Transcript Decision Support Tools

Long-Term Implementation Plan
(LTIP)
Building Decision and Operational Support
of
Appropriate Management Response (AMR)
Objectives
• Understand how Long Term
Implementation Plans in the decision
process associated with Appropriate
Management Response (AMR)
• Grasp the relationship between the LTIP,
WFSA, Letter of Delegation and IAP
• Develop an understanding of the thought
processes involved in developing, using
and validating a LTIP
Appropriate Management Response
Spectrum
MANAGE WILDLAND FIRE
Appropriate Management Response
Protection Objectives
Benefit Objectives
i.e. reduce fire intensity or prevent
fire spread into values to be
protected such that loss in
minimized. Accomplished by
actions to halt, delay, detain, and/or
slow fire spread, focused protection
actions on values to be protected, or
full perimeter control.
i.e. use of wildland fire to achieve
benefit, reduce hazardous fuels,
provide wildlife habit, support fire
dependent communities, etc. May
employ protection tactics to offset
negative factor and maximize
benefit
Where Long-Term Implementation
Plan fits in the decision process
• Land/Resource Management Plan
• Pre-attack planning
– (Unplanned fire) - Strategic Fire Size-up
• Initial Response
• Extended Response
• Wildland Fire Situation Analysis
(WFSA)
• Long Term Implementation Plan
What is a Long-Term
Implementation Plan?
• A strategic plan for managing an
unplanned, long duration wildland fire
with protection objectives
• Complements the WFSA
• Needs to be included in the letter of
delegation
• Details where, when, and how of
actions required to protect identified
values
When to do a Long-Term
Implementation Plan?
• Any time a fire is expected to be of a
long duration, as determined locally
compared to historic fire durations.
• Typically, think in terms of lasting
more than 7 days (the limit of weather
forecasting).
Considerations when doing a
Long-Term Implementation Plan
• Contain a level of analysis
commensurate with the complexity of
the event
• Uses the WFSA values, cost
projections, spatial and temporal
alternative
• Probability of success
• Available Resources now and in the
future
Uses of the Long-Term
Implementation Plan
• Document a risk assessment
• Provide implementation actions
needed to mitigate or eliminate
threats
• Recognize the need for continuity of
management for the long duration
• Defines acceptable management
limits and when the assessment
should be reviewed
Long-Term Implementation
Plan Suggested Contents
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Incident specific objectives
Weather conditions and drought prognosis
Long-term risk assessment
Identification of values to protect
Threats - Assessment of risk on values to protect
– hazards identified, probability of event occurring and
consequences of failure
• Mitigation Action(s) to protect values
• Monitoring actions to ensure objectives are being met
• Resources Needed to Manage the Fire
– Identify when and for how long
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Information/Communication plan
Contingency Actions
Estimated costs
Signatures of agency administrator and incident commander
How to Prepare the Long-Term
Implementation Plan
• Local unit fire, resource and planning staff with
support from zone or geographic area
coordination centers
• Comparable to WFIP Stage III – adapted to
recognize protection objectives
• Weather and drought can be support by
Predictive Service products
• Risk assessment
– The 4-step risk assessment process (value,
hazard, probability, and relative risk) is appropriate
for long-duration wildfire events.
• Mitigation Actions defined to reduce the
probability of a hazardous event
Preparation (continued)
• Resources needed to implement mitigation
and perimeter control actions need to reflect
realistic availability and performance based
on time of year and duration fire season
• Communication plan to provide the
messages and ensure the information
reaches all applicable audiences
• Contingency actions to plan for the
unexpected and have a reserve on hand
• Estimated Cost to project expenditures over
the duration of the fire, don’t forget what has
been expended to date
What to do with the Long-Term
Implementation Plan
• Monitoring and mitigation actions with
required resources should feed the
Incident Action Plan (IAP)
• Actions are conditional base on time,
location and current conditions
• As conditions change periodic
updates are needed
• Track the progress of implementing
the plan
Things to Remember
• Risk analyses should consider both current risk
and deferred risk
– Understand that an acre protected from fire today
will burn eventually
– The future may present different circumstances,
challenges and opportunities
• Just because we write doesn’t mean someone
else will understand it
– Be simple, clear and concise
– Provide enough information that those who follow
will understand the intent of the actions described
• Provide contact information so when questions
come up there can be follow-up
Objectives
• Understand how Long Term
Implementation Plans in the decision
process associated with Appropriate
Management Response (AMR)
• Grasp the relationship between the LTIP,
WFSA, Letter of Delegation and IAP
• Develop an understanding of the thought
processes involved in developing, using
and validating a LTIP
Perspective
is only
in your
mind How Can
Line
Officers
Whether
theUnderstanding?
sun is rising or setting the
Gain
view may look the same and all you
have
to go by
whatAssignments
direction you are
• Participate
in is
Shadow
facing.
• Host an IMT
• Participate in Reviews, CPRs and RFRs
• Pre-season Line Officer trainings/meetings
DISCUSSION OF LONG-TERM
IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING