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Rationale: 2nd Line Regimens in Adults o Simplifying second-line ART • • • Limiting number of preferred options, and harmonisation across populations Availability of more convenient heat stable bPI formulations Daily dosing, FDC with reduced pill burden o Management of co-morbidities in the context of 2nd line ART • • o TB (use of rifampicin and PIs) HBV (use of ARV with anti-HBV activity) Evidence summary – systematic review • • (6 RCTs) - comparison of major PIs used for second-line ART (ATV/r, LPV/r and DRV/r) —ATV/r comparable to LPV/r in ART-experienced individuals but better virological response and better retention in care among ART-naive —DRV/r better virological response and retention in care than LPV/r, both in treatment-naive and experienced people No good quality evidence to support changing the recommendation established in the 2010 guidelines Rationale: Comparative Analysis of ATV/r , LPV/r and DRV/r Major parameters Consistency with pediatric regimens Number of pills per day (standard dose as FDC) Convenience (once vs twice daily regimen) Safety in pregnancy GI intolerance (diarrhea) Availability of heat stable FDCs Use with TB treatment regimen that contains rifampin Hyperbilirrubinemia Dyslipidemia Reduction cost potential Accessibility in countries (registration status) Availability of generic formulations ATV/r LPV/r DRV/r no yes no 1 4 2-4 once daily twice daily Once or twice daily yes Not frequent yes yes common yes yes Not frequent no no yes no + ± low + low ± high low high low yes yes no HOW TO MONITOR AND WHEN TO SWITCH Recommendations: Monitoring for ART Response RECOMMENDATION Viral load is recommended as the preferred monitoring approach to diagnose and confirm ARV treatment failure STRENGTH Strong recommendation, low-quality evidence If viral load is not routinely available, CD4 count and clinical monitoring should be used to diagnose treatment failure Strong recommendation, moderate-quality evidence Rationale: VL Monitoring o o o o o o Targeted viral load monitoring (suspected clinical or immunological failure) To provide an early and more accurate indication of treatment failure, reducing the accumulation of HIVDR mutations and improving clinical outcomes. Can also help to discriminate between treatment failure and non-adherence Can serve as a proxy for the risk of transmission at the population level Harmonized monitoring approaches between adults and children Lack of viral load or CD4 capacity should not prevent starting ART If VL availability limited, phase in use of targeted approach (or CD4 / clinical monitoring) Routine viral load monitoring (early detection of virological failure) Test viral load Viral load >1000 copies/ml Evaluate for adherence concerns Repeat viral load testing after 3–6 months Viral load ≤1000 copies/ml Viral load >1000 copies/ml Maintain first-line therapy Switch to second-line therapy Evidence Summary: Virological vs. CD4 + Clinical Monitoring 6 studies (4 RCTs and 2 observational studies) Main Findings: 1. Clinical+Immunological versus Clinical+Immunological+Virological: (1 RCT + 1 observational study ): no difference in terms of mortality (moderate-quality evidence) and new AIDS-defining illness (moderate-quality evidence). 2. Clinical+Immunological versus Clinical+Virological: (1 RCT): no difference in terms of clinical failure (low), switch to second line regimens (low), and resistance mutations (low). Children (Arrow 2013): mortality and disease progression are comparable between clinical and laboratory monitoring Limitations: limited duration of follow up and sample size Viral load threshold: o Children: 1 RCT: No difference in clinical or virological outcomes, but less drug resistance if ART switched at a viral threshold of 1000 copies/mL compared to 30,000 copies/mL (medium quality of evidence). (PENPACT1) o viral blips (50–1000 copies/ml) during effective treatment not been associated with an increased risk of treatment failure unless low-level viraemia is sustained Predictive value of WHO immunological and clinical criteria Population Viral load Positive Number Number of Sensitivity Specificity predictive of studies patients value Negative predictive value Adults >5000 copies/mL 3 2288 