Transcript Modern Russia

Top Mega Trends in Russia
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Contents
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Economy: Russia Beyond Moscow - The Next Game Changers, Economic Engines
for Growth
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Russia’s economic hotspots – cities, regions
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Sources of economic growth – industries, products, services
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Diversification away from oil and gas towards innovative economy
Social Trends: Prosperity, Education and Social Mobility
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Growing purchasing power of population and emergence of middle class; Social mobility
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Higher demand for intangible products – entertainment, services, investment
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Education – Federal Universities, National research centres
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Solid technical knowledge vs. lack of managerial skills in Russia
Healthcare as a National Security Doctrine: Health, Wellness and Wellbeing
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From treatment to prevention
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National drug manufacturing
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Telemedicine and e-healthcare
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Health insurance and private healthcare
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Contents
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Urbanisation : Mega Cities, Mega Regions and Mega Corridors
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Moscow “Big City” project
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Vladivostok – mega hub in the Far East
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For discussion: Moscow - St. Petersburg Mega Corridor? (Mumbai-Delhi case-study)
Infrastructure Development: the Silk Road of Modern Age and Beyond
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Europe-Western China Highway: Russia – Kazakhstan – China
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Development of Trans-Siberian Railway and era of high-speed rail
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Regional air traffic growth and new aviation hubs – drivers and restraints
Modern Russia
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Modernization of obsolete infrastructure and manufacturing capacities
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E-government / e-services as an alternative to paperwork of the Soviet era
Back to Russia
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Localization of manufacturing in Russia – hi-tech alternative to mass production in Asia
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Reverse brain drain
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Contents
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Key Technology Developments
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Biotech (e.g. targeted drug delivery), nanotech, energy (e.g. floating nuclear station), LED lighting
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Technology leapfrogging (e.g. from 2G to 4G/LTE)
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Satellite technology for traffic management, weather control
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Hybrid and electric vehicles
“Smart” is the New Green
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Smart meters, smart buildings, smart grid and smart cities
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Other applications - smart traffic-lights, smart bandages, etc.
Mega Events
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Investments, infrastructure and technology, Russia brand promotion, mass sport industry:
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APEC Summit (Vladivostok, 2012)
Winter Olympics (Sochi, 2014)
Formula 1 Grand Prix (Sochi, 2014)
Soccer World Cup (2018)
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Mega Trends for Skolkovo working groups
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Social Trends: Prosperity, Education and Social Mobility
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Growing purchasing power of population and emergence of middle class; Social mobility

Higher demand for intangible products – entertainment, services, investment

Education – Federal Universities, National research centres

Solid technical knowledge vs. lack of managerial skills in Russia
Urbanisation : Mega Cities, Mega Regions and Mega Corridors

Moscow “Big City” project

Vladivostok – mega hub in the Far East

For discussion: Moscow - St. Petersburg Mega Corridor? (Mumbai-Delhi case-study)
Modern Russia

Modernization of obsolete infrastructure and manufacturing capacities

E-government / e-services as an alternative to paperwork of the Soviet era
Back to Russia

Localization of manufacturing in Russia – hi-tech alternative to mass production in Asia

Reverse brain drain
Mega Events

Investments, infrastructure and technology, Russia brand promotion, mass sport industry:

APEC Summit (Vladivostok, 2012)

Winter Olympics (Sochi, 2014)

Formula 1 Grand Prix (Sochi, 2014)

