Transcript No Slide Title

DEVELOPMENT OF A REGIONAL ENERGY
MARKET IN THE MEKONG AREA
by Piyasvasti Amranand
National Energy Policy Office, Thailand
ENERGY WEEK 1999
7 April 1999, Washington D.C.
THAILAND : THE SINGLE BUYER OF ENERGY
FROM THE MEKONG SUBREGIONAL
ECONOMIES
• MOU WITH LAO PDR FOR IMPORTING
3,000 MW OF POWER BY 2006
• MOU WITH MYANMAR FOR IMPORTING
1,500 MW OF POWER BY 2010
• MOU WITH CHINA FOR IMPORTING 3,000
MW OF POWER BY 2017
• POWER EXCHANGE WITH MALAYSIA TO
RISE TO 300 MW
• COOPERATION IN POWER SECTOR WITH
CAMBODIA UNDER DISCUSSION
Power Purchase from Lao PDR
• MOU of 4 June 1993: Thailand agreed to
purchase 1,500 MW of power from projects
in Lao PDR by 2000
• Initial 4 projects (total capacity 1,600 MW)
have progressed significantly: one PPA
signed, two HOA’s signed and one HOA
agreed
• Second MOU of 19 June 1996: Thailand
agreed to increase purchase to 3,000 MW
by 2006
Power Purchase from Lao PDR cont.
• Two PPA’s signed

Nam Theun Hinboun (187 MW)


Commissioning 31 March 1998 on schedule
Houay Ho (126 MW)

Commissioning September 1999
• Hongsa Lignite (608 MW)




PPA negotiations completed December 1997
Currently being scrutinised by Attorney General
Baht flotation has caused the project developer
to request renegotiation.
New COD set for 2006 or 2008
Power Purchase from Lao PDR cont
• Nam Ngum 2 (553 MW) & Nam Ngum 3
(430 MW)



MOU agreed September 1997
Thai government approval October 1997
COD scheduled 2006-2008
• Xepian & Xenamnoy (365 MW)


Negotiation commenced
COD scheduled 2006-2008
• Commissioning dates for projects with no
PPA’s still under negotiation
• Likely that two dates will be set


1600MW to be purchased December 2006
1700MW to be purchased March 2008
Power Purchase from Lao PDR cont
Project
ProjectswithPPA
NamTheun-Hinboun
Houay Ho
HOA&PPAunder negotiation
HongsaLignite(Stage1&2)
NamNgum3
NamNgum2
Under negotiation
NamTheun2
XeKaman1
XePien- XeNamNoi
Total
MW
Investors
COD
187
126
LaoPDR, Nordic, MDX
LaoPDR, Daewoo, Loxley
3/98
9/99
608
430
553
Thai-LaoLignite
LaoPDR, MDX
Shlapak, Bilfinger &Berger, Voith, Noell,
Siemens, Ch. Karnchang, Sri U-Thong
2006/8
2006/8
2006/8
900 LaoPDR, TransfieldEDF, Italthai Jasmine, Phatra 2006
407 LaoPDR, Hecce, Sri U-Thong
2006/8
365 DongAh, Thai-LaoHydropower, Intertrade
2006/8
3,576
Power Purchase from China
• MOU signed 12 November 1998 for
purchase of 3000MW from China by 2017.
• ADB estimates that Yunnan Province, P.R.
China, has hydropower generating
capability of 90,000 MW.
• Lancang (Mekong) Riiver has total potential
of 22,260 MW. Manwan (1,500 MW) is
already in operation. 2nd dam under
construction.
• Possible project for power sale - Jing Hong
Project


Capacity: 1,500 MW, with 1,200 MW for sale to
Thailand
Investor: MDX/Yunnan Electric
Hydro Power Potential in Yunnan
Province
Name
JinshaRiver (Yantze)
LancangRiver (Mekong)
NujangRiver (Thanlwin)
Tributary Projects
Total
GenerationCapacity
MW
TWh/yr
40,940
215.5
22,260
110
13,900
77.5
12,900
47
90,000
450
Source: Subregional Energy Sector Study for the Greater Mekong Subregion,As
Power Plants Envisaged for Lancang
River
ProjectName
Liutongjiang
Jiabi
Wulonglong
Tuoba
Huangdeng
Tiemenkan
Gongguoqiao
InstalledCapacity
ProjectName
(MW)
500
Xiaowan
430
Manwan
800
Dachaoshan
1,640
Nouzhadu
1,860
Jinghong
1,780
Ganlanba
900
Mensong
Total: 22,260
InstalledCapacity
(MW)
4,200
1,500
1,350
5,000
1,500
150
600
Power Purchase from Myanmar
• Myanmar has significant potential for hydro
and natural gas
• Technical potential for hydro possibly up to
100,000 MW

Preliminary studies by Myanmar government on
196 projects indicates total capacity of 37,000
MW
• MOU signed July 1997 for Thailand to
purchase up to 1,500 MW by 2010
• Potential projects for exporting to Thailand

Hydro



Nam Kok (MDX, Italian Thai, Marubeni) 55 MW
Hutgyi (Marubeni, Italian Thai) 400 MW
Tasang (MDX) 3,600 MW
Power Sale to Myanmar
• Joint Thai/Myanmar committee established
to develop and implement a plan to sell
100-150MW of power to Myanmar to
alleviate their current power shortage.
• A transmission line will be constructed
between Mae Sot in Tak Province and
Bago, Myanmar to link the Thai and
Myanmar grids.
• A feasibility study is currently underway.
• Expectation that sale can commence in
Power Supply by Source
(PDP 99-01) Unit:MW
EGAT-HYDRO
EGAT-THERMAL
EGCO
IPP
SPP
LAOPDR+Malaysia
TOTAL
1997
2,874
11,825
2,056
0
224
195
16,979
%
16.6
68.5
11.9
0.0
1.9
1.1
100.0
2001
3,384
16,217
2,056
1,400
1,807
613
25,477
%
12.6
58.6
7.7
11.5
7.4
2.3
100.0
2006
3,384
15,797
2,056
4,597
2,097
613
28,312
%
12.9
48.0
5.8
18.3
5.7
9.4
100.0
Power Supply by Source
(PDP 99-01) Unit:GWh
EGAT-HYDRO
EGAT-THERMAL
EGCO
IPP
SPP
LAOPDR
TOTAL
1997
7,055
69,270
13,620
0
1,977
803
92,725
%
2001
7.6
3,925
74.7 65,022
14.7
9,849
0.0
9,204
2.1 12,830
0.9
2,863
100.0 103,684
%
2006
3.8
5,388
63.0 75,998
11.2 12,406
8.7 31,652
11.3 14,696
2.1
2,863
100.0 143,003
%
3.2
52.3
7.7
20.3
7.7
8.7
100.0