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Planning and carrying out (or commissioning) a local survey Principles and Practice, Processes and Pitfalls Steve Wisher Information by Design E: [email protected] T: 01482 467 411 1 Overview Planning Surveys Survey Design Sampling Further Information 2 Planning Surveys Practicalities What to include What survey method to use How big a sample, and how to select it Should we do it (all) internally or commission it out How much will it cost How fast can it be done What about ethical approval Other aspects 4 Postal Survey Process Finalise Research Objectives Clear well defined research objectives improves research clarity Design Sample Identify who is to be sampled, and what sampling method to use Draw Sample Create a mailing file of all target groups to be mailed with postal questionnaire Fieldwork Period Mailing phase, administer questionnaires to sample selected from mailing file Mailing 1 – First questionnaires Data capture on going as questionnaires arrive 1st Reminder (4 weeks after initial Mail out) 2nd Reminder 2/3 weeks after first reminder) Clean and Prepare data for analysis Reporting Phase Report on findings of survey 5 Contracting Out - Preparing a Specification To obtain useful and comparable quotations and proposals you should prepare a specification for the survey. This should include: Background to your organisation and its activities Background to the survey and your needs Objectives of the survey and how the findings will be used Work required from the organisation Methodology The outcomes you expect to be achieved (Possibly) an estimate of the budget involved Who will be responsible for the project within your organisation Timescales 6 Survey Design Deciding on the Survey Method Main methods used in Health and Lifestyle surveys…… Postal, Face-to-face, Telephone, Web Compare and contrast…..Group exercise 1 8 POSTAL Arguments For Arguments Against FACE-TO-FACE Arguments For Arguments Against TELEPHONE Arguments For Arguments Against WEB Arguments For Arguments Against 9 Postal Surveys Arguments For Arguments Against Cost – they are cheaper than face-to-face or telephone surveys, but more expensive then web-based. Response Rates – well-designed, well-managed postal surveys can deliver good response rates. However, response rates in recent years seem to be falling. Resource – less resource needed for data collection than face-toface and telephone. No need for trained team of fieldworkers. Data entry team needed. Response Bias – certain groups tend to have lower response rates eg. young adults, younger men, some BME groups. Ensure you act to reduce the impact of this at the design and analysis stage. Time – quicker than face-to-face interviewing; about the same as telephone; web-based is fastest. Time needed for data entry phase. Question Wording – needs to be simple and easily understood (no opportunity for consistent clarification as in interview surveys). Geography – can be inclusive (in a cost effective manner) for remote communities. Allows geographical stratification more easily. Literacy – not suitable for residents with low levels of literacy or where there are language barriers. Appropriate use of transitions and telephone help-lines can assist those with low levels of English literacy. Honesty – potential for more open responses than face-to-face / telephone. (Be careful to limit personal questions or to invade privacy) Respondent – there is no guarantee that the named resident has actually completed the questionnaire. Respondent – method is less intrusive than face-to-face or telephone. Allows respondent to complete questionnaire in their own time. Design – need to be simple to complete, limited chance to use additional materials. 10 Two Primary Objectives in Conducting a Reliable Lifestyle Survey Increasing precision and reducing bias Precision is about how precise or accurate your results are; how narrow the confidence intervals are for estimates from your survey Bias is about whether your survey really is representative of the population of residents. 11 Designing the Questionnaire Qaire is to translate information needed into questions that the respondent can and will answer Qaire should motivate and encourage the respondent to become involved in the interview – to cooperate, to complete the interview Qaire should minimise response error (e.g. when the respondent gives inaccurate answers, or when answers are mis-recorded or mis-analysed 12 Researcher Vs Respondent What does Respondent want? Reward Confidentiality Interesting subject Interesting experience Personal benefits from completing the survey Social benefits from competing the survey Being ‘chosen’ as respondent with expertise on the subject Research organisation with excellent reputation Rapport and trust What does the researcher want? Honesty Cooperation – accepts the reason for the research Follows the instructions and completes the survey Respondent thinks through the issue before responding Respondent feels good from completing the interview or qaire And wants to do it again! 