Transcript LEAP_MtN_v1 - Moves the Needle
LEAP LEAN ENTREPRENEUR ACCELERATOR PROGRAM
Welcome
Topics:
Lean Startup Overview Make Your Idea Tangible Lean Experiments Decisions – The Art of the Pivot Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
8:00 – 8:30 8:30 – 9:00 9:00 – 9:30 9:30 – 11:00 11:00 – 11:30 11:30 – 2:30 2:30 – 3:00 3:00 – 3:30 3:30 – 5:00 5:00 + needed)
Agenda Day 1
Breakfast – Let’s Eat!
Intro to Lean Startup Enterprise Innovation Spectrum Doing it – LEAP Loop #1 Exercise Create Your Experiment Get Outside – run your experiment!
Close the Loop Building Your Case LEAP Loop #2 Optional work time (we’ll stay as late as Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
What is LEAP?
Goal: Learn and apply lean startup principles by
doing,
so you never go back to the old way. What to expect: - Get outside your comfort zone - The need for speed –
we’ll go fast!
We’re here to help, don’t hesitate to ask - Have fun!
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How will you do it?
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Ready to LEAP in?
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What is “Lean”?
Elimination of waste in the production and delivery of value to the customer… Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
What is a Startup?
“A startup is an temporary organization formed to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
.” – Steve Blank “
A human institution designed to create new products and services under conditions of extreme uncertainty.
” – Eric Ries Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
What is “Lean Startup”?
Elimination of waste in searching for a scalable business model, or significant business impact.
Goal for lean startups: Learning!
Lean Startup Myths • Lean = cheap or poor quality • Only for high tech (hint: it works in large orgs too) • Replaces vision with customer demands Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Innovation Spectrum
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How do we search?
Begin with an educated guess OK to begin without the answers, you’re probably wrong anyway.
Change guesses into facts using experiments - Measure behavior, test hypotheses, capture surprises - Make decisions based on the results of your experiments Move through the loop quickly - Build the absolute minimum required to test your assumptions - Build your case one experiment at a time - Get moving – NOW! (rinse and repeat forever) Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Source: Eric Ries, The Lean Startup
Lean Experimentation Rigor Inspiration
Rapid Experimentation Continuum
No Experience (unknown)
Search
High Risk - many unknowns Sustaining Innovations
Optimize
Low Risk - few unknowns Experienced (known) Breakthrough Innovations (disruptive)
Measure
Focus on the key metrics that matter – ignore vanity metrics.
- Measure
important
customer behavior Willingness to exchange “currency” (time, attention, $$$) - What activities must we do to deliver customer value - Something else unique to your idea?
Use metrics to eliminate gap between “say vs. do”, focus on metrics involving “do”.
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Lie Witness News
Why don’t we just
ask
customers if they will use our product?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vp4SnmOxP0U Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Learn and Decide
The output from lean experimentation is
new knowledge and insights
about your customer or business model.
• Build a case over time, using multiple experiments • Experiments to learn, not just validate.
• Savor the surprises! • Is your confidence increasing or decreasing?
• Why, why, why?
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Let’s Get Loopy!
The Lean Startup Loop
Exercise – Run the Loop
0:05 – Review and post your idea (customer + problem + solution) 0:15 - Brainstorm your riskiest assumptions 0:10 – Narrow to your top 3 assumptions 0:05 – Document your Leap of Faith Assumption 0:10 – Brainstorm hypotheses 0:05 – Document a single hypothesis 0:15 - Brainstorm experiments to test hypothesis 0:10 – Narrow to a single experiment 0:05 - Document your experiment – Build and run your experiment outside with real customers 0:15 – Learn as a team – close the loop Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Exercise 1
Make Your Idea Tangible
Document Your Idea (:05)
Tangible, measurable solution to a specific customer problem or pain – be specific!
Task: Post 3 sticky notes on your poster Customer: Who is experiencing the problem.
Problem: What is the customer’s problem Solution: Your proposed solution to the problem Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
What are Assumptions?
“Something taken for granted or accepted as true
without proof
” Opinions vs. Facts (Hint: What you think is fact, is likely an assumption) Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Exercise 2
Leap of Faith Assumption
Brainstorm Assumptions (:10)
• What customer behaviors must take place for your solution to be adopted?
• What assumptions are you taking for granted as fact?
• What keeps you up at night? Task: Write down as many assumptions as possible as a team, one assumption per sticky note.
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Narrow Assumptions (:10)
• What is the biggest assumption that if false, will cause you product to fail?
