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Market Research Working Group Phoenix Annual Meeting/January 29, 2009 •Planning Factors •Project Snapshots Research Funded by The Beef Checkoff Economic Response • A series of studies have helped investigate and shape the checkoff response to the recession Economic Response Survey Foodservice Volumetric Objective: Understand extent of trading down and trading out Methodology: 1439 consumers, online survey Objective/Methodology: Ongoing tracking study among foodservice operators and distributors Foodservice Factoids Objective: Test series of statements about the consumer appeal of beef in restaurants versus other proteins Methodology: 1000 consumers, omnibus study Economic Response Messaging Objective: Understand how to most effectively to keep steaks on the plate in a recession Methodology: Focus groups and in-home interviews with couples Research Team: John Lundeen and Rick McCarty Study 1: Overall Profile of Consumer Food Purchasing Behavior as of Sept., 2008 Higher Price for Food Causing You to Make Changes in Purchasing Habits? Change in Beef Purchasing Habits Among All Adults 61% 24% 47% 29% 13% 4% Yes No Not sure 22% No Change Trading Down Trading Out Don't Know 7 Purchasing Less Expensive Foods Among those trading out of the beef category, fewer beef meals is a preferred tactic to simply using less expensive cuts of beef. Trading Down All Adults Trading Out 66% 72% 65% 66% 34% Less expensive cuts of beef 21% Fewer meals with beef 21% Less beef and more chicken 77% 73% 40% Store-brand products 26% 24% Less expensive cuts of chicken 34% 42% 28% 43% 20% 29% 20% Less beef which I stretch in my recipes 18% Less chicken which I stretch in my recipes 10% 18% 3% 3% 5% 0% Fewer meals with chicken Other Don't Know 13% 8% 2% 42% IPSOS – August 2008 Q. How are you cutting the cost of meals, what types of foods are you purchasing that are less expensive? Base: n= 2358 Foodservice Volumetric • Steaks represent a 42% share of dollars, but more than 100% of total loss of beef value. Lb. Change 2008 vs. 2007 = -487MM Lbs. 2008 Annual Total = 8,181MM Lbs. Ground Beef Steaks Other Beef Roasts Steaks 1,293MM lbs. 16% -9 Roasts** 1,045 MM Lbs 13% Ground beef 5,189MM lbs. 63% Other beef* 654MM lbs. 6% -82 -135 -261 Steaks $10,950MM 42% 2008 Annual Total = $26,300MM Dollar Change 2008 vs. 2007 = -$1,200MM Steaks Roasts Other Beef Roasts** $5,100 MM 19% Ground beef $8,300MM 32% $900 Other beef* $1,950MM 6% -$300 -$1,550 *Includes ribs **Includes country-style ribs and Denver steaks. Numbers may not add due to rounding. Ground Beef -$250 Study 3: Foodservice Factoids: Meal Most Worth Talking About Q9. If you ate an exquisitely prepared beef, chicken and pork meal, which would you be most likely to tell your friends about the next day? Beef 73% Chicken Pork 20% Men – 79% Higher Income – 79% 7% Base: All respondents 6 Ads running in: Restaurant Hospitality, Nation’s Restaurant News, and others Best Reward After Long Week of Work Q6. When heading to a full service restaurant after a long week of work, would a strip steak, a chicken breast or a pork chop be a better reward? Strip Steak 69% 24% Chicken Breast Men – 74% Women – 65% Higher Income – 75% 7% Pork Chop Base: All respondents 8 Study 4: Economic Response Messaging • Consumers are tired of hearing about economic woes. • Terms like “spending less money” makes chicken come to mind. • “Help me be a smart shopper.” – Ideas for stretching your dollar best opportunity. • Planning shopping trips more carefully. – And bulk purchasing, and using coupons, and visiting multiple stores for the best buy. Brand Enhancement Plus • Brand enhancement is still a very relevant platform – supporting beef’s value in the shopping cart. • Simple promise of beef’s “nine essential nutrients” is a strong communication point. • Lean is magical. – Ability to consume lean beef is clearly a strong rationale for purchase. • Consumer communications about beef should highlight lean beef – at every opportunity. The Plus to Brand Enhancement • How to be a smart shopper