Transcript FP7-SPACE: Albert Klein Tank, KNMI

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EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
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€4M contribution from European Commission
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Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
•
€4M contribution from European Commission
•
Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners
(KNMI, Met Office, URV, NMA, Meteo Swiss, DWD, SMHI, UEA/CRU, Météo France)
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information
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Need: according to user-consultations by
JRC/EEA, EUMETNET, WMO-GFCS,
and our own Climate Liaison Team
LONG-TERM CLIMATE DATA + ASSESSMENTS
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
•
Goal: meeting the need for climate monitoring information
•
Need: according to user-consultations by
JRC/EEA, EUMETNET, WMO-GFCS,
and our own Climate Liaison Team
LONG-TERM CLIMATE DATA + ASSESSMENTS
…describing climate variability and change at European scale
…placing high-impact extreme events in a historical context
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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EURO4M develops two core services (which are closely linked):
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Reference historical databases
Climate Indicator Bulletins
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
•
EURO4M develops two core services (which are closely linked):
+
Reference historical databases
Climate Indicator Bulletins
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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EURO4M
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European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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EURO4M
ESA-CCI
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European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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EURO4M
ESA-CCI
MACC
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European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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1) satellite data
(CM-SAF)
2) in-situ observations
(ECA&D, HadCRU, GPCC)
3) regional reanalysis of past weather
Reference historical databases
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
(new!)
?
?
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
GPCC and CM-SAF (DWD)
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
ECA&D/E-OBS (KNMI)
Example of E-OBS
map for 31st of last
month
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
Data rescue and digitization (MEDARE)
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
ECMWF-ERA Interim (80 km)
HIRLAM (20 km)
2m Temperature
2m Temperature
MESAN (5 km)
2m Temperature
Source: SMHI & Météo France
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
1) satellite data
(CM-SAF)
2) in-situ observations
(ECA&D, HadCRU, GPCC)
3) regional reanalysis of past weather
Reference historical databases
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
(new!)
1) satellite data (CM-SAF)
spatially extensive but short
2) in-situ observations (ECA&D, HadCRU, GPCC)
long-term records but sparse
3) regional reanalysis of past weather (new!)
complete but expensive and some bias
Reference historical databases
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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Reference historical databases
Climate Indicator Bulletins
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
+
Reference historical databases
Climate Indicator Bulletins
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
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focus on trends and variability in
impact relevant indicators
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include uncertainty estimates
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first bulletin on EU-temperature
due in March 2012
Reference historical databases
Climate Indicator Bulletins
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010
In-situ
NOAA
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010
MSU
UAH
In-situ
NOAA
ERA-Interim
ECMWF
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
Courtesy: John Christy (top),
Adrian Simmons (bottom)
Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010
In-situ
NOAA
Assessment requires
impact relevant indicators
(EEA, IPCC/ETCCDI, WMO-GFCS)
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010
31 days with
T-max > 25°C
against 9.5 days
in a normal July
Source: ECA&D
http://eca.knmi.nl
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010
16 nights with
T-min > 20°C
against 0.5
night in a
normal July
Source: ECA&D
http://eca.knmi.nl
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
Trends in impact indicators since 1976:
From: EEA/JRC/WHO impact indicator report, 2008;
Source: ECA&D, http://eca.knmi.nl
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
ETCCDI worldwide indicator
activities
Working together
GH Africa Workshop
(WCRP/World Bank)
04/2010
Central Africa
(USA) 4/2007
Mexico (UK)
03/2009
South America
(Ecuador)
01/2011
West Indian
Ocean (France)
09/2009
European Reanalysis
and Observations for Monitoring
Southeast
Asia (USA)
12/2007
Indonesia, Malaysia,
Thailand, Philippines
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011 (NL) 12/2009
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
EUMETGRID meeting, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 31 August 2011
How do we convince EUMETNET of synergy, and need for funding climate?
EURO4M
EUMETGRID
4-year project (funding assured)
Project with regular extensions (funding uncertain)
Focus on research and development
Focus tools and methodologies for operational services
9 partners in consortium only
Open to all ECSN members and targeted at RA VI
Top-down gridding with common method
Bottom-up stitching national grids together
Based on central data archive ECA&D (selected stations only)
Based on complete national archives (highest possible detail)
Includes DARE and digitization activities
DARE is part of other projects outside EUMETGRID
In situ, satellite and reanalysis data
Prime focus on in situ data
Bulletins with impact relevant indicators of extremes
Various user applications
Relies on existing infrastructure only
New infrastructure development (distributed databases, WIS)
Near-real time monitoring of extreme events
Monitoring linked to WMO Pilot RCC on monitoring (DWD)
Initiated by EU
Initiated by NMHSs
Building block for future GMES Climate Service
Core of future EUMETNET Climate Capability
Liason with ERA-CLIM, ESA-CCI and future FP7 projects
Keen eye on role in operational GMES Climate
GEOLAND2
European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring
SAFERDe Bilt,
G-Mosaic
???
meeting,
The Netherlands,
31 August 2011
MyOcean
MACC
EUMETGRID