• What is most unknown, where do gaps exist?
• Focus on customer behavior related assumptions (ex: Sports cars lovers will drive an electric car) Task: Narrow your assumptions using the LEAN Loop poster 2x2 grid. Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Post Your Leap of Faith (:05)
This is the riskiest assumption for your business idea.
“If this is not true, we’re out of business”
(ex: Sports cars lovers want an electric car) Task: Place a single sticky note of your riskiest, LOF assumption on your poster.
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Exercise 3
Hypothesis
If we do
X, Y%
of people will behave in way
Z
X= Your solution (the carrot) Y% = Your target metric (the number) Z = The customers’ behavior (the hoop)
Create Hypothesis (:05) If we do
X
,
Y%
of people will behave in way
Z
Task: Write down your hypothesis on a sticky note, and place on your poster.
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Pitch (:01)
Customer + Problem + Solution + LOF Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Exercise 4
Lean Experiments
Why Lean Experiments?
Reduce the risk associated with resource investment, move faster with more certainty.
• Change opinions into facts • Inform our decisions with data and customer insights • Separate customer words from behavior – say vs. do!
Output = Insights + Data
(what did I learn from the customer + what behavior did I measure) Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Brainstorm Experiments (:15)
• Will his experiment will test your hypotheses?
• Measure real behavior (or as close to it as possible) • Can you get an answer quickly!
• Capture surprises as well as data Important: Use behavior + “currency exchange” to eliminate say vs. do – NO SURVEYS – KEEP IT HUMAN (currency = time, money, attention, personal info, usage) Task: Brainstorm at least 3 different experiment methods listed your survival guide.
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Choose 1 Experiment (:10)
• Can you get your answers quickly?
• How will you measure behavior?
• How will you interact in person with your target customer?
Did we mention: NO SURVEYS + KEEP IT HUMAN Task: Select the best experiment to run first (use 2x2 for help) Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Document Experiment (:05)
Task: On your poster, complete a sticky note for each of the following: Describe the experiment What specific behavior will you measure?
What currency will you collect?
Minimum success criteria (ex: 50% sign-up)
NO SURVEYS!
KEEP IT HUMAN!
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Go! (2:45)
Run your experiment in the wild Don’t tell people this is an experiment Collect contact info so you can follow-up later Ask why or why not – look for surprises!
Stay out of jail…
Return by 2:15pm
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Learn and Decide
Closing the Loop
What are you looking for?
A strong behavioral response from your target customer, confirming or denying your hypothesis.
- Did your numeric hypothesis pass or fail?
- Do you know why or why not?
- What surprised you?
Ex: 50% of small business signed up for our online beta program, providing their email and contact info.
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Output = Learning
What insights did you encounter which
change the way you think about your customer..?
How painful is the problem? Does it exist at all? - Vitamin > Medicine > Addictive Drug Are they trying to solve it today?
- What process, if any, are they taking to solve their problem What were your biggest surprises?
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The Art of the Pivot
A
significant
change in direction based on new customer insights, where the vision remains the same.
Idea: App to help diabetics maintain healthy eating habits.
Insight: “Diabetic caregivers often care more than patients about maintaining healthy habits” Pivot to: App for diabetic caregivers instead of diabetics Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Close the Loop (:15)
Based on what you learned, Is your Leap of Faith true or false..? Why or why not?
If true – Persevere!
Move on to next leap of faith, repeat loop process Push to be more aggressive for next experiment If false – Pivot!
Change one or more components of your Idea, Repeat loop process Important: leverage insights gathered during your experiment!
Document updates on your poster and canvas Create new sticky notes and place them on top of existing notes Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Pitch 2 (:03)
Customer + Problem + Solution + LOF + Experiment + Decision Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Let’s Get Loopy Again!
Rinse and Repeat – Forever!
Loop to the Start, Begin Again
• Review/update your vision and idea • Pick your next Leap of Faith assumption to test • Create a new hypothesis for next experiment • Create the next experiment to test your next hypothesis • Run your next experiment with real customers!
Task: As a team, run through the steps of your poster, asking for mentor help if needed.
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Digital Experiments
Run a digital experiment overnight • Unbounce.com
• Bit.ly
• Wufoo.com
• MailChimp.com
• Godaddy.com
• Craigslist.com
• Facebook Ads • Google AdWords Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Congrats!