Soccer World Cup (2018)
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Guidelines and useful hints
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Guidelines
Approach and methodology: create hypothesis based on economical, statistical data, press releases,
companies web sites and annual reviews, blogs and other secondary sources on information. Some new
trends and hypothesis besides mentioned in the short-list are always welcome but need to be discussed
and proved. Macro to micro trends analysis.
Structure: hypothesis, some proving facts and data, analysis based on common sense, reliable scientific
and economical articles and investigations expert opinions (may include the interviews made by the
students themselves), visualization of ideas.
Frost & Sullivan role: short-list of Mega Trends preparation, assistance with some data and primary
information. Moderation of discussions within working groups, assistance with data collection and analysis
techniques. Assistance with data visualization.
Requirements to collection and formulation arguments for new/ existing Mega Trend
Every trend realization (in general) should be supported with:
• Existing or planned project or technology R&D better with announced financial plans or intentions,
proving the whole trend (time of realization, approx. amount of investments)
• Announced government support, special legislation framework, government programs and initiatives,
co-investment initiatives.
• Some data (e.g. backward statistics or current and future situation analysis, experts point of view, etc)
proving social, economic, technology, whatever, local or global trends.
• Good examples or success stories proving the hypothesis (in Russia or in other countries as well).
And vice versa: if you think that of the trends for some reason won’t work for Russia you should be ready
to prove it with some valuable facts.
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Social Trends: Prosperity, Education and Social Mobility
To analyse:

Middle class size (now and in 2020), its main characteristics (incl. distribution per country),
related economic trends (demands, development, interdependency with economic processes,
etc.)

Social mobility trends: economic, geographic and infrastructure aspects (benefits, threats).
Why do we need it? How it could be intensified?
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Higher demand for intangible products – entertainment, services, investment (new services,
new markets and market opportunities)
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Current and Future Education systems for Generation Y (announced plans and reforms),
necessities, main trends – globalization, education in Russia and abroad (statistics,
predictions), social effects, opportunities, benefits.
To think about:
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Social thinking: social networks (current statistics, trends), social innovations,
personalization(new trends and applications)
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Solid technical knowledge vs. lack of managerial skills in Russia (traditional forms of
education). Complex approach and reformation, new shape of high education: Federal
Universities, National research centres.
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Urbanisation : Mega Cities, Mega Regions and Mega Corridors
To analyse:
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Moscow “Big City” project:
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Announced plans and investments (opportunities, problems, concerns)
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Development strategy (infrastructure, transport system, social aspects)
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Investments and project realization period
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Regional impact. Is it possible? Why do we need it?
Vladivostok – mega hub in the Far East:
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Complex development of Vladivostok before and after APEC 2012 summit
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Opportunities and problems for Vladivostok as a hub and connection point between Russia
and Asia. Possible locations-competitors.
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Level of investments needed and announced (perspectives)
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Regional impact. Why is it so important?
To think about:
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Moscow - St. Petersburg Mega Corridor? (Mumbai-Delhi case-study)
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Prerequisites for corridor creation (trends and examples), costs and future opportunities
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Project execution (plans, timing, possibility and necessity)
Russian urbanization trends in general. Another examples of Mega Regions/ corridors in Russia.
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Modern Russia
To analyse:
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Current and announced modernization programmes and initiatives (plans, investment level,
goals, realization period) – state and private trends,
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Some industry examples: oil and gas (oil refining), and/or utilities (water/gas/electricity supply,
wastewater),
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Expectations and impact on various industries (some related statistics could be useful)
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New technologies application in industry and economy (how they could influence on current
situation or shape new trends),
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E-government implementation in Russia (current situation, statistics, perspectives, comparison
with another countries - United Nations “E-government reports”, situation in different countries:
leaders and best practices to understand main trends.
To think about:
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“Strategy 2020” state programme,
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Business initiatives and expectations,
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Various sectors opportunities: space, energy, ITC, etc.,
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Russia: current state vs future opportunities : cost of paper services and e-government
approach (plans, budget spending). What do we actually gain and what we lose?
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Back to Russia
To analyze:

