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New Developments in Early Pregnancy Roy G Farquharson MD FRCOG Liverpool Women’s Hospital, UK [email protected] Disclosure • Act as NICE GDG member on pain and bleeding in early pregnancy (2010-2012) • Executive Committee member, ESHRE (2011-) • Chair, Association of Early Pregnancy Units, UK (2006-2011) • No external funding/payments received from Pharma companies Early Pregnancy Events and Complications • EP Loss diagnosed by TV Ultrasound with set standards based on consensus criteria (RCOG, NICE, NVOG) including: • Pregnancy of uncertain viability (PUV) • Pregnancy of unknown location (PUL) utilising biochemical markers (HCG ratio/progesterone) • Ectopic pregnancy Predictive Modelling for Early Pregnancy Best Area of Interest Diagnostic Utility Parameter(s) Ovulation Biomarker D21 Progesterone Pregnancy of Unknown Location (PUL) Transvaginal (TVU) Scan and Biomarker TVU Scan + HCG doubling time/ratio +/- Progesterone Pregnancy of Scan Uncertain Viability Scan (PUV) Exclusively Scan Fetal heart action plus Crown-rump length (>6mm or 1 week confirmation) Positive Pregnancy Test What next? TVS 90% Intra-Uterine Ectopic Pregnancy Pregnancy (IUP) (EP) 10% PUL IUP Failing EP PUL PUL Assessment – a diagnosis in evolution Serum hCG and progesterone TVU Intrauterine Pregnancy (IUP) Failing PUL Ectopic Pregnancy (EP) Pregnancy of Unknown Location (PUL) • Is not interchangeable term with ectopic pregnancy • Rate of PULs is related to quality of scanning, ie. high sensitivity for the detection of ectopic pregnancy using TVS associated with a low PUL rate (Kirk E, Papageorghiou AT, Condous G, Tan L, Bora S, Bourne T.Hum Reprod. 2007, 22, 2824-8; Bottomley C, Van Belle V, Mukri F, Kirk E, Van Huffel S, Timmerman D, Bourne T Hum Reprod. 2009, 24, 1811-7.) • Not every prediction model based on precise theoretical reasoning works as efficiently when field-tested? (Barnhart KT, Sammel MD, Appleby D, Rausch M, Molinaro T, Van Calster B, Kirk E, Condous G, Van Huffel S, Timmerman D, Bourne T. Hum Reprod. 2010, 25, 2434-40 PUL Conclusions • Expectant management – low-risk EcP: positive indicators include low initial HCG level, decreasing HCG trend, absence of gestational sac and longer time from LMP • Change in hCG over time, hCG ratio, and not the absolute serum hCG value makes final diagnosis MORE likely until TVS confirms Dx. • Serum progesterone confirms viability of PUL but not LOCATION --------------- as Ectopic Pregnancy levels can ‘mimic’ viable IUP in approx 8% of cases vis a vis EctP can ‘mimic’ failed IUP • Symptoms of nausea, vomiting and diarrhoea can exist with Ectopic Pregnancy • Discriminatory zone not helpful in PUL population where EcP diagnosis is TVS based with ~75% • visualised on initial TVS. Single blood test approach is not appropriate • Potential to decrease the number of visits but VIGILANCE essential. • Need multi-centre trials to validate or otherwise the use of such models as protocols replace ‘thinking’ and critical analysis by senior clinicians Updated Gestational Age Measurement in early pregnancy • Total number of pregnancies: 6666 (2002-2008) • Exclusions, n= 2956 (uncertain dates, redated, infertility treatment, miscarriage, stillbirth, genetic or congenital abnormalities) • Inclusions, n= 3710 normal singleton pregnancies dated according to known and recorded last menstrual period (LMP) with confirmed viability at the time of subsequent nuchal scan • Predominantly transvaginal ultrasound below 10 weeks by contrast with Robinson transabdominal derived CRL curve (BMJ, 1972) • The gestational age (GA) ranged between 35 and 98 days • Linear mixed-effects model in order to account for possible codependency of multiple CRL measurements in the same patient Reference: Bottomley C ,Bourne T. Dating and growth in the first trimester. Best Practice and research Clin Obstet Gynaecol 2009 ; ESHRE precongress course, Roma, 2010 Comparison of the CRL curve (solid line) with the Robinson curve (dashdotted) and the Hadlock curve (dotted) 90 80 70 CRL (in mm) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 40 50 60 70 GA (in days) 80 90 100 TV Ultrasound Fetal loss with CRL =7mm Embryoscopy – the close-up H=head/heart prominence, Y=yolk sac, B=bubble TVU – small embryonic structure in disproportionately large sac Embryoscopy – short body stalk with 6mm CRL - cytogenetics = 47XY+7 microarrays • technique high resolution WHOLE genome scan cytogenetics FISH arrays • Trisomy 10 - TR Karyotype = Normal Female Array = Abnormal MALE result +10 FISH = confirmed +10 (70% MCC) • 14q deletion - JS Karyotype = Normal Female Array = Abnormal Female – deletion 14q FISH = confirm deletion in 11% of cells (89% MCC) EPL & RM - Array CGH v St’d Cytogenetics (McNamee et al, ESHRE abstract, Stockholm 2011) Array CGH and conventional cytogenetics N=62 Normal result N=36(58%) Abnormal result N=26 (42%) Conventional cytogenetics not performed N=6 Diagnosed with conventional cytogenetics Missed with N=12 N=8 NUMERICAL +16 x2 +15 x2 +21 x2 +13 x2 +10 +14 -X x2 conventional cytogenetics NUMERICAL +22♂ +10♂ +15♂ +8♀ +16♀ STRUCTURAL >dup(22)(q11.2q11.2) ♂, >del(14q)(q31.1)♀,t(1:q1 6)mat >del(13q)12.3-q34 Commonest Complication - Miscarriage Timeline Sequence of Early Pregnancy Events Conservative or medical or surgical Rx Patient choice and EBM Opportunityisnowhere Standards in Early Pregnancy Standard CORE Aspirational Patient Information