for beef – Getting the quality I want • Bulk packages offered at retail would be attractive, as long as this wasn’t a way for the store to slip in lower quality product – Preparing lesser cuts effectively – Cooking once, dining twice – Meals incorporating inexpensive, but complimentary healthy sides (whole grains, for example) – All with a tone of pragmatism Value Creation • Three studies focused clearly on adding value to carcass outliers, ground beef and the round BAM – Round 2 Objective: Determine the best merchandising for the new “BAM” cuts from the ribeye, strip and top sirloin Methodology: 1000 consumers, omnibus study Ground Beef Opportunity Assessment Objective: Investigate value added ground beef concepts Methodology: Focus groups Round – 6 New Cuts Naming Objective: Study is in the field currently … to find names that best sell the benefits of six new round cuts Research Team: John Lundeen Super Premium – New Ribeye Cuts SS. Chef’s Secret Steaks TT. Cut needs to be further merchandised (example – pinwheel, or consumer reacts to excessive fat Original Boneless Ribeye Steaks Ribeye JJ. NEW KK. LL. Reactions to New Ribeye Cuts • Similar to the striploin cuts, consumers responded favorably to the new ribeye cuts “It’s like the best part of the ribeye. When I first saw those, I was like ‘Oh, wow!’. It just looks juicy and like it will cook very well.” (Female, Atlanta) – “I don’t like the netting [LL]. Maybe if you put some bacon around it or something.” (Male, Atlanta) JJ Beef Ribeye Filet Boneless – LL Beef Ribeye Filet Boneless • The striploin roast was well received. – “What I do like about the roast is it’s size. So often when you go to the store to buy a roast, they’re so large. I like the fact that it’s compact. It would be easy to season and not as overwhelming.” (Female, Irvine) KK Beef Ribeye Petite Roast Boneless Ground Beef Opportunity Initiative • Focus was to find concepts that would add value to the consumer – Enhancing image – Enhancing nutrition – Enhancing convenience • As a meal solution • Eliminating the hassles of preparation Concepts Overcome Ground Beef Obstacles Making ground beef healthier more upscale, or kid friendly Providing a more complete meal solution Eliminating the hassles of preparing ground beef #2 #3 #1 Upcoming Value Creation Work Top Round Adductor Heel Superficial Digital Flexor Semimembranosus Pectineus Cap/Gracilis Gastrocnemius To help the sell-in of new round cuts, research has been initiated: 1. Names for 6 cuts 2. Sensory reaction from foodservice chefs 3. Sensory reaction from consumers 4. Trained taste panel – to determine ability of pectineus to serve as a stand-in for the petite tender Tracking • Annual studies tracked the impact of the largest channels and communication outlays Ad and Brand Tracker Objective: Track impact of advertising – awareness and impact Methodology: Online survey of 600 food and health involved consumers Foodservice Volumetric Objective/Methodology: Ongoing tracking study among foodservice operators and distributors NET (National Eating Trends) Syndicated data base of “in-home eatings” used to determine how beef is being consumed in-home Issues Management Trackers Objective/Methodology: Ongoing tracking studies using IPSOS omnibus surveys Research Team: John Lundeen and Rick McCarty In-home steak consumption is down % of Individuals Consuming in an Average Two Week Period 70 69 69 68 68 67 66 67 68 67 Other Beef* 18 18 18 17 17 18 19 20 20 20 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 Ground Beef '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 Roast 42 40 39 39 38 36 35 36 36 34 21 19 19 18 18 17 16 18 18 17 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 Steak '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 Source: NPD’s National Eating Trends (NET) Service, Two Years Rolling August *Includes ribs, cubes, chipped, chuck, and not specified Consumed In-Home Safety Grades for Fresh Beef & Chicken Year by year percentage of Americans rating A or B grade for safety 100% 91% 90% 81% 80% 81% 86% 84% 83% 80% 77% 85% 76% 84% 