Transcript Document

Air Force Materiel Command
Technology Challenges –
Determining What to
Invest In:
Well-Considered
Balance!
Maj Gen Curt Bedke
AFRL/CC
03 Sep 09
Integrity  Service  Excellence
Considerations
ASC
JFCOM
AFSPC
SMC
Near
Navy
AFMC
Space SAB
DARPA
SAF/AQ
Power
AMC
SECAF
Mid SAF/AQR
SOCOM
Wargaming
White House
AFSOC
Army
Well-Considered Balance
• We have Organizational tools to use…perhaps we
should actually use them!
• Strategic Alignment & Deployment
–
–
–
–
Mission
• Technology Push: “Lead Discovery”
• Requirements Pull: “Respond to Needs”
People
Resources
Processes
• Focus on Mission…but ALSO People, Resources,
and Processes
Avoid an Unsustainable Investment Strategy
Lead Discovery
(Technology Push)
• 10 Technical Directorates
• 52 Core Technical Competencies
• Questions the Air Force doesn’t even know
to ask
Respond To Needs
(Requirements Pull)
• SECDEF & OSD: Overarching
• SECAF & CSAF: Periodic Updates and Interaction
• SAF/AQ & AQR: TEO Review and POM Process
• MAJCOMs: ATCs and ASRs
• PEOs: PEO/TEO Conferences
• COCOMs, Industry, Other Services
• $2.1B External Funding: Intellectual Capitalism!
• Focused Long Term
Service Core Functions
Challenges (FLTCs)
F
Where are the gaps?
L
Where are we too heavily T
invested?
C
Nuclear
Deterrence
Operations
FLTC
1
FLTC
2
FLTC
3
FLTC
4
FLTC
5
FLTC
6
FLTC
7
FLTC
8
Air
Superiority
Space
Superiority
Cyber
Superiority
Command
& Control
Global
Integrated
ISR
Global
Precision
Attack
Special
Operations
Rapid
Global
Mobility
Personnel
Recovery
Operations
Agile
Combat
Support
Build
Relationships
Focused Long Term Challenges
and Discovery
FLTC #1 Anticipatory Command, Control & Intelligence (C2I)
FLTC #2
Unprecedented Proactive Intelligence, Surveillance
and Reconnaissance (ISR)
FLTC #3 Dominant Difficult Surface Target Engagement/Defeat
FLTC #4 Persistent & Responsive Precision Engagement
FLTC #5 Assured Operations in High Threat Environments
FLTC #6 Dominant Offensive Cyber Engagement
FLTC #7 On-demand Force Projection, Anywhere
FLTC #8 Affordable Mission Generation & Sustainment
Discovery
Questions the Air Force doesn’t even know to ask
Focused Long-Term Challenges
USAF
S&T Vision
Focused
Problem
Long
AFRL
Statement
TermOrganizes
Challenges
programs
(FLTC) to
address
each
problem
• Defined
• Each
by
FLTC
the Air
has
Force
problem
statements
• Approved
• Defined
at CORONA
by
theTrack,
Air Force
Anticipate,
Find,
Fix,
Target, Engage,
FLTC. #1
Assess
. . Anything, Anywhere, Anytime
AF2T2EA4
FLTC #2
Problem #1
Program
FLTC #3
Problem #2
FLTC #4
FLTC #5
FLTC #6
Problem #3
Problem #4
Program
Program
FLTC #7
FLTC #8
Every AFRL FLTC program tied directly to
7
the user’s needs
FLTC
FLTC
FLTC
2.6
2––Example
––Example
Example
FLTC
2.6.4
Example
2.1 Enable High Performance Networks for
Problem
Statement #1 Assured C2 and Sensing
FLTC #1 Command, Control & Intelligence (C2I)
Anticipatory
Mid-Term
2.2Proactive
PersistentlyIntelligence,
Deliver Fused Multi-Source
Problem
Unprecedented
FLTC
#2 Statement
Near-Term
Mid-Term
FLTC #2
Large
Aperture
Ground
Based
Concept
2.6.4
IS&R
for Total
Battlespace
Awareness
