Transcript Why is the evolution of Global Communications crucial to

Why is the evolution of Global
Communications crucial to
the world?
Paul Jueckstock
May 4, 2007
Senior Seminar
Importance of Global
Communications today
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Red Telephone on President’s Desk
Political Relations
Global Business connections
Home entertainment
Easy and cheap interactive communications for
businesses and home users
• Choosing Video-conferences instead of site-visits
saves money and is instant
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Where else is it used?
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Emergency services
Tracking devices (FM/GSM for data uplink)
Traffic information for GPS devices
News, weather, stocks, movie information, traffic
updates, lottery numbers, Horoscopes, RSS feeds
etc. for Smart Watches® and devices using MSN
Direct® and SPOT technologies
• Wireless broadband services such as GPRS,
EDGE and UMTS melt phone, internet, e-mail and
TV. Worldwide.
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The world is changing
• China will soon become the number one
English-speaking country in the world
• If you took every single job in the U.S. today
and shipped it to China, it would still have a
labor surplus
During my presentation:
• 60 children will be born in the U.S.
• 244 children will be born in China
• 351 children will be born in India
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• We are currently preparing learners for jobs
that don’t yet exist
• The former US Secretary of Education,
Richard Riley, states that the top 10 jobs that
will be in demand in 2010 didn’t even exist in
2004
• We are currently preparing students for jobs
that don’t exist yet using technologies that
haven’t yet been invented in order to solve
problems we don’t even know are problems
yet
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• U.S. is 20th in the world in broadband
internet penetrations
• Nintendo invested more than $ 140 million in
research and development in 2002 alone
• One out of every 8 couples married in the
U.S. last year met online
• There are over 175 million registered users
of MySpace (as of May 2007)
• If MySpace would be a country, it would be
the 6th-largest in the world (between Brazil
and Pakistan)
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We are living in exponential times
• There are over 2.7 billion searches
performed using Google each month
• The number of text messages sent and
received every day exceeds the population of
the planet
• It is estimated that 1.5 exabytes (1.5 x 10 to
the 18th power) of unique new information
will be generated worldwide this year
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• The amount of new technical information is
doubling every 2 years
• For students starting a four-year technical or
college degree this means that ½ of what
they learn in their 1st year of study will be
outdated by their 3rd year of study
• It is predicted to double every 72 hours by
2010
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• Third-generation fiber optics has recently
been tested by both NEC and Alcatel that
pushes 10 trillion bits per second down one
strand of fiber at the cost of $0
• That’s 1,900 CDs, or 150 million
simultaneous phone calls every second
• It’s currently tripling about every 7 months
and is expected to do so for at least the next
20 years
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• ePaper will be cheaper than real paper
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• 47 million laptops were shipped worldwide
last year
• The $100 laptop project is expecting to ship
between 50 to 100 million laptops per year to
children in underdeveloped countries
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• Predictions are that by 2013 a
supercomputer will be build that exceeds the
computation capability of the human brain
• By 2023, when 1st graders will be just 23
years old and beginning their (first) careers, it
only will take a $1,000 computer to exceed
the computation capabilities of the human
brain
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• Predictions are that by 2049, a $1,000
computer will exceed the computational
capabilities of the human race
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What devices can we expect to
see in the near future?
• Interactive, wall-sized Touch Screen TV’s
• Touch screen Mobile Phones, with Wireless Webbrowser, e-mail, Instant Messaging, Productivity
Applications, Camera, Music, Video, Games etc
(see Symbian® Smart-phones and Apple® iPhone)
• Increasing number of VoIP telephony and VoIP
devices, including video conferencing
• Network integrated appliances, home control
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What devices can we expect to
see in the near future?
• Further evolution and deployment of GSM
devices
– GSM stands for Global System for Mobile
communications
• MicroMedia Paper
• Haptics Systems (ex. “Whole-Hand Force
Feedback Systems”)
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What devices can we expect to
see in the near future?
• VoWi-Fi & dual-mode GSM/VoWi-Fi devices
• 802.16 & UMTS phones
• VVT Finnish Walking Bio-Identification Phone
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Why is the evolution of Global Communications
crucial to the world?
• The importance of classical, industrial jobs
declines
• “Knowledge-workers” are in higher demand
• The “added value”, the source of all wealth
occurs more and more on computers, less
with industrial jobs
• More industrial jobs are getting replaced with
robots, programmed by “knowledge-workers”
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Global Communications change
the way the world works
• If knowledge engineering is the source of the
“value creation”, then communication is the
“vehicle” to make skilled, advanced work
more efficient
• Almost no one can do things alone, one has
to communicate
• Knowledge is immaterial and can easily be
relayed using the internet, the “knowledgeworkers” don’t have to sit together
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What else is going to change?