76% 74% 77% 70% 68% 65% 60% 66% 64% 64% 66% 60% 60% Fresh beef steaks/roasts Fresh ground beef SOURCES: Peter Hart Research – 1998-2000; IPSOS 2001 - 2008 8 No v0 08 ay M t0 7 Oc 6 No v0 5 No v0 4 No v0 3 No v0 2 No v0 1 No v0 0 No v0 99 Au g Se p9 8 50% Animal Welfare = Beef Safety Percent of consumers saying beef is the fresh food of highest concern in the supermarket Consumer Safety Tracker – 2007 - 2008 If cattle farmers and ranchers provide good care for their animals and treat them humanely, do you support raising cattle for food? 5%, D 2%, F 24%, C 26%, A 43%, B 4%, No 96%, Yes In general, what kind of grade would you give cattle farmers and ranchers for providing good care for their animals and treating them humanely? Consumer Safety Tracker – Nov. 2008 Nutrition • Nutrient rich foods effort moved past focus groups into quant and influencer studies (DMI funded) NRF Quant Health Influencer Studies Objective: Measure receptivity to NRF approach on a national scale Methodology: Online quant study of 1000 consumers Objective: Quantify target influencer awareness and perceptions of the nutrient rich foods concept Methodology: Online study with 250 dietitians and 250 pediatricians Research Team: John Lundeen, Lori Stanwood (DMI) Under the nutrient rich food approach, beef’s leanest cuts will score a 5 out of 5 Hot Dogs Fried Chicken Garbanzo Beans Top Sirloin Consumers reported strong interest in using the My5 tool in a range of situations. Occasions Likely to Use My5 Tool: Top-2 Box Score (5 pt. Scale A Individual food selection B At-home meal planning/prep C Preparing grocery shopping lists 86% 85% DEFG FG FG 83% D FG Snacking decisions E In store/at shelf food decisions F Away from home/take-out meal decisions G Kids’ school lunch planning/prep 82% FG 82% G 68% Question: Listed below are some occasions and situations that you might use My5. Please tell us how likely you would be to use My5 in each situation or occasion listed below. (5 point scale; Very likely to Very unlikely)(Q.40) Superscripts indicate significantly higher than other group at the 90% CL When Giving Dietary Guidance it is Important to “Get the Most Nutrients per Calorie” Health professionals feel it is important (extremely + very combined) to get the most nutrients per calorie when it comes to giving dietary guidance. This is stronger among registered dietitians (92%) vs. pediatricians (81%), with importance for each group roughly split between those stating it was extremely important vs. very important. Extremely + Very Mean Rating 92% 3.38 81% 3.17 7. How important is the concept of getting the most nutrients per calorie when it comes to giving dietary guidance? 29 Strategy Setting • The consumer beef index set the stage for studying how to message offensively, assess issues Consumer Beef Index Tactics and Triggers Objective: Measure perceptions tied to positive beef satisfaction Methodology: Online quant survey Limiters of Demand Objective: Test messages and “actions” with the most potential to change perceptions Objective: Measure impact of “issues” to reduce consumption Methodology: Online quant survey Research Team: John Lundeen and Rick McCarty Perceptions Doing Well • Consumer Beef Index Indicates: • Bucket 1 • Taste/ Nutrition perceptions B Bucket 1 is Growing B However, likely due to the recession, there has been a recent tapering of average beef meals per week 4.0 3.0 Bucket 1 3.4 3.5 3.2 – Positives strongly outweigh negatives Bucket 1 2.9 Bucket 2 2.5 2.0 2.8 2.7 2.7 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.5 Bucket 2 Bucket 3 – Negatives somewhat outweigh positives Bucket 3 1.0 Bucket 4 – Negatives strongly outweigh positives 0.9 0.5 – Positives somewhat outweigh negatives 0.7 0.6 Bucket 4 0.0 May '07 (N=51-225) Feb '08 (N=98-477) Jul '08 (N=66-449) Question: Q.19: How many times did you eat this type of food in the past week? Safety Rebound, T/N Intersection UP Tactics and Triggers • A total of 6,414 consumers completed an online survey in 12-2008. • The survey included measures pertaining to: – The potential impact of 66 