#2 2.6.1
Surveillance
&
Reconnaissance
(IS&R)
Concept 2.6.1 Surveillance
Concept 2.6.1
& Characterization
FLTC #3
Dominant
Difficult
Surface
Target Engagement/Defeat
2.3 Assure
Closed-Loop
C2ISR Sensing and
Problem
Affordable
EO Network
for Comprehensive
Mid-Term
Far-Term
Processing
(anticipatory)
Statement #3 2.6.2
FLTC #4& Responsive
Persistent
Precision
Engagement
Space
Object
Identification
(SOI)
Concept
2.6.2
Concept
2.6.2
Problem
2.4 Generate Wide-Area, Long Range,
FLTCOperations
#5 2.6.3
Assured
inand
High
Threat
Environments
Integrated
Space
Environment
Forecast
Near-Term
Mid-Term
Far-Term
• X++
Resolution
• X+
Resolution
• X Resolution
Statement
#4 Detection
Tracking
Concept
2.6.3 Model
2.6.3
Concept
• Find2.6.3
Y-- size
•Concept
Find Y- size
• Find
Y
size
FLTC
#6
Dominant
Offensive
Cyber
Engagement
Problem
2.5
Deliver
High-Volume,
Super
Resolution
space
objects
space
objects
space objects
Space-Based,
Persistent,
Highfidelity
Fidelity
Space-based,
persistent,
high
Near-Term#5 2.6.4
Mid-Term
Far-Term
Statement
Imagery
of
Anywhere,
Anytime
• Z++ Bandwidth
• Z+ Projection,
Bandwidth Anywhere
• Z Bandwidth
FLTC #7 Sensing
On-demand
sensing
Concept 2.6.4 Force
Concept 2.6.4
Concept 2.6.4
Problem Attribute
2.6 Provide Evolution
Comprehensive Space Situational
Affordable
Mission
Generation
& Sustainment
FLTC
#8
Near-Term#6 Awareness
Statement
8
Concept 2.6.5
FLTC 2.6.4 – Example
FLTC #2 Unprecedented Proactive Intelligence,
Surveillance & Reconnaissance (IS&R)
Problem
Statement #6
2.6 Provide Comprehensive Space Situational
Awareness
Mid-Term
Concept 2.6.4
2.6.4 Space-based, persistent, high fidelity
sensing
Product 2.6.4.1 Small/Nano-sat SSA spacecraft
Product 2.6.4.2 Lightweight SSA sensor system
Internally
Partially or UnTRL MRL
TRL MRL
Funded Program
Funded Program
Jointly Funded
Program
TRL MRL
Externally
TRL MRL
Funded Program
TRL Technology Readiness Level MRL Manufacture Readiness Level
9
Entire AFRL Portfolio Must be
Viewed in Multiple Dimensions
Example:
N-dimensional
“Rubik’s Cube”
FLTC n,
Air,
Far-Term
Far
Mid
Near
Air
Space
Cyber
FLTCs
Discovery:
Defines the Art
of the Possible
Core Technical Competencies underlie both FLTCs and Discovery
Capability Concept Prioritization
Prioritize Near/Mid/Far Capability Concepts into Tier 1/2/3
-
FLTC Directors Tier within each of 8 FLTCs
FLTC Council integrates 8 inputs into
single set
1.
MID
FAR
TIER 1
TIER 1
TIER 1
TIER 2
TIER 2
TIER 2
TIER 3
TIER 3
TIER 3
Apply Criteria to each Capability Concept
-
2.
NEAR
Is it worthy?
Are we the right people to do this?
Can we make acceptable progress?
Other criteria as determined by FLTC Director
Use numerical and qualitative methods
- Specific “cookie-cutter” approaches not directed
- FLTC Directors must work with each other to avoid unintended fratricide
- Identify and share Best Practices
Summary: Considerations
• Use the AFSO21 tools!
• Remember to work both mission and sustainment
• Your job is to “respond to needs” and “lead
discovery”
•
Have a disciplined process…
…that allows creativity and judgment!
Strive for a “Well-Considered Balance”