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Predictors of treatment response, baseline and on-treatment A case study of telaprevir therapy Alex Thompson Key learning objectives • Identify the key predictors of treatment response for HCV genotype 1: – peg-IFN + RBV • IL28B genotype, fibrosis stage, baseline viral load • On-treatment response (RGT) – DAA – telaprevir • IL28B genotype, fibrosis stage, HCV 1a vs 1b • Past treatment response • Importance of on-treatment response – eRVR (RGT) – Stopping rules Mrs CW • 55-year-old professional woman • Experimental IDU in early 20s • Moderate-heavy alcohol intake 25-50 years – 40-60 g alcohol/day – Abstinent since diagnosis of HCV 3 years prior • No symptoms of HCV or CLD Mrs CW • • • • Obese (BMI 37) Hyperlipidaemia Glucose intolerance Medication – Atorvastatin – Fish oil tablets Mrs CW What results do you want to know? Mrs CW • Investigation results: – FBE – platelets 130 – LFTs – albumin 36, ALT 150, BR 6 – HCV – 1a – HCV viral load 900,000 IU/mL – IL28B genotype TT – Fasting glucose 6.2, fasting lipids TC 5.6, LDL 3.0 – US – echogenic liver c/w fatty infiltration, spleen at upper limit normal Mrs CW • Fibroscan – not possible (body habitus) • Liver biopsy – cirrhotic Mrs CW • What is the likelihood that she will be cured: – peg-IFN + RBV? – DAA therapy? Peg-IFN + RBV peg-IFN + RBV: SVR rates 100 peg-IFN / RBV (6-12 mths)[6,7] SVR (%) 80 IFN / RBV (6-12 mths)[3,4] 60 40 20 Standard IFN (6 mths)[1] Standard IFN (12-18 mths)[2,3] 38-43% 50-60% peg-IFN monotherapy (6-12 mths)[5,6] 25-30% 15-20% 8-12% 0 1991 1995 1998 2001 1. Carithers RL Jr., et al. Hepatology. 1997;26:83S-88S. 2. Zeuzem S, et al. N Engl J Med. 2000;343:1666-1672. 3. Poynard T, et al. Lancet. 1998;352:1426-1432. 4. McHutchison JG, et al. N Engl J Med. 1998;339:1485-1492. 5. Lindsay KL, et al. Hepatology. 2001;34:395-403. 6. Fried MW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;347:975-982. 7. Manns MP, et al. Lancet. 2001;358:958-965. IDEAL Study: peg-IFN alfa-2a vs alfa-2b in treatment-naive HCV genotype 1 patients 100 ITT analysis (n=3070) SVR (%) 80 60 40 40% 38% peg-IFN alfa-2b 1.5 µg/kg/wk + RBV 800-1400 mg/day peg-IFN alfa-2b 1.0 µg/kg/wk + RBV 800-1400 mg/day 41% 20 0 peg-IFN alfa-2a 180 µg/wk + RBV 1000-1200 mg/day McHutchison JG, et al. N Engl J Med. 2009;361:580-593. peg-IFN and RBV: IL28B-type and fibrosis stage predict for SVR in HCV genotype 1 Response rate (%) 100 HCV-1 80 69 60 100 100 F0-2 80 72 60 F3-4 80 60 41 40 27 33 20 0 40 30 34 20 TT CT CC 0 40 20 TT CT CC 0 22 11 TT CT CC SVR SVR SVR n=1171 n=988 n=133 Thompson, Gastro, 2010 peg-IFN + RBV: On-treatment virological response predicts SVR in HCV genotype 1 SVR 88% SVR <5% 106 20 % HCV RNA (IU/mL) 105 16 % NR SVR 29% 22 % 42 % 104 SVR 68% pEVR 103 2 log10 IU/mL decline 102 RVR cEVR Undetectable < 50 IU/mL 10 // 0 4 8 12 20 Likelihood of SVR 24 48 wks Marcellin, AASLD, 2007 Fried, EASL, 2008 Telaprevir therapy ADVANCE: Telaprevir + peg-IFN/RBV in HCV-1 treatment-naive patients Wk 8 TVR + PR* (n=364) Treatment-naive patients with genotype 1 HCV TVR + PR* (n=363) Wk 24 Wk 12 eRVR†: PR* Follow-up PR* Follow-up Follow-up eRVR†: PR* PR* (n=1088) Wk 72 Wk 48 PR* (n=361) Follow-up Follow-up *TVR 750 mg