messaging and actionbased tactics likely to be successful in improving perceptions, chosen through an internal review and team discussion of historic research results and programs currently being considered by The Beef Checkoff Tactic Impact On Beef Use (Page 1 of 3) Beef vitamins for brain function and better performance (m) Nutrition More larger quantity and lower price per pound family packs (a) 35% Lean beef may reduce heart disease risk (m) 34% Nutrition 32% 69% 26% 61% 32% 66% 4 oz. lean hamburger/steak healthy as 4 oz. chicken breast (m) 33% 93% lean same fat as turkey, less cholesterol (m) 33% Naturally nutrient-rich food (m) 33% 34% Protein helps prevent muscle loss, a problem after age 40 (m) 33% 33% 66% 32% 34% 66% Protein to build and maintain muscles to facilitate weight management (m) Protein for maintaining weight, building muscle and fueling physical activity (m) Taste satisfaction money-back guarantee (a) Nutrition 37% 31% 30% 31% 64% 29% 62% 67% 33% 26% 64% 56% Protein in beef for stable blood sugar (m) 30% 32% Very satisfying, eat less overall (m) 30% Lean beef protein equal plant-based protein (m) 29% Protein for long-lasting energy (m) 29% Lean beef an important part in reducing cholesterol (m) 29% Ground beef safely cooked still juicy and flavorful (m) 28% 30% 58% Lean beef 1 gram fat > breast (m) 27% 31% 58% Beef best-tasting without sauces and seasonings (m) 27% 29 lean cuts, less fat than thought (m) 26% 30% 56% Cuts for protein in tighter economic times (m) 26% 30% 56% 30% 30% 62% 60% 59% 35% 64% 32% 26% 61% 53% Definitely would Probably would Question: Q.15: Please read each [statement] and then indicate how likely it would be to encourage you to order or prepare beef for yourself or others for at least one more meal every couple of weeks…. Tactic Impact On Beef Use (Page 1 of 3) Beef vitamins for brain function and better performance (m) More larger quantity and lower price per pound family packs (a) 35% Lean beef may reduce heart disease risk (m) 34% 32% 69% 26% 61% 32% 66% 4 oz. lean hamburger/steak healthy as 4 oz. chicken breast (m) 33% 93% lean same fat as turkey, less cholesterol (m) 33% Naturally nutrient-rich food (m) 33% 34% Protein helps prevent muscle loss, a problem after age 40 (m) 33% 33% 66% 32% 34% 66% Protein to build and maintain muscles to facilitate weight management (m) Protein for maintaining weight, building muscle and fueling physical activity (m) Taste satisfaction money-back guarantee (a) Taste 37% 31% 30% 31% 64% 29% 62% 67% 33% 26% 64% 56% Protein in beef for stable blood sugar (m) 30% 32% Very satisfying, eat less overall (m) 30% Lean beef protein equal plant-based protein (m) 29% Protein for long-lasting energy (m) 29% Lean beef an important part in reducing cholesterol (m) 29% Ground beef safely cooked still juicy and flavorful (m) 28% 30% 58% Lean beef 1 gram fat > breast (m) 27% 31% 58% Beef best-tasting without sauces and seasonings (m) 27% 29 lean cuts, less fat than thought (m) 26% 30% 56% Cuts for protein in tighter economic times (m) 26% 30% 56% 30% 30% 62% 60% 59% 35% 64% 32% 26% 61% 53% Definitely would Probably would Question: Q.15: Please read each [statement] and then indicate how likely it would be to encourage you to order or prepare beef for yourself or others for at least one more meal every couple of weeks…. Tactic Impact On Beef Use (Page 1 of 3) Beef vitamins for brain function and better performance (m) More larger quantity and lower price per pound family packs (a) 35% Lean beef may reduce heart disease risk (m) 34% 32% 69% 26% 61% 32% 66% 4 oz. lean hamburger/steak healthy as 4 oz. chicken breast (m) 33% 93% lean same fat as turkey, less cholesterol (m) 33% Naturally nutrient-rich food (m) 33% 34% Protein helps prevent muscle loss, a problem after age 40 (m) 33% 33% 66% 32% 34% 66% Protein to build and maintain muscles to facilitate weight management (m) Protein for maintaining weight, building muscle and fueling physical activity (m) Taste satisfaction money-back guarantee (a) Taste and safety 37% 31% 30% 31% 64% 29% 62% 67% 33% 26% 64% 56% Protein