Designated Reception Area Universal use of clear, understandable terminology by all staff Dedicated staff constantly at reception desk to provide greeting, obtain patient details and explain structure and triage function of EPU Patient Choice In Management Education of patient relevant to diagnosis and management Open explanation of expectant, medical and surgical options Dedicated phone line for patient queries and electronic access to protocols from outside unit Dedicated Quiet Room Room for breaking bad news away from work area Single-use room only with soft furnishing and absence of medical equipment Availability of Service 5 day opening during office hours 7/24 opening and service provision with full staffing and daily scan support Competence of Scanning Recognised ultrasound training and preceptor assessment and validation (RCOG/BMUS) Register of staff competent at scanning Lead Clinician Presence of RCOG/BMUS trainer in EPU Annual assessment of audited activity Standards in Early Pregnancy (2) Blood HCG level measurement Laboratory access to blood HCG measurement and result within 48 hours of sampling Same day sampling and result with electronic result link to laboratory Written Information Leaflets Visible open access to written information leaflets in EPU Online external access to PIL Acknowledgment To provide individualised patient support and acknowledge confidentiality Place one to one care as best practice at all times Bereavement Counselling All staff trained in emotional aspects of early pregnancy loss To enable access to counselling and provide immediate support To provide all emotional and psychological counselling requirements within EPU and supported by dedicated staff and related agencies Site of EPU Geographically separate from all maternity areas Own EPU entrance/exit of Privacy and Dignity Management of Miscarriage RCOG Guideline 25, 2006 Early Pregnancy Unit TVU Scan diagnosis (confirmed by second observer) Informed Choice Appropriate Information Patient Counselling Efficient management Medical Expectant Surgical Misoprostol +/- Mifepristone 24 hour access to EPU Planned elective Evacuation of uterus Infection 3% Haemorrhage 6% Infection 3% Haemorrhage 2% Uterine perforation 1.6% Infection 2% Haemorrhage 3% Management of Early Pregnancy Loss • • • • • Formal meta-analysis is hampered by heterogeneity of the available studies on various subjects, which often differ in the type of patients, setting, dosages and route of administration, and time frames allowed in expectantly and medically managed patients. Surgical aspiration curettage results in the highest complete evacuation rate in comparison to non-surgical management options. Medical management (i.e. misoprostol PO or PV) reduces the need for curettage by 81% - 99% Expectant management reduces the need for surgery by 28-94%, depending on the type of pregnancy loss eg incomplete miscarriages, or those with a intact gestational sac still present, and on the time frame of expectancy. In view of the available evidence, non-invasive treatment modalities can now be offered with confidence to women with first trimester pregnancy loss who wish to avoid surgery. This is important, since freedom of treatment choice improves quality of life in these unfortunate women MIST trial: Design • • Miscarriage < 13 wks – empty gestational sac / no FCA (3/4) – incomplete miscarriage (1/4) Third party randomisation • Power calculation based on infection – 10% in surgery = ½ incidence other Th/ – N = 3x 474 = 1422 • Δ infection = 2 out of 4 criteria 1) purulent discharge 2) fever 3) painful uterus 4) L>15x109 • Medical therapy – Mifepristone 200mg p/o (empty sac) – Misoprostol 800 μg (vag. after 1-2d) – Curettage whenever no expulsion after 8 hrs Trinder, J et al. BMJ 2006;332:1235-1240 Flow of patients through MIST trial MIST RCTrial Trinder, J et al. BMJ 2006;332:1235-1240 Copyright ©2006 BMJ Publishing Group Ltd. Conclusions Prostaglandins more effective than expectancy • Reduced need for surgery • Place in management? – immediate at diagnosis – delayed, after “failed” expectant management • Dosage / Route? – dose / interval – oral / vaginal – ± mifepristone • Quality of life? – preferences – side effects • Costs – Expectant management – Prostaglandins – Surgery UK £1086* £1410 £1585 NL € 915** € 1107 * Trinder et al. BMJ 2006;332:1235 •** Graziosi et al. Hum Reprod 2004;19:1894 • prostaglandins vs expectant management RCTs: succes = no curettage Nielsen Sweden ’99 N 49/60 N 46/60 25/30 14/29 17/27 5/27 Ngai Hong Kong ’01 Kovavisarach Bangkok ’02 Wood Canada ’02 18/25 4/25 Herabutya Bangkok ’97 35/42 6/42 46/52 23/52 221/398 256/398 Bagratee UK ’04 Trinder UK ’06 Mist-trial 20 40 60 80 % succes References • • • Trinder J, Brocklehurst P, Porter R, Read M, Vyas S, Smith L. Management of miscarriage: expectant, medical, or surgical? Results of randomised controlled trial (miscarriage treatment (MIST) trial). BMJ 2006;332:1235-40. Neilson JP, Hickey M, Vazquez J. Medical treatment for early fetal death (less than 24 weeks) Cochrane Database of Syst Rev 2008 Issue 4. Ankum WM. Management of first trimester miscarriage. Br J Hosp Med 2008;69:380-3. The Patient’s Journey • “It is always a good thing to walk a mile in another man’s shoes” • Nelson Mandela Long Walk to Freedom The view from Robben Island Prison The opportunity for EP care • ‘A small opportunity can lead to great enterprise’ Demosthenes of Athens, 384-322 BC