68.9% 92.1% 27.0% 98.6% Adults 50-4999 copies/mL 12 15581 55.6% 74.5% 29.8% 89.6% Adults >10000 copies/mL 2 3142 16.8% 95.5% 15.0% 96.0% Children >5000 copies/mL 3 4100 4.5% 99.3% 54.9% 85.5% Children >400 copies/mL 1 2256 6.3% 97.7% 20.0% 91.8% Critical issues in Children infected with HIV Key issues for Treatment and Care Programmatic Challenges – EID coverage remains poor – ART coverage only 34% (in 22 priority countries) – Limited availability of pediatric formulations and difficulties in harmonizing regimens with adults – Poor retention of children on ART and in care Technical Challenges – Provide the most effective regimen to deal with high VL and rapid disease progression – Optimization of ART treatment sequencing When to start ART AGE GROUP 2010 RECOMMENDATIONS AGE GROUP 2013 RECOMMENDATIONS <1 YEARS Treat ALL Strong recommendation, moderate-quality evidence < 1 YEAR Treat ALL Strong recommendation, moderate-quality evidence 1-2 YEARS Treat ALL Conditional recommendation, very-low-quality evidence 1-5 YEARS 2-5 YEARS Initiate ART with CD4 count ≤750 cells/mm3 or <25%, irrespective of WHO clinical stage Treat ALL Conditional recommendation, very-lowquality evidence Priority: children < 2 years or WHO stage 3-4 or CD4 count ≤ 750 cells/mm3 or < 25% ≥5 YEARS Initiate ART with CD4 count ≤350 ≥5 YEARS cells/mm3 (As in adults), irrespective of WHO clinical stage AND WHO clinical stage 3 or 4 CD4 ≤ 500 cells/mm3 Conditional recommendation, very-lowquality evidence CD4 ≤350 cells/mm³ as a priority (As in Adults) Strong recommendation, moderate-quality evidence Rationale: ART Initiation in Children <5yrs o Strong operational and programmatic advantages • Simplification of criteria for ART initiation and harmonizing with adults • Reduce barrier to ART initiation and facilitate expansion of coverage • Reduces morbidity and improves immunological response • May facilitate treatment of other preventable causes of under five mortality • Acceptability: Earlier ART may facilitate family-based care, improve retention in care and adherence. o Limited evidence • PREDICT trial: AIDS-free survival did not differ between deferred and early • treatment group in older children (median age 6.4 years). IeDEA Southern African Causal Modeling Analyses: —in children 2-5 years no difference in mortality between early ART vs. starting ART later. 75% of children with CD4 >25% (or 750 cells) become eligible within 3 years of enrolment o Most feasible in settings with high burden of HIV disease and low ART coverage, and limited access to immunological testing. What ART to start: age < 3 years Age group <12 months Prior exposure to PMTCT ARV’s Exposed 2010 recommendations LPV/r + 2 NRTIs Not Exposed Exposure unknown 12 to <36 months Regardless of exposure NVP + 2 NRTIs • AZT + 3TC • ABC + 3TC • d4T + 3TC 2013 recommendations LPV/r plus 2 NRTIs If LPV/r not available, NVP-based Plus NRTI backbone: • AZT or ABC + 3TC • (d4T+3TC*) • When HIV RNA monitoring is available, consider to substitute LPV/r with NNRTI after virological suppression is sustained (conditional, low quality) Rationale LPV-based Regimen in Children < 3 years o o o o Importance of a potent first line regimen in young children in context of high viral load and rapid disease progression Evidence of superiority of LPV regimen regardless of PMTCT exposure • Systematic review of two RCTS: reduced risk of discontinuing treatment and virological failure or death Low failure rate and good resistance profile at treatment failure with limited selection of resistance to NRTIs (Violari et al. Glasgow 2012) Reduction of malaria incidence by 41% (Achan et al 2012) o Desirability to have one preferred regimen for children <3 years o Anticipating the availability of new formulations (LPV containing sprinkles and sachets) LPV superior to NVP Treatment Discontinuation Virological failure or death Implementation Considerations: LPV Use in Children <3yrs Cold chain requirements Low adherence due to poor palatability Lack of FDC available Lack of second line options in RLS Interaction with TB drugs Sprinkles soon available and “4in1”FDC are under development Simplification by switching to NVP once virological suppression is achieved is safe in children without baseline resistance to NNRTI (Coovadia et al 2010, Kuhn et al 2012) Dropping LPV/r and adding ABC can be an option for children who get TB while on ART (Arrow trial 2013) What to start in > 3 years Age group 2010 recommendations 2013 recommendations Age group 3-10 years NNRTI NVP or EFV plus 3-19 years 2 NRTIs in preferential order: AZT + 3TC ABC + 3TC d4T + 3TC TDF + FTC + EFV to be used as preferred regimen if HIV/HBV coinfection and >12 years and > 35 Kg (Including > 10 yrs who weighing <35kg) 2NRTIs EFV is preferred NVP as alternative In preferential order: ABC + 3TC AZT or TDF + 3TC or FTC 10-19 years (weighing ≥35 kg) (align with adults) NNRTI EFV is preferred NVP as alternative 2NRTIs In preferential order: TDF + FTC or 3TC ABC + 3TC AZT + 3TC Rationale: What to start in children ≥3 years o Opportunity for harmonization with adults – improve children’s access to ART o Convenience of once daily regimens and FDC where available o Better sequencing of therapy (ABC and TDF) as first line and thymidine o analogues (AZT) as second line. Systematic review: EFV better short-term toxicity profile than NVP Implementation Considerations o Experience with TDF in children is limited. Long term impact is unknown o No TDF-containing FDCs. Requires advocacy to bring to market o Feasibility highly dependent on toxicity monitoring required and on the o availability of adequate formulations in the market. Children stable on NVP do not need to substitute with EFV Rationale: 2nd Line Regimens in Children SECOND-LINE ART PREFERRED REGIMENS ADULTS AND ADOLESCENTS (>35 kg), INCLUDING PREGNANT AND BREASTFEEDING WOMEN AZT + 3TC + LPV/r AZT + 3TC + ATV/r TDF + 3TC (or FTC) + ATV/r TDF + 3TC (or FTC) + LPV/r ABC + 3TC + LPV/r ABC + 3TC + LPV/r TDF + 3TC (or FTC) + LPV/r <3 years No change from first-line regimen in use AZT (or ABC) + 3TC + NVP 3-10 years (< 35kg) AZT (or ABC) + 3TC + EFV TDF + 3TC + EFV ABC (or TDF) + 3TC + NVP If a NNRTI-based first-line regimen was used CHILDREN If a PI-based first-line regimen was used ALTERNATIVE REGIMENS o Very few failures (Violari et al. Glasgow 2012) o Good HIVDR profile once you fail on PI (selection of PI resistance o mutations rare, and limited NRTIs mutations (PENPACT1, CHER) No PI cross-resistance: DRV can be used (CHIPS UK cohort 2011) Summary Recommendations Consolidation across: - Continuum of HIV care - Ages and populations - Clinical, operational and programmatic guidance - Existing and new recommendations Key new recommendations: - Earlier ART initiation ≤ CD4 500 - Single, preferred 1st line regimen (FDC) - Lifelong ART for pregnant and breastfeeding women - Immediate ART all children < 5 years - Move to viral load monitoring - Integration of ART into other services - Decentralization and task-shifting - Adherence support Implications and impact (to 2015) - Additional 3 million HIV-related deaths averted - Additional 3.5 new HIV infections averted - Cost - additional 10% on top of total resource needs 2010 Estimated impact on ART eligibility of implementing the new recommendations = 16.7 2013 CD4 <350* on ART = 25.9 CD4 <500* <5y ** ** Number of people eligible for ART in low- and middle-income countries in million per WHO 2010 and 2013 ARV guidelines, based on end of 2012 epidemic situation * incl. co-infected with TB or HBV ** only CD4>500, others included in adults Estimated impact on incidence and deaths of implementing the new recommendations WHO Global ART report, 2013 Strategic Use of ARVs (SUFA) for Treatment and Prevention Priorities for 14/15: • ISS-SUFA 3 • Gaps in the current guidelines • How gaps can be filled from traditional and Implementation Science Research • Roadmap of guideline products • Vision of moving to a Test & Treat - Scenario 5 for 2015 Guidelines update • How to get there? • Setting the stage for the post2015 era • Post 15x15 target • New areas to consider • Cure, linkage new flagship (comorbidities, NCDs etc) Jan 2014 CTX guidelines Timeline new guidance and updates Skin oral OI GL Crypto GL PEP Jan 2015 CD4 monitoring NCD & HIV Infant testing MH & HIV HIVDR, Toxicity Monitoring Bey ond … NTD & HIV Tech update Retention Cure July 2014 KP Consolidation SI Consolidation CoMorbidities Hep Screening HIV & nutrition July 2015 ARV Consolidation Update VL scale up 7/16/2015 Quality 22