure Environment [1] There are a significant number of AMF forces in contradiction to the Bonn Agreement. Removal of these forces will enhance the security situation. Further, as the ANA responsibilities increase, the risk on conflict/incident between ANA and AMF forces 1.1.3-1 Afghan National Army provides a safe and secure environment with International Community support 1.1.1-4 Afghan National Army fully developed and sustainable within Afghanistan without International Community support 1.1.1-7 NATIONAL 1.1.2-1 01. Establish ANA presence countrywide 02. Develop AAF airlift capacity 03. Decrease support from International Organizations 04. Disband AMF (linked to DDR) Afghan National Army structure established and can project its presence across the country 1.1.1-3 1.1.1-2 01. Immediate steps in National Drug Control Strategy (NDCS) undertaken (approved by President on 18 May 2003) 01.1. Invest in action plan to enforce National Drug Law adopted on 20 Oct 2003 01.2. Extend law enforcement throughout Afghanistan by providing national communications system for drug law enforcement 01.3. Invest in action plan to eliminate opium production put in place 01.4. Invest in action plan to provide alternative livelihoods 01.5. Invest in action plan for effective institutions by building capacity of Counter-Narcotics Directorate (CND), Counter-Narcotics Police Authority (CNPA) and Border Police through intensive training, careful; selection of qualified staff, and large scale capacity building efforts 01.6. Invest in action plan to provide prevention and treatment programmes for addicts 02. Set out provincial and local level actions 02.1. Draw up special tactical programmes 03. Establish Monitoring and evaluation programmes 1.1.2-2 END STATE PHASE 3 01. ATA assumes full control over ANA Counter Narcotics (1.1.2) Counter Narcotics [1.1.2] Afghanistan produces three-quarters of the world’s opium, Consumption of heroin in neighbouring and nearby countries is growing rapidly, stimulating further expansion of opium production in Afghanistan. The drug economy, which now comprises about ione-third of the total national economy, strengthens the forces that are opposed to national unity, state-building, and the rule of law in Afghanistan. Local and regional drug lords are becoming entrenched PHASE 2 01. Accelerate ANA recruiting, training and deployment processes 02. Co-ordinate AMF demobilization through DDR 03. Establish Key Academies (Officer & NCO) 04. Complete MOD civil service reduction 05. Complete MOD structural reforms (military) 06. Invest in modern equipment for ANA 07. Invest in ANA infrastructure development projects 08. Create AAF Internal Security Threat [1.1.1] Afghanistan National Army[1.1.1] Continued existence of destabilizing elements (Taliban, Al Qaida and Hezb-l Ismali) and radical Islamist groups that preach or practice violence. Continued presence of armed militias (units of the former Northern Front) waiting to be demobilized[. Security vacuum as a result of a fledging ANA unable to make itself felt countrywide. 1.1.1-1 2.1-2 01. Strengthen the capacity of executive and legislative officials at Central, provincial, district and local level 02. Build Civil Service and Support Structures for common institutions 03. Oversee of the funding streams to support the institutional laws enacted 04. Conduct independent non-partisan audits on all government agencies. 05. Support the transition of integrated efficient and representative governing structures 06. Dismantle all parallel and redundant institutions 07. Implement and sustain an expenditure management system 08. Develop and implement a public complaint system with mechanism for public input 09. Establish a Public Emergency Law for Constitutional compliance Free and self-determining accountable Islamic institutions enable environment for development and economic investment and builds public confidence 01. Complete free and self-determining Islamic institutions. 2.2-6 2.2-5 Free and self-determining accountable Islamic institution trusted by the population and justified by consistent and beneficial behaviour on the part of the Government A justice system which guarantees that the rights of citizens will be respected and protected before the law 2.2-8 2.2-7 2.2-4 Judicial reform enacted 2.3-3 01. Monitor the Judicial Reform 01.1 Evaluate formal courts 01.2 Consider enhancing traditional mechanisms in areas, such as procedures and sentences 01.3 Establish internal review process 01.4 Monitor efficiency of a court’s system (backlog of cases) and recommend adjustments 02. Reform Judicial Officials Selection Procedure 02.1 Provide funding to establish additional required institutions 02.2 Establish means for appointing or electing judges 03. Ensure effective implementation of Judicial Reform Laws 04. Establish judiciary discipline councils comprised of serving judges A judicial system responsive to the public 2.3-5 01. Oversee inter-cooperation among Supreme Court, High Courts, appeal Courts and work with Parliamentary Assemblies and relevant ministries to enact legislation 02. Court decisions recorded and referred to as precedents 03. Complete reconstruction of judicial apparatus in Provinces and Districts 04. Complete law revision 05. Court decisions reported to Human Rights organisation 2.3-6 Judicial cooperation between all courts and exchange of cases and recognition of judgments Judicial system established in accordance with Constitution and laws of Afghanistan 2.3-8 2.3-7 2.3-4 2.3-2 2.4-1 01. Establish and provide technical assistance to Afghan Independent Human Rights Commission (AIHRC) 02. Repeal and implement any discriminatory laws in accordance with the Constitution 02.1 Repeal any prosecution or forced displacement of minority groups 02.2 Abolish any means of political intimidation and ensure freedom of expression 02.3 Ensure safe and proper conditions for the return and reintegration of refugees 02.4 Promote human rights education and training 02.5 Eradicate forms of women’s discrimination 02.6 Promote laws that protect the rights of women and children 02.7 Enact laws relating to privacy rights and protection of personal information from illegal or unauthorized use 03. Pass laws on non-discrimination in employment and education 04. Fund Human Right Initiatives Functioning Afghan Independent Human Rights Commission with the capacity to address basic human rights services, under mentorship of International Community 01. Enact laws on balanced education and work envisaged in the Constitution. 