13 Qaire Design Process Specify the information needed Specify the data collection method Determine content of individual questions Overcome the respondents inability and unwillingness to answer Choose question structure Choose question wording Arrange questions in proper order Check layout Pilot the qaire Test Reliability and Validity 14 Reliability and Validity Reliability = The stability of the measurement scale How far will it give the same results on separate occasions? ….concerned with the ‘measurement error’ Stability – the extent to which the same results are obtained on repeated use of the instrument Internal Consistency – are the sub-parts of the scale measuring the same characteristic? Equivalence – do different ‘raters’ get the same answer? Validity = Does the scale measure what you intend it to measure? Concerned with the meaning and interpretation of the scale Content validity – has it included all relevant items? Face validity – does the scale look reasonable? Criterion Validity – how does the scale compare with an established measure? Construct Validity – how does the scale correlate with the construct under investigation? 15 Group Exercise 2 Design a question to measure smoking prevalence…. 16 Measuring Well-being For this question, we ask you to tell us how satisfied or dissatisfied you are with different parts of your life, by using a scale of 0 to 10. On a scale of 0-10, with 0 being very dissatisfied and 10 being very satisfied, how would you rate each of the following statements? Please Tick One Box For Each Statement Very Dissatisfied 0 1 Very satisfied 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Your life as a whole Your personal relationship with family and friends Your work situation The area where you live Your leisure time 17 Overcoming Inability or Unwillingness to Answer Is the respondent informed? Can the respondent remember? Is the respondent able to articulate? Effort required by respondent? Legitimate purposes? Sensitive information? 18 ‘Rules of Thumb’ – Postal Qaire Use a booklet format if possible 'Brand' the questionnaire on the front cover. Give the survey a name that is likely to appeal to the respondent. Do not crowd the questions Use large type Number all questions Split the questionnaire into sections - give a short introduction to each section Put clear instructions on the front of the questionnaire. Give examples of how to complete a question if relevant. Put questions that are easy to answer and ‘non-challenging’ to the respondent at the beginning of the questionnaire. It is best to get the respondent interested as early as possible in the questionnaire – put interesting topics early – it will result in better cooperation from the respondent. Questions should be presented in a logical order to the respondent. If filter questions are used, make sure the routing to later questions works. 19 Postal Surveys - Qaire Length and Response Rates Subject matter – an interesting range of topics gets better response rates. Style and layout of the questionnaire – good formatting gives better response rates generally Question ordering – keep more difficult or personal questions until later; start with topics that interest the respondent Question style – avoid too detailed questions, or questions that require too much recall. Long lists tend to be boring to respondents Questionnaire length – this is important, but other factors are probably more important. 20 Sampling Sample Designs Most Lifestyle Surveys are based on a sample rather than a census – notable exceptions…. Lifestyle of Older People in West Sussex Most use some form of stratified random sampling Little detail provided in most Lifestyle Survey reports…. 22 Practical Example – Stratified Random Sampling Step 1: Decide on the stratification factors you think are most appropriate in your survey. These might be electoral ward, age or gender; or some combination of these. Step 2: Say you have chosen to stratify by age. Order the database (think of it as a long list) by age or age group – youngest at the top, oldest at the bottom. Step 3: Select systematically down the list. For example (depending on the required sample size), select every 20th person from the list. The sample selected will then have the right proportion of residents from each age (or age band). So for example, if 20% of the database is over 65, then 20% of the sample will be over 65 23 How Big a Sample? The big question! Use a formula? 