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The Soil Moisture Active/Passive (SMAP) Mission: Monitoring Soil Moisture and Freeze/Thaw State John Kimball, NTSG, The University of Montana Global Vegetation Workshop, June 16-19 2009 SMAP Science Objectives SMAP is one of the four first-tier missions recommended by the NRC Earth Science Decadal Survey Report Primary Science Objectives: • Global, high-resolution mapping of soil moisture and its freeze/thaw state to: Soil moisture and freeze/thaw state are major constraints to land-atmosphere energy, water & carbon exchange Link terrestrial water, energy and carbon cycle processes Estimate global water and energy fluxes at the land surface Quantify net carbon flux in boreal landscapes Extend weather and climate forecast skill Develop improved flood and drought prediction capability Source: Nemani et al. 2003. Science 300 2 SMAP Instrument & Mission Overview • Science Measurements Soil moisture and freeze/thaw state • Orbit: Sun-synchronous, 6 am/6pm equatorial crossing 670 km altitude • Instruments: L-band (1.26 GHz) radar Polarization: HH, VV, HV SAR mode: 1-3 km resolution (degrades over center 30% of swath) Real-aperture mode: 30 x 6 km resolution L-band (1.4 GHz) radiometer Polarization: V, H, U 40 km resolution Instrument antenna (shared by radar & radiometer) 6-m diameter deployable mesh antenna Conical scan at 14.6 rpm incidence angle: 40 degrees Creating Contiguous 1000 km swath Swath and orbit enable 2-3 day revisit • Mission Ops duration: 2013 launch; 3 year baseline Sample SMAP Coverage Plot Radiometer, Low-Res Radar High-Res Radar SMAP has significant heritage from Hydros ESSP mission concept and Phase A studies 3 “Link Terrestrial Water, Energy and Carbon Cycle Processes” Soil Evaporation Normalized by Potential Evaporation Water and Energy Cycle Carbon Cycle Campbell Yolo Clay Field Experiment Site, California Surface Soil Moisture [% Volume] Measured by L-Band Radiometer Soil Moisture Controls the Rate of Continental Water and Energy Cycles Landscape Freeze/Thaw Dynamics Constrain the Boreal Carbon Balance Do Climate Models Correctly Represent the Land surface Control on Water and Energy Fluxes? What Are the Regional Water Cycle Impacts of Climate Variability? Are Northern Land Masses Sources or Sinks for Atmospheric Carbon? 4 “Estimate Global Water and Energy Fluxes at the Land Surface” • IPCC models currently exhibit large differences in soil moisture trends under simulated climate change scenarios • Projections of summer soil moisture change (ΔSM) show disagreements in Sign among IPCC AR4 models ΔT ΔSM 0 0 SMAP soil moisture observations will help constrain model parameterizations of surface fluxes and improve model performance Li et al., (2007): Evaluation of IPCC AR4 soil moisture simulations for the second half of the twentieth century, Journal of Geophysical Research, 112. Relative soil moisture changes (%) in IPCC models for scenario from 1960-1999 to 2060-2099 5 “Quantify Net Carbon Flux in Boreal Landscapes” SMAP will provide important information on environmental constraints to landatmosphere carbon source/sink dynamics. It will provide more than 8-fold increase in spatial resolution over existing moderate resolution microwave sensors. 8 (r = 0.550; P = 0.042) 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 -2 -2 -4 -4 -6 -6 -8 -8 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 SSM/I thaw date CO 2 drawdown anomaly (days) 8 Growing season onset from atmospheric CO2 samples (difference from multi-year mean, days) Annual comparison of pan-Arctic thaw date and high latitude growing season onset inferred from atmospheric CO2 concentrations, 1988 – 2001 Thaw day difference from mean multi-year Thaw anomaly (days)(days) Mean growing season onset for 1988 – 2002 derived from coarse resolution SSM/I data CO2 Spring drawdown Primary thaw day (DOY) McDonald et al. (2004): Variability in springtime thaw in the terrestrial high latitudes: Monitoring a major control on the biospheric assimilation of atmospheric CO2 with spaceborne microwave remote sensing. Earth Interactions 8(20), 1-23. 6 “Extend Weather and Climate Forecast Skill” Predictability of seasonal climate is dependent on boundary conditions such as sea surface temperature (SST) and soil moisture – Soil moisture is particularly important over continental interiors. Prediction driven by SST Difference in Summer Rainfall: 1993 (flood) minus 1988 (drought) years 24-Hours Ahead High-Resolution Atmospheric Model Forecasts Without Realistic Soil Moisture Observations Prediction driven by SST and soil moisture Buffalo Creek Basin Observed Rainfall 0000Z to 0400Z 13/7/96 (Chen et al., 2001) (Schubert et al., 2002) With Realistic Soil Moisture -5 0 +5 Rainfall Difference [mm/day] High resolution soil moisture data will improve numerical weather prediction (NWP) over continents by accurately initializing land surface states 7 “Develop Improved Flood and Drought Prediction Capability” Decadal Survey: “…delivery of flash-flood guidance to weather forecast offices are centrally dependent on the availability of soil moisture estimates and observations.” “SMAP will provide realistic and reliable soil moisture observations that will potentially open a new era in drought monitoring and decision-support.” NOAA National Weather Service Operational Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) Operational