02. Foster development of Human Right initiatives 03. Extend human rights education to all the population Functioning, Afghan Independent Human Rights Commission with the capacity to address human rights services 2.4-4 2.4-2 © Agora 01. Sustain laws on balanced education and work envisaged in the Constitution. 03. Continue fostering development of Human Rights initiatives Afghan Independent Human Rights Commission expanded throughout Afghanistan Human Rights entrenched in society 2.4-6 2.4-5 2.4-3 2.4-7 2.4 8 Human Rights [2.4] Human Rights [2.4] No autonomous Human Rights institutions with the capacity to safeguard basic human rights. State institutions inactive or non existing Islamic Republic Governance [2] 2.3-1 Judiciary [2.3] Requirement for international oversight programme for judicial rehabilitation. Lack of basic legal rights, no domestic justice system, no judicial commission 01. Enact judicial reform laws (Islamic, multi-ethnic, gender sensitive) and judicial framework in a manner consistent with the Constitution of Afghanistan and the principles of Islam, having due regard for Afghan culture and traditions 01.1 Establish and implement a Criminal Code 02.2 Establish and implement a Code for Juvenile Offenders 01.3 Establish and implement right to legal representation 01.4 Establish and implement professional legal code of ethics 01.5 Establish and implement a nationwide appellate system 01.6 Recruit magistrates 01.7 Define, establish and implement prerequisites for serving a a magistrate 02. Empower government with effective means to implement laws on courts and prosecution 02.1 Establish separate training for judges, prosecution and defence councils 02.2 Adopt legislation on transfer of legal material between courts 02.3 Ensure separation of judiciary from legislative and executive bodies of government 02.4 Ensure financial, tenure and administrative security of judges 02.5 Strengthen and fund Independent Commission for implementation of Constitution 02.6 Create and harmonize laws on conflict of interest, budget transparency and attorney client privilege 02.9 Invest in knowledge generation through law revision, compilation and dissemination, including jurisprudence from traditional courts and tribunals 03. Monitor and intervene in the implementation of the Judicial Selection Laws and the drafting of legislation relating to judicial rehabilitation. 03.1 Evaluate the current level of judicial performance 03.2 Monitor trials 04. Invest in legal education and research 05. Establish/re-establish key justice sector infrastructure 06. Adopt security arrangements for magistrates 07. Establish a Bar Association 08. Establish a law society with professional discipline powers FRAMEWORK 2.2-3 Afghanistan has established credible and functional free and selfdetermining institutions founded on Islamic principles Free and self-determining accountable Islamic institutions established and functioning with international support and assistance Free and self-determining Islamic institutions [2.2] 2.2-1 2.2-2 Judiciary [2.3] Islamic Republic Governance [2] NATIONAL Regional interests prevail; Afghanistan requires international intervention to conduct elections and has not yet established functioning democratic institutions [2] Free and self-determining Islamic Institutions [2.2] State institutions undermined by corrupt, undemocratic parallel institutions. A very poor standard of administration, transparency and accountability prevails throughout the public sector 01. Invest in rehabilitation of the Ministries, Civil Administration and State Agencies in a manner consistent with the Constitution of Afghanistan, the principles of Islam, having due regard for Afghan culture and traditions 01.1 Foster initiatives to enhance competence level of civil administrative staff 01.2 Create an advocacy for civil administration whistleblowers without fear of recrimination 01.3 Assist with evolution of organisation and function of ministry and civil institution in order to establish competency base lines 01.4 Provide adequate funding for Ministries 02. Extend governmental authority to all the country, enhancing its administrative capacity and delivering socio-economic benefits on a nationwide scale 02.1 Develop and implement a programme to promote the credibility and effectiveness of the government 03. Enact Laws in support of institutions 03.1 Survey Public Corporate Transparency Law and enhance as appropriate 03.2 Enhance Public Procurement Law 03.3 Enhance Law on Public Associations and Public Legal persons 03.4 Enhance State Laws on Postal Services 03.5 Enhance Civil Service Law (Civil Service Commission and Code of Conduct) 04. Reform expenditure management system 05. Reform and implement commercial law 06. Conduct inter-ministerial budget making exercise in order to develop national policy-making systems Applications: Sudan Period of cease-fire after 24 years of conflict, complex legal agreements next to JAM and humanitarian plan Critical issue is implementing new rules of the game Mapping of assets, constraints, scenarios, identification of drivers Provision of decision matrix for leadership regarding critical tasks © Agora Applications: Nepal Recipient of enormous aid, at start of crisis Critical issue is unstable dual power Stakeholder analysis, scenarios and drivers, definition of critical tasks Delineation of roles for international actors Options for implementation © Agora Applications: Lebanon Establishment of state institutions across the territory Vacuum in South after departure of Israeli army Failure of State to establish economic, security or political institutions e.g. $80bn in deposits in Lebanese banking system Southern farming economy = olives and tobacco © Agora New instruments The “Double Compact”: benchmarks & timelines as basis for exit Longer time frames: ten to fifteen years, not one to two years Unify financing flows: trust funds, budget management, procurement Approach to capacity building: South Korea model of transfer of skills, “embedded trainers” Preparation of projects: feasibility studies Supply chain management © Agora Roles for the international system 1. Direct administrator 2. Facilitator 3. Strategic adviser 4. Catalyst 5. Substitute provider 6. Monitor 7. Evaluator 8. Referee 9. Knowledge transferor 10. Financier “Co-producer” of institutions through partnership © Agora