Transcript Slide 1
Squeezing Lemonade into Lemons Bart Wilson Artie Zillante George Mason University UNC Charlotte July 1, 2007 Experimental Design • Institution/Information treatment variables – Institution: Bilateral bargaining vs. posted offer – Information – posted offer sessions: • Participants know all posted offers • Sellers only see their private offers • General session parameters – 16 buyers, observe quality after purchase – 4 sellers: 2 low quality, 2 high quality (exogenous) BB 1 BB 2 BB 3 BB 4 BB 5 PO pu b PO lic1 pu b PO lic2 pu b PO lic3 pu bl ic 4 PO pr iv PO ate pr 1 iv PO ate pr 2 iv PO ate pr 3 iv at e4 Result 1: Market outcomes 16 14 Supers Ripoffs Regulars 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 BB 1 BB 2 BB 3 BB 4 BB 5 PO pu b PO lic1 pu b PO lic2 pu b PO lic3 pu bl ic 4 PO pr iv PO ate pr 1 iv PO ate pr 2 iv PO ate pr 3 iv at e4 Result 2: Sales order 16 14 12 10 8 Regulars Supers 6 4 2 0 PO pu b PO pu b PO pu b lic lic lic lic 4 3 2 1 at e4 at e3 at e2 at e1 PO pu b PO pr iv PO pr iv PO pr iv PO pr iv Result 3: Forgone CS 25000 20000 15000 Super-Super Regular-Super 10000 5000 0 PO PO PO S ession BB 5 4 3 2 1 400 BB BB BB BB pu bl ic 4 pu bl ic 3 pu bl ic 2 pu bl ic 1 pr iv at e4 pr iv at e3 pr iv at e2 pr iv at e1 PO PO PO PO PO Earnings Result 4: Earnings Buyers Super Sellers Regular Sellers 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 PO pu b PO pu b lic lic lic 4 3 2 1 Regular PO pu b lic at e4 at e3 at e2 at e1 Super PO pu b PO pr iv PO pr iv PO pr iv PO pr iv Result 5: Advertising Blank 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Conclusion • Information matters – Regular sellers in PO markets with public information sell ripoffs almost exclusively – Super seller earnings are near zero in PO markets with public information • Institution matters – Bilateral bargaining allows super sellers to make more than minimal profits – Reduces the number of ripoffs