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Carbon Financing in the Residential Sector Latin American Carbon Forum Alberto Carrillo Pineda San José, Costa Rica 28 September, 2011 All data in this presentation is drawn from public or commercial sources; no client-proprietary data has been used. The analyses and conclusions contained in this document are based on various assumptions that Carbonding has developed which may or may not be correct, being based upon factors and events subject to uncertainty. Future results or values could be materially different from any forecast or estimates contained in the analyses. The analyses are partly based on commercially-sourced information that has not been generated by Carbonding and has not, therefore, been entirely subject to independent verification. Carbonding believes such i nformation to be reliable and adequately comprehensive but does not represent that such information is in all respects accurate or complete. Objective and Contents Objective Contents • To discuss the potential of CDM to finance and facilitate the adoption of “third-generation” lowcarbon measures in the residential sector in Latin America. • To present one case study of “third-generation” Program of Activities under development in the region. Setting the Context Case study: Demand-Side Water Efficiency and Carbon Finance environmental market solutions Objective and Contents Objective Contents • To discuss the potential of CDM to finance and facilitate the adoption of “third-generation” lowcarbon measures in the residential sector in Latin America. • To present one case study of “third-generation” Program of Activities under development in the region. Setting the Context Case study: Demand-Side Water Efficiency and Carbon Finance environmental market solutions Three mega-trends shaping the climate in the region Increasing GHG Emissions • • • Cities represent between 40 and 80% of the global greenhouse gas emissions. (ICLEI, 2010) According to the International Energy Agency cities accounted for 67% of the world primary energy demand and more than 70% of global CO2 emissions in 2006. Continued urbanization and economic growth is expected to increase the GHG emissions associated with cities. Urbanization • LA is the region with the highest urban population concentration in the developing world. (IAI, 2007) • By 2030, about 83% of the population in LA will be living in cities. (IAI, 2007) • Cities (and especially capital cities) concentrate a large share of the GDP in the region. Increasing GHG Emissions Vulnerability • The high (uncontrolled) urban growth has considerably increased the vulnerability to natural disasters of a large share of the population in the region. • Climate change is likely to increase many of the already existing urban stresses (i.e. heat islands, insufficient sanitation / water supply, inadequate housing, etc.). environmental market solutions Need to design and implement carbon-finance instruments that respond to these mega-trends 1st Generation Carbon Initiatives 2nd Generation Carbon Initiatives 3rd Generation Carbon Initiatives Key Elements Type of Projects • Strong focus on • Landfills • LFG (several • WWTP (not Industrial) throughout the region) projects that reduce emissions from urban infrastructure (supply side). • Some co-benefits addressing urban issues. • Projects that reduce emissions changing energy consumption patterns (demand-side) • Typically disaggregated project activities • Energy consumption • BRT • Demand-Side Energy Efficiency • Demand-side water patterns and/or urban efficiency infrastructure (demand • Sustainable Housing side) • Mitigation + Adaptation Co-benefits Examples • BRT(Transmilenio, Medellin, Mexico City, Guatemala) • Solar Water Heaters (Peru, Chile), Efficient appliances (Mexico, Brazil) • Green Mortgage / Subsidy (Mexico) • Water & Energy Efficiency PoA (Mexico) environmental market solutions Objective and Contents Objective Contents • To discuss the potential of CDM to finance and facilitate the adoption of “third-generation” lowcarbon measures in the residential sector in Latin America. • To present one case study of “third-generation” Program of Activities under development in the region. Setting the Context Case study: Demand-Side Water Efficiency and Carbon Finance environmental market solutions Case study: Demand-Side Water Efficiency and Carbon Finance Water Marginal Cost Curve Water Demand Scenario Cost Efficient Water Fixtures Water Availability CO2 Marginal Abatement Curve Household Hot-Water Efficiency CO2 H 2O 0.5 – 1 tCO2 / yr Cost 30 – 50% Efficient Water Fixtures environmental market solutions Case study: Demand-Side Water Efficiency and Carbon Finance Mitigation Potential for the largest cities in the region 6,000,000 1.2 • AMS-II.M “Demand-side 5,000,000 1 4,000,000 0.8 3,000,000 0.6 2,000,000 0.4 1,000,000 0.2 energy efficiency activities for installation of low-flow hot water savings devices” Gold Standard • Indicative Program, Baseline and Monitoring Methodology for LargeScale Supply and Distribution of Efficient Light Bulb, Showerheads and Water Saving Products to Households tCO2 / yr Clean Development Mechanism 0 tCO2 / household / yr Methodologies 0 environmental market solutions Case study: Demand-Side Water Efficiency and Carbon Finance Financial profile for a 100,000 household project Who gets gets the the waterwater Who benefits? saving benefits? Low volume High volume Very low income Low income Middle income High income Household Government environmental market solutions Case study: Demand-Side Water Efficiency and Carbon Finance Sustainability co-benefits Environmental • Reductions of GHG emissions and water-consumption • Reduction in local air pollution and generation of wastewater Social / Economic • Significant savings for households and governments (or water utilities) • Economic way to address water stress issues Challenges / Barriers Cultural • Water perceived as a free, infinite resource Regulatory • Post 2012-deadline Economic • Difficult to realize the watersaving benefits benefits for investors • Unusual project for traditional financing environmental market solutions Thanks for your attention! Contact Information Alberto Carrillo Pineda Managing Partner [email protected] We are looking for partners! Carbonding Climate Community S. de R. L. de C.V. Tel. +52 55 8421 7749 www.carbonding.com environmental market solutions