You Survived Day 1
Agenda Day 2
8:00 – 8:30 Welcome back check-in 9:30 – 10:00 Breaking frame 10:00 – 10:30 Pitch Updates (tell your story) ~11:00 – 2:00 Go outside! Experiment #1 2:00 – 3:00 Closing the loop 3:00 – 4:00 Breaking frame 4:00 – 4:30 Experiment plan #2 4:30 – 5:00 Operationalize LEAP (now what?) Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Day 1 - Reflections
What did you feel and observe?
How is this process different than your current way of working?
Are we uncovering game-changing ideas for our customers?
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Judge the Search…
-
Teams are just as important as ideas
Teams must demonstrate the ability to “search”, in addition to their idea’s viability. No team gets it right the first time.
-
Real customer behavior trumps opinion
Teams must demonstrate the ability to generate data from customers using behavioral experiments. -
Evidence builds in small increments over time
Teams must move through multiple experiments loops in small increments, in order to increase confidence over time.
Judge the Business Model
-
Identify a specific customer
Teams must demonstrate understanding of their specific customer segment, and insights related to the customer’s desired outcomes.
-
Deliver value to the customer
Teams must demonstrate their proposed solution is delivering value to their target customer, via currency exchange (time, attention, dollars) -
Generate positive business impact
Teams must demonstrate Intuit can extract value for shareholders (and employees as well)
Before we Begin, Review…
• Review/update your vision and idea • Pick your next Leap of Faith assumption to test • Create a new hypothesis for next experiment • Create experiment(s) to test your next hypothesis • Run your next experiment with real customers!
Task: As a team, run through the steps of your poster, asking for mentor help if needed.
Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Pitch – (:03) Tell Your Story
Vision + Customer + Problem + Solution + LOF + Experiment 1 Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
What are you looking for?
A strong behavioral response from your target customer, confirming or denying your hypothesis.
- Do you know why or why not?
How painful is the problem? Does it exist at all? - Vitamin > Medicine > Addictive Drug Are they trying to solve it today?
- What process, if any, are they taking to solve their problem Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Example – LEAP
• Vision: Create entrepreneurs inside corporations • Idea: A 2-day “lean competition” for entrepreneurs at big companies – Customer Segment: Internal entrepreneurs at corporations – Customer Problem: I don’t know how to move my new idea forward – Value Proposition: Jumpstart your idea while learning lean startup principles – Revenue Model: Fee to attend • Leap of Faith: If we conduct a startup competition, entrepreneurial minded employees will attend and make rapid progress on their ideas • Hypothesis: At least 3 teams will attend an event, and at least 1 team will validate their business idea with real customers.
• Experiment: Conduct a LEAP competition in San Diego • Metrics/Currency: Number of entrepreneurs who attend, idea success, currency is willingness to spend time spent away from day job.
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Let’s get Loopy - Again!
Repeat until your business is validated (or not) Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Final Loop
Did you get a strong behavioral response from your target customers?
- Did your numeric hypothesis pass or fail?
- Do you know why or why not?
- What surprised you?
What is your decision as of right now?
- How confident are you in this decision?
Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Pitch 3 – Final (:05) Tell Your Story
Vision + Customer + Problem + Solution + LOF + Experiment 1, 2, 3 + Final Decision Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Next Steps
• Try it – Don’t wait for permission to run experiments • Start small, think big • Set aside specific time for experiments • Help each other – you’re in the club • Include leaders in the process Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Business Model Canvas
Business Model Canvas
Start with Customer, then Business
Use learning from customers to inform how to create business
Vision: Create Intrepreneurs …
IDEA: 48 hour startup competition for corporate intrepreneurs
Corporations Conferences Lean Startup community (Eric) Conduct events Follow-up coaching LEAP Mentors LEAP Content Jumpstart your idea quickly….
Lean lean startup principles… Find out if customers like your idea… Have fun!
Event + follow-up support from the community.
Intrepreneurs Product Teams Academies (GMs, pipeline owners, shareholders) Word of Mouth Per-event: Facilities, facilitators (~$6,000 est.) Fees to attend % of New ideas in market Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved
Vision: Create Entrepreneurs…
IDEA: 48 hour startup competition for internal entrepreneurs
BUs Lean Startup community (Eric) Conduct events Follow-up coaching LEAP Mentors LEAP Content Per-event model (~$6,000) + employee time Jumpstart your idea quickly….
Lean lean startup principles… Find out if customers like your idea… Have fun!
Event + follow-up support from the community.
Intrepreneurs Product Teams Academies (GMs, pipeline owners, shareholders) Word of Mouth Fees to attend % of New ideas in market Copyright © 2013 Moves the Needle LLC All Rights Reserved