Localization of manufacturing in Russia – hi-tech alternative to mass production in Asia region
(trends, reasons, opportunities, threats),
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Different practical aspects: manufacturing capabilities, human capital, geographic position,
infrastructure),
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Leading international companies and their plans in Russia: manufacturing localization, R&D,
etc.
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Reverse brain drain process:
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Is it truly exist?
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Do people return or it’s just “brain circulation” (reasons, statistics, positive and negative
sides)?
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Current trends and government plans and expectations
To think about:
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Current position and Russian perspectives in global economy. Is “Back to Russia” possible
and why? Global experience of the same processes.
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Reverse brain drain: globalization of modern science (volume of brain drain, cost for
economy, conditions for return – to analyse if it’s possible or not). Global trends.
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Mega Events
To analyse:
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Mega Events in Russia
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APEC Summit (Vladivostok, 2012)
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Winter Olympics (Sochi, 2014)
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Formula 1 Grand Prix (Sochi, 2014)
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Soccer World Cup (2018)
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Different aspects: investments, infrastructure and technology (threats and opportunities)
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Impact to national economy (direct and indirect): tourism, production, investments
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Private and state approach and contribution,
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Global experience: success stories and bad examples (London, Beijing, Mexico-2010
celebration programmes)
To think about:
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Mega events as a part of national promotion strategy: does it really work?
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Russia brand promotion: current image and perception, trends and the ways to improve
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Examples
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Case Study: Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) – One of the
Biggest Manmade Corridors; Completed by 2020
$90 1,483
billion
Estimated cost of
completion; funding
from Japanese and
Indian governments
on a 50:50 basis
km
road and rail link
length
Investment Regions
7
states
to be integrated
along the corridor
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Industrial
zones
7 emerging Mega
Cities 3 ports, 6
airports and high
speed freight lines
3
million people
employment
opportunities, 70% in
manufacturing and
processing
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investment
regions
each of 200 sq km
size, projected tripling
of exports in 5 years
Source and Photo Credits: DMIC
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Case Study: Jaypee Green Sports City—India's First $1B Urban
Integrated City to be Completed by 2013
The 2,500-acre Jaypee Greens Sports Complex in Noida, New Delhi, is comprised of apartments and villas,
lakes and canals. social clubs, a motor racing track, a cricket stadium, and other international sports centres.
Cricket
Stadium
18-hole golf course and 18 km
of green boulevard across 215
acres of landscape, waterways,
and recreational facilities.
Residential Lake District
includes villas, town homes,
and mid- to high-rise apartment
blocks.
RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL
SPORTS FACILITIES
Total Investment
• Sports City Complex: $820 million
• Additional Contract Fee (Formula One):
$175 million ($35 million p.a. for 5 years)
Golf
Course
and Green
Park
Motor
Racing
Track
Lake
District
Other
Sports
facilities
Upcoming in-built cricket
stadium, which boasts a
capacity of 10,000 people.
Buddh International Circuit, over
875 acres in length, has already
hosted the very first F1 Motor
Race in India in October 2011.
25,000-seat hockey stadium, a
go-karting facility, and a sports
academy have been planned.
Country
Homes
Country-style homes with a
capacity to house a total of
more than 1.5 lakh families.
Important Dates
•Tentative date of completion: 2013
Source: Jaypee Group (Company Website)
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E-Governance in India:
Examples of Emerging G2G, G2C, and G2B Services in India
INTERACTIONS
G2G
SERVICES (Examples)
• E-Training, e-Payroll,
Budget Control, e-Funds
Transfer
• e Files, Decision Support
System
Government to
Government
G2C
Government to
Citizens
G2B
Government to
Business
IMPLICATIONS
• Increase efficiency
between different
functional areas of
government
• Transparency for
stakeholders in G2G
transactions
• E-Delivery of Land
Records, e-Payments for
Utility Services, Electoral
Services
• E-Registration
• E-Licenses and ePermits
• Vehicle Tracking System
• Efficient delivery of a
long range of public
services 24/7
• One Stop Shop for all
G2C and B2C services
• E-Licensing
• E-Permits
• E-Procurement (Pre- and
Post-Bid)
• E-Revenue Collection
• E-Business and e-Forms
• Cut red tape and save
time
• Reduce operational costs
for businesses
• Increase buying power
• Transparency in bidding
process
MEDIUM
Installation
of
service
centres,
kiosks,
Internet, fax,
phone, email, WAN,
data
servers,
application
servers
Source: 11th Report, Second Administrative Reforms Commission, “Promoting e-Governance”, Government of India, 2008
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