Drought Indices Produced by NOAA and National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC) • Current Status: Indirect soil moisture indices are based on rainfall and air temperature (by county or ~30 km) • SMAP Capability: Direct soil moisture measurements – global, 3-day, 10 km resolution 8 Satellite Global Biospheric Monitoring & The Problem with Clouds… 9 SMAP Science, Instrument and Mission Requirements SMAP requirements were developed under Hydros and refined through extensive community interaction - The July ’07 NASA SMAP Science Workshop confirmed that these requirements satisfy the SMAP mission science objectives Scientific Measurement Requirements Soi l Moi sture: ~4% volum etric accuracy in top 5 cm for vegetation water content < 5 kg m-2; Hydrometeorology at 10 km ; Hydroclim atology at 40 km Freeze/Thaw State: Capture freeze/th aw state transiti onsin integrated vegetation-soi l continuum with 2-day precision, at the spatialsc ale of landscape variabili ty(3 km ). Sampl e diurnal cycle at consistent tim e of day Global, 3-4 day revisit Boreal, 2 day revisit Observation over a minim um of three annual cycles Instrument Functional Requirements L-Band Radiometer: Polarization:V, H, U; Resolution: 40 km ; Relative accuracy*: 1.5 K L-Band Radar: Polarization:VV, HH, HV; Resolution: 10 km ; Rel ativ e accuracy*: 0.5 dB for VV and HH Constant incidence angle** betwe nd 5 L-Band Radar: Polarization:HH; Resol ution: 3 km ; Relative accuracy*: 0.7 dB (1 dB per channel if 2 channel s are used); Constant incidence angle** betwe nd 5 Swath Width: 1000 km Minim iz e Faraday rotation (degradation factor at L-band) Minim um three-year mission life M ission Functional Requirements DAAC data archiving and di stribution. Fiel d validation program . Integration of data products into m ultis ource land data assim ilation. Orbit: 670 km , circular, polar, sun-synchronous, ~6am /pm equator crossi ng Three year baseline m ission*** * Includes precision and calibration stability, and antenna ef f ects ** Def ined without regard to local topographic v ariation *** Includes allowance for up to 30 days post-launch observ atorycheck-out 10 Baseline Science Data Products Data Product Description L1B_S0_LoRes Low Resolution Radar σo in Time Order L1C_S0_HiRes High Resolution Radar σo on Earth Grid L1B_TB Radiometer TB in Time Order L1C_TB Radiometer TB on Earth Grid L2/3_F/T_HiRes Freeze/Thaw State on Earth Grid L2/3_SM_HiRes Radar-only Soil Moisture on Earth Grid L2/3_SM_40km Radiometer-only Soil Moisture on Earth Grid L2/3_SM_A/P Radar/Radiometer Soil Moisture on Earth Grid L4_Carbon Carbon Model Assimilation on Earth Grid L4_SM_profile Soil Moisture Model Assimilation on Earth Grid Global Mapping L-Band Radar and Radiometer High-Resolution and Frequent-Revisit Science Data Observations + Models = Value-Added Science Data 11 SMAP L4_Carbon product: Land-atmosphere CO2 exchange • Motivation/Objectives: Quantify net C flux in boreal landscapes; reduce uncertainty regarding missing C sink on land; • Approach: Apply a soil decomposition algorithm driven by SMAP L4_SM and GPP inputs to compute land-atmosphere CO2 exchange (NEE); • Inputs: Daily surface (<5cm) soil moisture & T (L4_SM) & GPP (MODIS/NPP); • Outputs: NEE (primary/validated); Reco & SOC (research/optional); • Domain: Vegetated areas encompassing boreal/arctic latitudes (≥45°N); • Resolution: 10x10 km; • Temporal fidelity: Daily (g C m-2 d-1); • Latency: Initial posting 12 months post-launch, followed by 14-day latency; • Accuracy: Commensurate with tower based CO2 Obs. (RMSE ≤ 30 g C m-2 yr-1). 12 Prototype L4_C Product Example Mean Daily net CO2 Exchange (NEE) NEE for NSA-OBS Ameriflux Site 3 C +Source source (+) 2 g C m -2 d -1 1 0 -1 -Sink (-) C sink -2 -3 -4 1/1 2/10 3/21 4/30 6/9 7/19 8/28 10/7 11/16 12/26 Date L4_C algorithm using MODIS - AMSR-E inputs BIOME-BGC simulations using local meteorology Carbon Model with AMSR and MODIS BGC Tower Tower CO2 eddy flux measurement results >7 <-7 4 2 NEE (g C 0 m-2) -2 DOY 177, 2004 -4 L4_C application using MODIS GPP (MOD17) & AMSR-E (SM & T) inputs. The graph (above) shows 2004 seasonal pattern of daily NEE for a mature boreal conifer stand from L4_C, ecosystem model and tower measurements. SMAP L4_C resolution/sampling will allow characterization of surface processes approaching scale & accuracy of tower flux measurements: ~10km resolution, daily repeat, NEE ≤ 30 g C m-2 yr-1 RMSE. Source: Kimball et al. 2009 TGARS 47. 13 SMAP Calibration and Validation activities Pre-launch (2009-2013): Pre-launch L4_C Test using MODIS & AMSR-E Inputs - Development, testing & selection of baseline algorithms; - Development of algorithm software test-bed for algorithm testing & sensitivity studies; - Verify algorithm sensitivity & accuracy requirements using available satellite, in situ and model based data & targeted field campaigns; Kimball et al. TGARS 2009 Global Biophysical Station Networks - Initialization/calibration/optimization of algorithm parameters (e.g. BPLUT, SOC pools); Post-launch (2013-2015): - Verify product accuracy through focused field campaigns and global observation networks; - Model assimilation based value assessment (GMAO, TOPS, CarbonTracker); 14 Opportunities for Community Involvement • Community workshops (Events) • SMAP SDT Working Groups (Team): - Algorithms - Calibration & Validation - Applications http://smap.jpl.nasa.gov/ 15