Transcript Gathering slides

Contemplating a 450ppm world
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Changing the demand outlook for fossil fuels
Global coal demand (Mtoe)
7000
6000
Current policies
5000
4000
New policies
3000
450 scenario
2000
If governments continue their current energy
and climate policies, and implement the ones
they have proposed, the energy path is one
that is consistent with a global temperature
increase of about 4 degrees Celsius.
1000
0
2012
2020
2030
2040
Global gas demand (Mtoe)
5000
4500
Current policies
4000
We have less than half our carbon
budget remaining and are set to
exhaust it by 2040
New policies
3500
450 scenario
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2014
2012
2020
2030
2040
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Contemplating a 450ppm world
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Contemplating a 450ppm world
IEA World Energy Outlook 2014
New Policies
450 Scenario
2012
2020
2030
2040
2020
2030
2040
Energy related CO2 emissions (Gt)
31.6
34.2
36.3
38
32.5
25.4
19.3
Energy intensity (toe/GDP in $2013 MER)
0.18
0.16
0.13
0.11
0.16
0.12
0.09
Carbon intensity (tCO2/toe)
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.2
1.7
1.2
Clean energy investment (billion $2013)
355
709
987
1238
881
1814
2411
* Clean energy includes renewables, energy efficiency, nuclear and CCS in power and industry sectors.
MER = Market Exchange Rate
toe = tonnes of oil equivalent
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