2 N=(1.96) (p(1-p) 2 B Sample size is usually determined by the need for analysis at subgroup level 24 Sample Size and Sampling Error Sampling error(%) Sample size 1 10,000 1.5 4,500 2 2,500 2.5 1,600 3 1,100 3.5 816 4 625 4.5 494 5 400 5.5 330 6 277 6.5 237 7 204 7.5 178 8 156 8.5 138 9 123 9.5 110 10 100 25 Estimating Sampling Errors Percentage found by the survey Sample Size 5% or 95% 10% or 90% 20% or 80% 30% or 70% 50% 100 4.4 6.0 8.0 9.2 10.0 200 3.1 4.2 5.7 6.5 7.1 500 1.9 2.7 3.6 4.1 4.5 1000 1.4 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.2 2000 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.2 5000 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.4 10000 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 26 Example – 5% precision in Northumberland Young Peoples Survey B 9 & 10 Alnwick Berwick Blyth Valley Castle Morpeth Tynedale Wansbeck G 119 112 229 163 185 184 Total: 121 105 221 165 181 182 11 & 12 B G 119 105 225 167 176 186 115 105 226 166 180 175 13 & 14 B G 118 98 236 169 183 183 119 100 234 164 186 182 15 & 16 B G 127 108 237 173 187 185 118 103 240 154 187 177 7879 Samples for analysis by district and by age: 9 & 10 Alnwick Berwick Blyth Valley Castle Morpeth Tynedale Wansbeck Total: 246 233 326 289 300 301 6679 11 & 12 13 & 14 15 & 16 248 266 245 228 200 169 332 320 297 289 291 280 303 305 293 301 319 299 Samples for analysis by District and sex B G Alnwick Berwick Blyth Valley Castle Morpeth Tynedale Wansbeck 305 274 350 330 337 341 Total: Sample size increases as more ‘cells’ for analysis (with same level of precision in results) 304 271 350 327 338 340 3866 Samples for analysis by Dsitrict: Alnwick Berwick Blyth Valley Castle Morpeth Tynedale Wansbeck 340 319 366 354 359 361 Total: Sample for total population: 379 2099 27 Getting the Sample Various Options….. Exeter Data PAF Names and Numbers 28 Exeter Data Patient Records – from GP records Variables include: name, address etc DOB, gender GP ‘Out of area’ registrations – e.g. from those who work in the area • Can be used to Stratify the Sample Posttown Valid AYLESFORD CHATHAM DARTFORD FAVERSHAM FOLKESTONE GILLINGHAM GRAVESEND HERNE BAY LONGFIELD MAIDSTONE RAMSGATE ROCHESTER SHEERNESS SITTINGBOU SNODLAND WEST MALLI Total Frequency 165 78459 1 6 1 96358 271 1 6 89 1 91836 14 3597 215 1 271021 Percent .1 28.9 .0 .0 .0 35.6 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 33.9 .0 1.3 .1 .0 100.0 Valid Percent .1 28.9 .0 .0 .0 35.6 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 33.9 .0 1.3 .1 .0 100.0 Some issues with accuracy – e.g. moved house but not registered with new GP Cumulative Percent .1 29.0 29.0 29.0 29.0 64.6 64.7 64.7 64.7 64.7 64.7 98.6 98.6 99.9 100.0 100.0 Confidentiality concerns from PCT Ethical issues – sharing the data with an external organisation Need for confidentiality/data processing agreement to be established 29 What Response Will We Get? Response rates have fallen in recent years Previously (<2002) response rates of 60% or higher. Now 30% is common 2 short case studies…. 30 Case Study – Kent 2005 Survey of Health and Lifestyle Sampling Frame Sampling Method GP registration list from Kent Primary Care Agency Random – one-in-fifty of population Data Collection Postal Survey. 3 Reminders: post card at 4 weeks, additional questionnaire at 6 weeks, additional postcard at 8 weeks. The survey was also available online – very few people responded this way. Sample Size Total returns Achieved response 22,861 aged 16+ 5,800 27% Best response rates were achieved from people in their middle years, with younger people, especially men under 45, being less likely to complete the questionnaire 31 Case Study – Southampton Health & Lifestyle Survey 2006 Sampling Frame Sampling Method Patient and Practitioner Services Authority (PSA) register (residents registered with a GP). Stratified random sampling. Data Collection Method Postal, 2 reminders including questionnaires. Sample Size Target Total returns Achieved response 5,020 residents aged 16+ (in 2 phases). 100 returns in each of 16 wards. 1,777 38% Response gives city-wide estimates to within +/- 2.3% (95% confidence level). Response also allows analysis for priority areas within the city. 32 General Issues….. If I use a postal survey method, how will I maximise the response? How should I avoid bias - in which certain groups fail to respond? How should I ensure 'hard-to-reach' groups are represented in the survey response? Are postal survey methods appropriate where literacy levels are low? 33 Monitor the Response – Helps Improve Response Daily Returns 120 100 80 60 103 96 40 83 78 72 70 66 20 32 7t h 6t h 0 21 17 19 16 23 23 21 12 16 11 6 9 14 5 19 24 25 29 23 6 12 11 10 2 6 3 2 4 8 4 1 2 3 2 3 8t h 11 th 12 th 13 th 14 th 15 th 18 th 19 th 20 th 21 th 22 nd 25 th 26 th 27 th 28 th 29 th 2n d 3r d 4t h 5t h 6t h 9t h 10 th 11 th 12 th 13 th 16 th 17 th 18 th 19 th 20 th 23 rd 24 th 25 th 26 th 27 th 20 37 32 34 Balancing Sample Size and Cost Small Scale Objective Larger Scale To obtain Local Authority level estimates of key