• Communication increasingly happens on a
global scale, knowledge is constantly
accessible virtually anywhere
• Communication means permanent
availability and more constant cross-linking.
• Privacy decreases
• Everything happens quicker
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• Time used previously for research knowledge
and information was a lot of non-productive
travel time, offline databank research
sometimes had to be done in a different
country, far away
• Now, with new technologies businesses have
an enormous efficiency gain
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Apple® iPhone
LunarDesign ® MicroMedia Paper
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Garmin nüvi 680
Fossil Abacus Smart
Watch 2006
Melitta Smart Mill & Brew
Coffee Maker
Using MSN Direct’s
SPOT service
Using MSN Direct’s
SPOT service
Using MSN Direct’s
SPOT service
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Level 3 Communications Fiber Optic Network Map
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A small part of the Internet
net, ca, us com, org mil, gov, edu
jp, cn, tw, au de, uk, it, pl, fr br, kr, nl unknown
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Bibliography
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Arguelles, Jose. (1975). The transformative vision: Reflections on the nature and history of human expression. Boulder
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De Nora, Tia. (2000). Music in everyday life. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
McCloud, Scott. Feb. 27, 2007, <http://www.scotmcleod.org>
Kenny, Carolyn (2007). What does it mean? Shift Happens: The great dialogue between techne and psyche. Voices: A
World Forum for Music Therapy. May 3, 2007, <http://www.voices.no/mainissues/mi40007000224.php>.
Forbes, "Forbes.com." Communication Devices Of The Future - Forbes.com. 19 March 2007. 12 April 2007
<http://www.forbes.com/2005/10/20/cx_gd_1024featslide_comm05.html>.
Apple, "Apple iPhone." Apple - iPhone. 01 February 2007. 8 April 2007 <http://www.apple.com/iphone/>.
AT&T Knowledge Ventures, "Cingular Wireless - Apple iPhone." iPhone Exclusively from Cingular and Apple | Cingular
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Microsoft, "MSN Direct." MSN Direct. 19 April 2007. 23 April 2007 <http://www.msndirect.com/>.
Kanellos, Michael. "CNET News.com." In Japan, it's TV gadget heaven | CNET News.com. 07 October 2004. 24
February 2007 <http://news.com.com/In+Japan,+its+TV+gadget+heaven/2100-1041_3-5401062.html>.
OLPC, "One Laptop Per Child (OLPC)." Vision: Children in the developing world are inadequatelyeducated. 08 April
2007. 14 April 2007 <http://laptop.org/vision/index.shtml>.
CIA, "CIA - The World Factbook." CIA - The World Factbook -- China. 17 April 2007. 20 April 2007
<https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/ch.html>.
CIA, "CIA - The World Factbook." CIA - The World Factbook -- India. 17 April 2007. 20 April 2007
<https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/in.html>.
CIA, "CIA - The World Factbook." CIA - The World Factbook -- Brazil. 17 April 2007. 20 April 2007
<https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/br.html>.
CIA, "CIA - The World Factbook." CIA - The World Factbook -- Palestine. 17 April 2007. 20 April 2007
<https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/pk.html>.
"Electronic paper." Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia. 1 May 2007, 02:32 UTC. Wikimedia Foundation, Inc. 3 May 2007
http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Electronic_paper&oldid=127323792
Level 3 Communications, "Level 3 Communications." The Level 3 Network Map. 12 March 2007. 23 March 2007
<http://www.level3.com/images/global_map/Level_3_Network_map.pdf>.
Lyon, Barrett. "The Opte Project." The Opte Project - Maps. 15 January 2005. 11 March 2007
<http://www.opte.org/maps/>.
Bibliography only for this presentation, not for the product and/or paper.
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Trademark acknowledgment
MSN Direct, Smart Watch, Microsoft,
MySpace, Google, NEC, Alcatel, Level 3,
Panasonic, Symbian, Apple, Apple iPhone,
LunarDesign, MicroMedia Paper, VVT,
Vonage, Comcast, Immersion Corporation,
SenseAble Technologies CyberForce, Fossil,
Abacus, Melitta Smart Mill & Brew, Garmin
nüvi, BMW, iDrive logos and names are
trademarks of their respective owners and/or
affiliated companies.
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Q&A
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