Transcript PRESENTATION TITLE - 40th IFPA

Finding the Appropriate Mix:
Balancing Capabilities with Priorities
Major General Darren McDew, USAF
Vice Director, Strategic Plans & Policy
20 January 2010
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Strategic Environment
Westphalian
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Strategic Environment
Arctic Sovereignty
Russian
Assertiveness
Climate Change
Global Financial Crisis
& Economic Downturn
Catastrophic Terrorism
Cyber & Space Vulnerability
Energy Security
Pandemics & Natural Disaster
Global
Commons
IllicitTrafficking
Bolivarian
Influence
Taliban
Insurgency
Energy
Dependence
Iraq
Stability
Mid-East
Peace
Process
Ethnic
Conflict
Pakistan
Instability
Iranian WMD
Program
Failing
States
Rising Chinese
Influence
Flow
Security
Al Qaeda
Safehaven
Transnational
Terrorism
A complex, dynamic, and uncertain environment …
. . . With a host of diverse actors
. . . Many strategic challenges
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. . . And several key meta-trends
North Korea
Instability
& WMD
Proliferation
What Keeps Me Up at Night?
• Afghanistan
• Pakistan
• Iraq
• Counter-terror
Help eliminate
terror safe havens
to the U.S., to our
partners, and to
these nations
Directly defeat
terrorists
• North Korea and Six Party
Talks
Non-proliferation
• Iran and P5+1 Discussions
• General Non-Proliferation
• Middle East Peace
Initiatives
• Homeland Defense
Partner
• National Security Strategy
Prepare
• Cooperation with Central &
South American Friends
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• Quadrennial Defense
Review
• Arms Control Negotiations
Prevent
• Risk Assessment
• Trans-regional Flow
Security . . . piracy
Preserve
• Possible CYBERCOM
• Regional Ballistic Missile
Defense
• Humanitarian Assistance
Prevail
• Building Partnership
Capacity
• Unified Command Plan
• Peacekeeping Operations
• Are we missing a trend?
Potential Breeding Grounds for Instability
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Instability… Flow Security… Partnerships
CTF 151
Australia
Bahrain
Denmark
Korea
Pakistan
Singapore
Turkey
UK
US
NATO
Canada
Greece
Italy
Netherlands
Portugal
Spain
Turkey
UK
US
EU
Belgium
France
Germany
Greece
Italy
Luxemburg
Netherlands
Norway
Spain
Sweden
UK
Other
China
India
Iran
Japan
Malaysia
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Seychelles
Yemen
Prosecutions
France
Kenya
Netherlands
Somalia
Spain
US
Yemen
Shore Support
Bahrain
Djibouti
Kenya
Seychelles
33 Nations assisting/assisted Counter Piracy operations
2009: 193 Pirate Attacks/46 Successful
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Inter-Agency Collaboration
Whole
Wholeof
of
Government
Government
Defense
Diplomacy
Wholeof
of
Whole
Society
Society?
NGOs
Development
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• Building Partnership Capacity
• Authorities
• Security Force Assistance
• Stability Operations
Building Partnership Capacity (BPC)
Focused on further evolution of
authorities as essential to ability
to attain BPC objectives as defined
in the GEF
Preserve and enhance global
Train and Equip
COCOMs
Dual-Key approach (State/DoD)
Encourages better unity of effort
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Strategic Issues and Potential Solutions
Arctic Sovereignty
Russian
Assertiveness
Climate Change
Global Financial Crisis
& Economic Downturn
Catastrophic Terrorism
Cyber & Space Vulnerability
Energy Security
Pandemics & Natural Disaster
Global
Commons
IllicitTrafficking
Bolivarian
Influence
Rising Chinese
Influence
Taliban
Insurgency
Energy
Dependence
Iraq
Stability
Mid-East
Peace
Process
Ethnic
Conflict
Pakistan
Instability
Iranian WMD
Program
Failing
States
North Korea
Instability
& WMD
Proliferation
Al Qaeda
Safehaven
Flow
Security
Transnational
Terrorism
Counter
Piracy
Build
Partner Caps
Haiti
Earthquake
Response
Africa
Station
FMF/IMET
Global
Train and
Equip
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“The belief that peace is desirable is rarely enough to achieve
it. Peace requires responsibility. Peace entails Sacrifice.”
-- President Obama
Nobel Peace Prize speech
Dec 10, 2009
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