in beef for stable blood sugar (m) 30% 32% Very satisfying, eat less overall (m) 30% Lean beef protein equal plant-based protein (m) 29% Protein for long-lasting energy (m) 29% Lean beef an important part in reducing cholesterol (m) 29% Ground beef safely cooked still juicy and flavorful (m) 28% 30% 58% Lean beef 1 gram fat > breast (m) 27% 31% 58% Beef best-tasting without sauces and seasonings (m) 27% 29 lean cuts, less fat than thought (m) 26% 30% 56% Cuts for protein in tighter economic times (m) 26% 30% 56% 30% 30% 62% 60% 59% 35% 64% 32% 26% 61% 53% Definitely would Probably would Question: Q.15: Please read each [statement] and then indicate how likely it would be to encourage you to order or prepare beef for yourself or others for at least one more meal every couple of weeks…. Tactic Impact On Beef Use (Page 1 of 3) Beef vitamins for brain function and better performance (m) More larger quantity and lower price per pound family packs (a) 35% Lean beef may reduce heart disease risk (m) 34% 32% 69% 26% 61% 32% 66% 4 oz. lean hamburger/steak healthy as 4 oz. chicken breast (m) 33% 93% lean same fat as turkey, less cholesterol (m) 33% Naturally nutrient-rich food (m) 33% 34% Protein helps prevent muscle loss, a problem after age 40 (m) 33% 33% 66% 32% 34% 66% Protein to build and maintain muscles to facilitate weight management (m) Protein for maintaining weight, building muscle and fueling physical activity (m) Taste satisfaction money-back guarantee (a) Price 37% 31% 30% 31% 64% 29% 62% 67% 33% 26% 64% 56% Protein in beef for stable blood sugar (m) 30% 32% Very satisfying, eat less overall (m) 30% Lean beef protein equal plant-based protein (m) 29% Protein for long-lasting energy (m) 29% Lean beef an important part in reducing cholesterol (m) 29% Ground beef safely cooked still juicy and flavorful (m) 28% 30% 58% Lean beef 1 gram fat > breast (m) 27% 31% 58% Beef best-tasting without sauces and seasonings (m) 27% 29 lean cuts, less fat than thought (m) 26% 30% 56% Cuts for protein in tighter economic times (m) 26% 30% 56% 30% 30% 62% 60% 59% 35% 64% 32% 26% 61% 53% Definitely would Probably would Question: Q.15: Please read each [statement] and then indicate how likely it would be to encourage you to order or prepare beef for yourself or others for at least one more meal every couple of weeks…. Limiters of Demand • A total of 2,000 consumers completed an online survey in 12-2008. • The survey included 47 perceived “issues” with beef, and queried the consumer about it’s impact on their purchasing: • • • • • You do not believe this to be true While it may be true, it does not affect what you use You occasionally limit your use of a particular food of this type There is a particular food you usually frequently avoid because of this There is a particular food you have eliminated because of this Overall Concern (1 of 4) Extreme Limiters – Total Where Over 80% Have Some Concern or Belief Total Frequently Concern or Avoid or Belief Eliminate Beef Some cattle are fed hormones …may stay in beef Steak costs too much at restaurant Steak costs too much per pound Beef could contain E.coli … could get sick eating it You could get sick eating beef … cows with BSE Much healthier choices than beef for protein Much healthier choices than beef/vitamins/minerals You could get sick eating beef that is undercooked Stores add things to beef to keep it looking fresh 86% 15% 37% 85% 84% Not Believed True 71% 85% 85% Believe, But Little or No Beef Limitation 33% 14% 20% 46% 8% 52% 8% 71% 64% 82% 16% 82% 14% 68% 82% 13% 69% 80% 11% 9% 66% 69% Question: Q.17: “You will now be shown brief statements describing things you might believe 9% 8% 14% 14% 12% 16% specifically regarding beef. For each one, please read it carefully and move the slider to a position above the phrase that best matches your belief about beef and any action you may have taken.” % of Consumers Indicating Total or Frequent Limiting of Beef When Micro Issues are “Rolled Up” to Macro Issues 50% Price 37% Safety 36% Convenience 35% Nutrition Reputation 19% • The End • Questions