lifestyle measures To obtain ward level data on lifestyle measures Sample size (mailing) 3,000 15,000 Questionnaires returned 1,000 5,000 50 250 £10,000 £40,000 (£10 per response) (£8 per response) ±3% ±1.5% Approximate returns per Ward (assuming 20 wards) Cost Approximate sampling error at LA level 35 Sources of Error Total Error Random sampling error Non-sampling errors Response errors Non-response errors Proxy Information Researcher errors Measurement/Qaire Population definition Sampling frame Data analysis Interviewer errors Respondent selection Questioning Recording Cheating Respondent errors Inability Unwillingness Pleasing the interviewer 36 More Information The Updated SEPHO Lifestyle Survey Toolkit Soon to be found at http://www.lifestylesurvey.org.uk/ 38 North West PHO Work on core questions http://www.nwpho.org.uk/documents/ 39 PH INTELLIGENCE TRAINING COURSE Day 7: Surveys and Modelling Local Case Studies Steve Wisher 40 Postal Surveys Case Studies Case Study 1 – Leicester Lifestyle Survey Name of Lifestyle Survey Who commissioned it? When? Who conducted it (if different from commissioners)? Sample sizes used? Include total mailout size; response rate etc. Sampling method used? Survey method(s) used? Leicester Lifestyle Survey Leicester City Health Action Zone Gfk NOP Almost 9,500 mailed, 3,340 returns (38% response rate) Random sample drawn from electoral register Self-completion postal questionnaire 42 Leicester Lifestyle Survey - The Response…weighting required to correct for response bias 43 Case Study 2 - Bradford Lifestyle Survey 2007-08 Name of Lifestyle Survey Who commissioned it? When? Who conducted it (if different from commissioners)? Sample sizes used? Include total mailout size; response rate etc. Sampling method used? Survey method(s) used? Bradford Lifestyle Survey Bradford and Airedale PCT; 2007/08 Information by Design 15,000 mailout, response c5,000 Stratified random; stratified by ward, gender and age Postal, with telephone and postal reminders HEALTH and LIFESTYLE In Bradford and Airedale We are asking people in the whole of Bradford and Airedale to give us a picture of their health and lifestyle. This will help us to plan local services which meet your needs. Tell us about you! The person who is named on the letter enclosed should complete this. Please follow the instructions for each question carefully. Some of them ask you to tick one box, and some more than one box. Everything you tell us will be treated in the strictest confidence – we definitely won’t pass your details on to anyone else. Please return your completed questionnaire to Information by Design in the envelope provided. They are collecting the information for us. If you have any questions please telephone Information by Design on Freephone 0800 0112932. Return this and your name will be entered into a prize draw to win a top prize of a £100 voucher and a further twenty £10 high street store vouchers 44 Extract from the Questionnaire About You This part just asks you to tell us a little bit about yourself. 1 Are you male or female? Please Tick One Box Male 2 Female How old are you? Please write your age in years in the box 3 Are you: Please Tick One Box to the right of the answer you mean Single (never married) Married (first marriage) Re-married Divorced Separated (but still legally married) Widowed Living with a partner About Your General Health The following section asks some general questions about your health. 4 In general, would you say your health is Please Tick One Box to the right of the answer you mean Very Good 5 Good Fair Bad Very Bad Do you have any long-term illness, health problem or disability which limits your daily activities or the work you can do? Please Tick One Box Yes No 6 Go to Question 7 If yes, what is this, and how does it limit your daily activities or the work you can do? Please write the condition and how it limits your daily activities in the boxes below Condition How it limits your daily activities 45 Extract from the Data File 46 School-based Surveys Schools Health Education Unit (SHEU) Surveys www.sheu.org.uk 48 Example Data 60% 40% 20% 0% 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 M 12-13y 0.26 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.3 0.29 0.29 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.21 0.21 0.24 0.2 0.23 0.18 0.24 0.26 0.5 0.5 0.53 0.54 0.51 0.43 0.42 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.34 0.35 0.3 0.31 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.27 0.32 0.34 M 14-15y 0.19 0.21 0.21 0.2 0.16 0.19 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.15 0.14 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.12 0.16 0.16 0.35 0.35 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.31 0.3 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.2 0.21 0.19 0.2 0.22 0.2 0.21 0.18 0.21 0.2 F 12-13y F 14-15y 49