Transcript Chapter 4
LO2
Corporation
A business created as a distinct legal entity owned by one or more individuals or entities.
◦ ◦ Advantages ◦ Limited liability Unlimited life Separation of ownership and management ◦ Transfer of ownership is easy ◦ Easier to raise capital Disadvantages ◦ Separation of ownership and management ◦ Double taxation (income is taxed at the corporate rate and then dividends are taxed at the personal rate) 1-1
LO1
Financial Management Decisions
Capital budgeting ◦ What long-term investments or projects should the business take on?
Capital structure ◦ How should we pay for our assets?
◦ Should we use debt or equity?
Working capital management ◦ How do we manage the day-to-day finances of the firm?
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Corporation’s Financial Situation
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LO1
Financial Manager
Financial managers try to answer some or all of these questions The top financial manager within a firm is usually the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) ◦ Treasurer – oversees cash management, capital expenditures and financial planning ◦ Controller – oversees taxes, cost accounting, financial accounting and data processing 1-4
LO5
Cash Flows to and from the Firm
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Chapter 4
LONG-TERM FINANCIAL PLANNING AND CORPORATE GROWTH
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Chapter 4 Outline
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What is financial planning Financial planning models The percentage of sales approach External financing and growth Caveats in financial planning 7
What is Financial Planning?
Financial planning formulates the way financial goals are to be achieved Financial plan – a statement of what is to be done in the future What is the goal of financial management?
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Short vs. Long-term Financial Planning
Short-term planning – analysis of decisions that affect current assets and current liabilities: o o Cash and liquidity management Credit and inventory management Long-term planning – focuses on the “big picture”: o o o Capital budgeting Dividend policy Financial structure 9
Dimensions of Financial Planning
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Financial horizon – the long-range time period the financial planning process focuses on, usually the next 2-5 years Aggregation – process by which smaller investment proposals of each of a firm’s operational units are added up and treated as one big unit Alternative set of assumptions about important variables (scenario analysis) 10
Aims of Financial Planning (1)
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Examining interactions – make explicit the linkages between investment proposals for the different operating activities of the firm and financing choices available to the firm Exploring options – develop, analyze and compare many different scenarios in a consistent way Avoiding surprises – identify what may happen to the firm if different events take place 11
Aims of Financial Planning (2)
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Ensuring feasibility and internal consistency
– are the company’s goals compatible?
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Communication with investors and lenders
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Financial Planning Model: Elements (1)
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Sales forecast – given as a growth rate in sales Pro forma statements – a financial plan has a forecasted balance sheet, an income statement, and a statement of cash flows Asset requirements – firms’ total capital budget consists of changes in total fixed assets and net working capital 13
Financial Planning Model: Elements (2)
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Financial requirements – how to raise the capital; dividend policy and debt policy Cash surplus or shortfall (“plug”) – the designated source of external financing needed to deal with any shortfall in financing and to bring the balance sheet into balance Economic assumptions – level of interest rates, the firm’s tax rate and sales forecast 14
Simple Financial Planning Model All variables are tied to sales and this relationship is optimal The growth in assets requires the management to decide how to finance the growth (debt vs. equity) o o Dividend policy Financing policy 15
Simple Financial Planning Model: example (1)
Income statement
Sales $1,000 Costs
COMPUTERFIELD CORPORATION Financial Statements
800 Assets
Balance sheet
$500 Debt Equity Net Income $200 Total $500 Total $250 250 $500 16
(2) If sales increase by 20% - income statement
Pro forma income statement
Sales 1200 Costs 960 Net Income 240 17
(3) If sales increase by 20% - balance sheet Assets Total 500 500