q8h, peg-IFN alfa-2a 180 µg/wk, weight-based RBV 1000-1200 mg/day. †eRVR: extended rapid virologic response = undetectable HCV RNA at Wks 4 and 12. Jacobson IM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:2405-2416. Telaprevir triple therapy: SVR rates in treatment-naïve genotype 1 patients Pooled analysis from ADVANCE and ILLUMINATE[2] ADVANCE[1] p<0.001 100 75 Delta = 33% 60 80 SVR (%) SVR (%) 80 Nonblack Black 100 44 40 75 61 60 45 40 25 20 0 n/ N= 158/ 361 271/ 363 PR T12 PR 20 0 n/ N= 151/ 7/ 333 28 PR 599/ 60/ 804 99 T12 PR 1. Jacobson IM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:2405-2416. 2. Dusheiko GM, et al. EASL 2011. Abstract 1788. Telaprevir triple therapy: SVR rates in treatment-naïve genotype 1 patients* 74–79* n/N = PR 48 T12/PR 166/361 683/903 *p<0.0001 T12/PR vs PR48 (79% versus 46%) in ADVANCE. SVR, considered virologic cure, was defined as HCV RNA <25 IU/mL at last observation within the Week 72 visit window. In case of missing data, the last HCV RNA data point from Week 12 of follow-up onwards was used Telaprevir EU SmPC Telaprevir Predicting response in treatment-naïve patients: 1. Baseline: – Fibrosis stage – IL28B genotype – Other - Genotype 1a vs 1b, HCV viral load, etc. 2. On-treatment: – Extended RVR (eRVR) and response-guided therapy (RGT) – Stopping rules * SVR by advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis in patients receiving TVR + peg-IFN/RBV F3 Cirrhosis SVR (%) F0 – F2 n/N= PR 48 T12 PR PR 48 T12 PR PR 48 T12 PR 140/288 237/290 18/52 33/52 8/21 15/21 SVR, considered virologic cure, was defined as HCV RNA <25 IU/mL at last observation within the Week 72 visit window. In case of missing data, the last HCV RNA data point from Week 12 of follow-up onwards was used Telaprevir EU SmPC Direct antiviral therapy & IL28B ADVANCE (telaprevir, treatment-naïve) n=454/1088 (42%) 100 90 80 70 60 SVR (%) 50 40 30 20 10 0 90 87 64 73 71 59 58 TT CT CC 23 25 26 80 55 PR 32 76 45 T8PR 22 68 50 T12PR Jacobson, EASL, 2011 Extended RVR (eRVR) = undetectable HCV RNA at Weeks 4 and 12 Week 4 (RVR) Weeks 4 and 12 (eRVR) Patients with undetectable HCV RNA (%) Patients eligible to receive 24 weeks of treatment in total 66-72% 58 -65% n/N= PR 48 T12 PR PR 48 T12 PR 34/361 635/903 29/361 565/903 Adapted from Sherman KE, et al. CROI 2011. Abstract 957 Telaprevir: SVR rates by eRVR status eRVR+ eRVR– 24-week regimen SVR (%) 48-week regimen n/N= PR 48 T12 PR PR 48 T12 PR 27/29 195/212 139/332 90/151 SVR was defined as HCV RNA <25 IU/mL at last observation within the Week 72 visit window. In case of missing data, the last HCV RNA data point from Week 12 of follow-up onwards was used Telaprevir EU SmPC IL28B CC genotype predicts for short duration therapy ADVANCE – Telaprevir arms, n=293 90 78 80 HCV RNA undetectable (%) 72 70 60 61 54 54 48 50 TT CT CC 40 30 20 10 0 RVR eRVR Jacobson, EASL, 2011 Telaprevir: Duration of therapy for treatment-naive patients • After 12 wks, telaprevir should be discontinued and peg-IFN/RBV continued – Cirrhotic patients with undetectable HCV RNA at Wks 4 and 12 may nevertheless benefit from additional 36 wks of peg-IFN/RBV (48 wks total) rather than response-guided therapy Response-Guided Therapy HCV RNA Triple Therapy: TVR + peg-IFN/RBV Dual Therapy: peg-IFN/RBV Total Treatment Duration Undetectable at Wks 4 and 12 First 12 wks Additional 12 wks 24 wks Detectable (but ≤1000 IU/mL) at Wks 4 and/or 12 First 12 wks Additional 36 wks 48 wks Stopping Rules Time Point Criteria Action Wk 4 or 12 HCV RNA >1000 IU/mL Discontinue all therapy HCV RNA detectable Discontinue peg-IFN/RBV Discontinuation of peg-IFN/RBV for any reason Discontinue TVR Wk 24 Any Telaprevir [package insert]. 