Transcript Reliability and Validity

Reliability and Validity
9/5/2013
Readings
• Chapter 3 Proposing Explanations, Framing
Hypotheses, and Making Comparisons
(Pollock) (pp.48-58)
• Chapter 1 Introduction to SPSS (Pollock
Workbook)
Homework: Due 9/12
• Chapter 1
– Question 1 Parts A &B
– Question 2
About the Homework
• It must be turned in
during class.
• It cannot be emailed
• It must appear on the
workbook paper
(original or a
photocopy)
• You cannot:
OPPORTUNITIES TO DISCUSS
COURSE CONTENT
Office Hours For the Week
• When
– Monday 10-12:00
– Tuesday 8-12
– And by appointment
Course Learning Objectives
1. students will achieve competency in
conducting statistical data analysis using the
SPSS software program.
2. Students will learn the basics of research
design and be able to critically analyze the
advantages and disadvantages of different
types of design.
RELIABILITY AND VALIDITY
Measurement Validity
• A measure is valid
if it measures
what it is
supposed to
measure
• The measure and
the concept
correspond
Operational Validity
• The measure does what it says
• This can be difficult to establish
Face Validity
• The simplest way to
seek validity
• The Measure looks
good on its face
• We ask People, use the
literature
• Problems?
Content Validity
• Using several measures
of a concept to get at
the whole concept
• Good for multidimensional concepts
(e.g. political
participation)
St. Edward’s Admissions
• $50 Application fee
• High School Transcript
• SAT or ACT
• Essay
• Recommendation Form
Trust in Government
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Trust the Federal Government
Is the Government Run for the Benefit of All
Do People in Government Waste Tax Money
Are Government Officials Crooked
Freedom House Index
• 27 Questions
A. Electoral process
B. Political pluralism &
participation
C. Functioning of
government
D. Freedom of expression &
belief
E. Associational &
organizational rights
F. Rule of law
G. Personal autonomy and
individual rights
The Misery Index
LEED Building
Leadership in Energy and
Environmental Design
Predictive Validity
• Using a measure to
predict a future
outcome
• This is very difficult in
the social sciences
The NFL Combines
• 40-yard dash
• Bench press
• Vertical jump
• Broad jump
• 3 cone drill
• Shuttle run
Newsweek from 1978
The LSAT’s
• The LSAT is designed to
measure skills that are
considered essential for
success in law school
• The LSAT is a strong
predictor of first-year
law school grades
• What doesn’t it
measure?
RELIABILITY
Measurement Reliability
• A measurement will
provide the same
results upon repeated
tests
• The more consistent the
results… the more
reliable the measure
Random Error
• Outside of the control
of the researcher
– Outlier case
– People’s feelings
– weather
• Large sample sizes
reduce this
Bad Weather and Turnout
Non-Random Error
• Systemic Researcher
Error
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Poor design
Lazy administration
Intentional error
Small samples
carelessness
• This will distort the
measure of a concept
Non-Random Error
Ensuring Reliability
• Good Definitions and unambiguous questions
• Clear Directions
• Making results and information available to
other researchers
Methods for ensuring Reliability
• Alternative forms technique
• Test-Retest
A measure can be reliable without
being valid, but a measure cannot
be valid without being reliable!
A way of getting content validity
INDEXES AND SCALES
Why create a scale/index?
• To form a
composite measure
of a complex
phenomenon by
using two or more
items
• Get at all facets
• Simplify our data
Examples
• GPA
Likert Scale
• A common way of
creating a scale
• Advantages
• Disadvantages
Guttman Scaling
• Employs a series of
items to produce a
score for respondents
• Ordering questions that
become harder to agree
with
• Advantages and
disadvantages
Guttman Scale
SPSS
Statistical Package for the Social
Sciences
What is a statistical package
• Popular Versions
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SPSS
SAS
R
Stata
Getting SPSS
Don’t
• Purchase a student version
– Limited functions
– Limited variables
• Searching the internet for a
“free version”
– You might get a virus
– The Russians will steal your
identity (exception fallacy).
Do
• Use it on the machines on
campus- free!
• Consider purchasing a 6month license (52.00 + 4.99
download fee)
How to Open Data files
• Data Files on the Pollack CD
• GSS2008.SAV- the 2008 General
Social Survey Dataset
– n=2023
– 301 variables
• NES2008.SAV- the National
Election Study from 2008. n=2323
– 302 variables
• STATES.SAV- aggregate level data
for the 50 States. N=50
– 82 Variables
• WORLD.SAV- aggregate level data
for the nations of the world.
n=191
– 69 Variables
SPSS uses 2 windows
• Data Editor Window
– is used to define and enter your data and to perform
statistical procedures.
– very spread-sheet like
– .sav extension
• The Output Window
– this is where results of statistical tests appear
– This opens when you run your first test
– .spv extension
HOW SPSS WORKS
It is like a spreadsheet
• In Variable View
– You define your
parameters
– Give variables names
– Operationalize variables
• We will not do a lot of
this
Names and Labels
Name
• how the label appears at
the top of the column (like
the first row in excel)
• you cant use dashes, special
characters or start with
numbers
• These should represent the
variable
Labels
• A longer definition of the
variable
• These describe the actual
variable
Value Labels
• This shows how
variables are
operationalized
• Value= the numeric
value given to a
category
• Label= the attribute of
the concept
In Data View
• You type in raw data
• It looks very much like
Excel
• Rows= cases
• Columns= Variables
How Things are Displayed
Edit
• Options
• Display names
• Alphabetical
I Like Values
and Labels
Variables
Exiting SPSS
• If you changed the actual dataset you must
save it
• If you ran any statistics, you must save these
as well