Last balance sheet
Debt Equity Total 250 250 500 Assets Total
Pro forma balance sheet
Debt 300 600 Equity 300 600 Total 600 (RE?) 18
(3) If sales increase by 20% - balance sheet
Pro forma balance sheet (dividends as the plug variable)
Assets Debt 300 600 Equity 300 ( +50 ) Total Total 600
Pro forma balance sheet (debt as the plug variable)
Assets 600 Debt Equity 110 490 (-140) (+all NI) Total 600 Total 600 19
The Percentage of Sales Approach
A financial planning method in which accounts are projected depending on a firm’s predicted sales level Not all of the items vary directly with sales 20
Percentage of sales approach:
example (1) Sales Costs Taxable Income Taxes Net Income •
ROSENGARTEN CORPORATION Initial income statement
$1,000 800(80%) $200 68 $132(13.2%) Addition to retained earnings Dividends $88 $44 21
(2)
Dividend payout ratio = Cash dividends/Net income = $ 44/$132 *100= 33 1/3 % Retention ratio (plowback ratio) = Retained earnings/Net income = $88/$132*100 = 66 2/3 % or retention ratio = 1- dividend payout ratio = 1-0.333 = 0.667
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(3)
Pro forma income statement (25% sales increase)
Sales Costs Taxable income Taxes Net income $1,250 1000(80%) $250 85 $165(13.2%) Projected addition to retained earnings = 165*0.667
Projected dividends paid to shareholders =165*0.333
Net income =165 23
(4)
Current assets Cash A/R
Assets
Inventory Total Fixed assets Net plant and equipment Total assets
ROSENGARTEN CORPORATION
$160 440 600
Balance sheet
Liabilities and Owner's Equity
Current liabilities (16%) A/P $300(30%) (44%) (60%) $1,200 (120%) Notes payable Total 100n/a $400n/a Long-term debt Owner's equity $800n/a $1,800 (180%) $3,000 (300%) Common stock Retained earnings Total Total liabilities and shareholder's equity $800n/a 1,000n/a $1,800n/a $3,000n/a 24
(5)
Assets
Current assets Cash A/R Inventory Total Fixed assets Net plant and equipment Total assets ROSENGARTEN CORPORATION
Pro forma balance sheet after 25% sales increase ($) (Δ,$)
$200 550 750 $1,500 $40 110 150 $300
Liabilities and Owner's Equity
Current liabilites A/P $375 Notes payable Total
($)
100 $475 $2,250 $3,750 $450 $750 Long-term debt Owner's equity Common stock Retained earnings Total Total liabilities and shareholder's equity
External financing needed
$800 $800 1,110 $1,910 $3,185
$565 (Δ,$)
$75 0 $75 $0 $0 110 $110 $185 25
External Financing
External financing needed (EFN) = the amount of financing required to balance both sides of the balance sheet For Rosengarten Corporation: Assets-(Liability + Equity) = $3,750 – $3,185 = $565 In order to have a 25% increase in sales the corporation has to raise $565 in new financing Possible sources of financing : - short-term borrowing - long-term borrowing - new equity 26
Capital Intensity Ratio
A firm’s total assets divided by its sales The amount of assets needed to generate $1 sales 27
EFN and Capacity Usage
Suppose Rosengarten is operating at 80% capacity: 1. What would be sales at full capacity?
2. What is the capital intensity ratio at full capacity?
3. What is EFN? 28
Answers: (homework)
Conclusion: excess capacity reduces the need for external financing and capital intensity ratio 29
operating at 80% capacity:
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Forecasted sales growth 25%
Full capacity=1000/.8=1250 (no need for new FA) 31
operating at 80% capacity:
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Forecasted sales growth 50%
Full capacity=1000/.8=1250 (1500-1250=$250 sales should be produced on new FA) 33
EFN and Growth
Increase in total assets is financed internally and externally Increase in total assets = assets (A) × sales growth (g) Internal financing = Addition to retained earnings = Projected net income × retention ratio (R) = Profit margin (p) × projected sales[S×(1+g)] × retention ratio or EFN = A×g – p×S×R×(1+g) or Internal growth rate = ROA×R/(1-ROA×R) 34
Financial Policy and Growth
A firm may not wish to sell any new equity Debt capacity = the ability to borrow to increase firm value If a firm borrows to its debt capacity sustainable growth rate can be achieved g* = ROE×R/(1-ROE×R) 35
Internal vs. Sustainable Growth Rates
Internal growth rate – the maximum growth rate a firm can maintain with only internal financing Sustainable growth rate – the maximum growth rate a firm can achieve with no external equity financing 36
From intro finance course… Using Du Pont Analysis
ROA
Net income
Assets Net income
Sales Sales Assets
PM
TAT ROE
Net income
Sales Sales Assets
Assets Equity
PM
TAT
EM ROE
ROA
EM
ROA
( 1
D E
) 37
Determinants of Growth
g* = [p (S/A) (1+D/E)×R]/[1-p(S/A)(1+D/E)×R] 1.
Profit margin 2.
Dividend policy 3.
Financial policy 4.
Total asset turnover 38
Caveats of Financial Planning Models
Rely on accounting relationships Need to be modified over time Objectivity of financial plans 39