2011. Mrs CW • Key issues: – Treatment naïve – Cirrhotic – Poor response IL28B genotype – HCV-1a – High VL – Obese/metabolic syndrome Mrs CW • OPTIMIZE study: Telaprevir BD • Well tolerated • Week 4 HCV RNA = detected <1000 Retrospective analysis of TVR Ph III trials underscores validity of TVR futility rules • • No pt with HCV RNA >1000 IU/mL at Wk 4 (n=25) or Wk 12 (n=12) had SVR Viral kinetics analysis of pts with HCV RNA >1000 IU/mL at Wk 4 – 23 of 25 reached HCV RNA nadir before Wk 4 – In most pts, HCV RNA already increasing from nadir by Wk 4 Emergence of highly TVR-resistant variants in majority of pts with HCV RNA >1000 IU/mL at Wk 4 HCV NS3/4A variant Tx Naive (n = 14) HCV RNA, IU/mL • Tx Experienced (n = 11) 108 108 107 107 106 106 105 105 104 104 103 103 102 102 10 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Wks on treatment 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Wks on treatment Level of TVR resistance Tx-naive pts with HCV RNA >1000 IU/mL at Wk 4, n (n=14) Tx-exp’d pts with HCV RNA >1000 IU/mL at Wk 4, n (n=11) V36M + R155K High 12* 8 A156S/T/V High 1 0 R155K Low 0 2 Wild type None 1 1 Jacobson I, et al. EASL 2012. Abstract 55. *1 patient had R155K present at baseline. Mrs CW • OPTIMIZE study: Telaprevir BD • Week 12 HCV RNA = 33 – Stopping rule for the study • Continued on peg-IFN / RBV off-study • Week 16 HCV RNA = 62,000 • Treatment stopped Key issues: Telaprevir – Predicting response in treatment-naïve HCV-1 patients: 1. Baseline predictors of SVR: – Fibrosis stage – IL28B genotype – HCV-1a vs 1b 2. On-treatment response: – eRVR – Week 4, week 12 stopping rules REALIZE: Telaprevir + peg-IFN/RBV in HCV-1 treatment-experienced patients Wk 4 TVR + PR* (n=264) Treatmentexperienced patients with genotype 1 HCV Wk 72 Wk 48 Wk 12 Wk 16 Follow-up PR* Follow-up Follow-up TVR + PR* (n=266) PR* Follow-up (n=663) PR* (n=132) Follow-up *TVR 750 mg q8h, peg-IFN alfa-2a 180 µg/wk, weight-based RBV 1000-1200 mg/day. †eRVR: extended rapid virologic response = undetectable HCV RNA at Wks 4 and 12. Zeuzem S, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:2417-2428 Telaprevir triple therapy: SVR in prior relapsers, partial responders, null responders Prior relapsers * Prior partial responders * Prior null responders * SVR (%) * * n/N= PR 48 LI T12/ PR 48 T12/ PR 48 15/68 124/141 122/145 * PR 48 LI T12/ PR 48 T12/ PR 48 PR 48 LI T12/ PR 48 T12/ PR 48 4/27 27/48 30/49 2/37 25/75 22/72 *p<0.001 vs PR 48. SVR, considered virologic cure, was defined as HCV RNA <25 IU/mL at last observation within the Week 72 visit window. In case of missing data, the last HCV RNA data point from Week 12 of follow-up onwards was used Telaprevir EU SmPC IL28B genotyping is less useful if IFN-experienced Relapsers Partial responders Null responders