Transcript DecisionSuperiority - AFCEA San Diego Chapter | Armed

2011 AFCEA C4ISR Symposium
Cyber Defense in a Denied
Environment Panel
Dr. Marv Langston
[email protected]
4/5/11
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10x Growth of UAV Expenditures since 2000
* Applications for NAVY UNMANNED AIRCRAFT SYSTEMS BRIEN ALKIRE, JAMES G. KALLIMAN, PE TER A. WILSO, |LOUIS R. MOORE RAND 2010
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Navy ISR Roadmap… Data Challenges
Today
2010
2015
2020
Gigabytes/day
(10E9)
EP3 and SPA
P-8
Global Hawk Maritime Demo
Terabytes/day
(10E12)
BAMS UAS
Terabytes/day
(10E12)
Gigabytes/day
(10E9)
Saber Focus
Medium-Range
Ship-Based UAV
Fire Scout
Gigabytes/day
(10E9)
STUAS
Cobra Judy
Cobra Judy Replacement
SURTASS
Megabytes/day
(10E6)
SSEE E/F Surface
Intel Gear on SSNs
Littoral USV Demo
Megabytes/day
(10E6)
Sea Maverick UUV Demo
Sea Stalker UUV Demo
SHARC or Glider UUV
MSN Reconfigurable UUV
Large Diameter UUV Demo
Arrays
J-UCAS
F35
Scan Eagle
Gigabytes/day
(10E9)
2025
Gigabytes/day
(10E9)
Gigabytes/day
(10E9)
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3
Exponential Data Growth: Enabler & Challenge!
1024
Yottabytes
Max of 50 Mbps
per channel
1021
Theater Data Stream (2006):
~270 TB of NTM data / year
Zettabytes
Current single mode fiber
carries 960 Gpbs
1018
Exabytes
Time to transfer one terabyte of data = 8,796,093,022,208 or 8.8E+12 bits
Max Transfer (bits/sec)
Seconds
Minutes
Hours
Days
50 megabit bps WGS Channel
40,000,000
219,902
3,665
155 megabit bps service
62,000,000
141,872
2,365
3
2
10 gigabit bps service
4,000,000,000
2,199
37
61
39
1
Large Data 10 Gbps JCTD
8,500,000,000
1,035
17
40 gigabit bps service
16,000,000,000
550
9
100 gigabit bps service
40,000,000,000
220
4
2000
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2005
2010
1015
Petabytes
UUVs
1012
Terabytes
2015 & Beyond
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Information Dominance Opportunity Dilemma
 We are in early stages of Wave 3 information technology
Information Driven Capability
 Mainframe and Client-Server waves remain in place
 Waves represent many co-dependent
technologies, matured over time
3. Internet - Cloud
• Virtualized compute; global
network enabled
• Software decoupled from
hardware
• Work from anywhere
 Adding functional capability has
become easier with each new wave
 But enterprise infrastructure
gaps & vulnerabilities have
become more critical
2. Networked - Decentralized
• PC enabled and network
• Software distributed in both server and client
computers
• Work from the user location
"The greatest danger in
times of turbulence is
not the turbulence; it is
to act with yesterday’s
logic." Peter Drucker
1. Centralized - Mainframe
• Central computer center
• Software in computer center only
• Work brought to the computer center
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Information Technology Evolution
Navy is using Wave 2 acquisition & budget processes; but requires Wave 3 capability
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Huawei
• Started in 1987; $28B 2010 revenue; 24% growth in 2010
• 110,000 employees; 36,000 engineers
• Industry leader in longhaul fiber and 4G mobile equipment
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Information Dominance Requires a Transformation!
…157 worldwide
coaling stations
…168 Air Stations; 250 outlying airfields
At the end of WWII:
• 100 aircraft carriers
• 41000 aircraft
• 431000 personnel
• 6768 ships
… Naval Reactors Facilities;
Nuclear Power Schools
… Google’s
Infrastructure
• 450,000 + servers
•
•
•
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Require 20 Megawatts
$2M/mo electric cost
50 + Petaflops
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