Global - DANSKE ARK

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Transcript Global - DANSKE ARK

STINE K JUNGE, PRIVATE SECTOR OFFICER
UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME
14 May 2013
RISE OF THE SOUTH:
• TECTONIC SHIFTS
• EXPANSION OF HUMAN
CAPABILITIES AND CHOICES
1820
1830
1840
1850
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2030
2050
% Share of world economic output
(PPP)
GLOBAL REBALANCING
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Brazil, India, China
Germany, France, Italy, UK, US, Canada
A CHANGING
WORLD
REALIGNMENT OF WORLD TRADE
% share of world merchandise trade
60
50
40
South-South
30
North-North
20
10
0
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
A CHANGING
WORLD
MASSIVE EXPANSION OF THE
GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS
1990 (1.8 billion)
2020 (3.2 billion)
2030 (4.9 billion)
Europe and North America
Asia-Pacific
Central and South America
Rest of the World
A CHANGING
WORLD
INTERNET CONNECTIVITY
1800
Internet users (millions)
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
South
North
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
INDEX (HDI)
RAPID HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE GLOBE
1
Korea, Rep.
Chile
Brazil Mexico
Malaysia
Mauritius
Thailand Turkey
Tunisia
China
Indonesia
Viet Nam
Ghana
India
Lao PDR
Bangladesh
Lesotho
Uganda
Rwanda
Zimbabwe
HDI 2012
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
HDI 1990
0.8
1
A CHANGING
WORLD
Why have some countries done
better than others?
What can we learn from them?
What are the common drivers?
DRIVERS
1. Strong proactive state
2. Tapped global markets
3. Innovative social policies
How can we sustain human
development for the
generations to come?
PRIORITY AREAS
1. Promoting equity, voice and
accountability
2. Confronting environmental
pressure
3. Managing demographic
change
THE RISE OF THE SOUTH
•
Governance for a changed world
•
Opportunities for new development
partnerships
NEW INSTITUTIONS, NEW MECHANISMS
$6.84 trillion
$3.36 trillion
IMPLICATIONS
LINKS
• Human Development Report’s Site: http://hdr.undp.org/en/
• Human Development Report 2013, The rise of the South:
http://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/presscenter/events/
2013/March/HDR2013.html
• Gapminder: www.gapminder.org
M [email protected]
P+45 4533 6002/ +45 2144 8918
Skype ID: stine.kirstein.junge.UNDP