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Where is the Logistics Service Provider (LSP) Industry Going? LQ Symposium April 20, 2006 Global Logistics Market Trends Global Logistics Market Value 800 10.0% 700 Estimate 9.0% 8.0% Actual 7.0% 500 6.0% 400 5.0% 300 4.0% 3.0% 200 2.0% 100 1.0% 0 0.0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Logistics market continues to expand rapidly Source: Datamonitor D A T A M O N I T O R 2005 Year %Growth USD (Billions) 600 Market Segmentation 2004 Retail 7% 4% Automotive 2% Hi-Tech 16% Pharmaceutical Consumer Electronics 71% Source: Datamonitor D A T A M O N I T O R 2005 Geographic Share 2004 3% 29% 35% Asia-Pacific US Europe Rest of the World 33% Market Shared between Key regions Source: Datamonitor D A T A M O N I T O R 2005 Key Drivers for LSPs • Changes in sourcing behavior – pursuing lower costs with adequate quality – This ‘globalization’ creates logistics complexity • Changes in outsourcing behavior – – This increase in complexity drives the desire for simplicity • More and more companies are pursuing business strategies to outsource more and more bundled business processes Future Industry Trends • Evolution towards broad supply chain solutions • Increased outsourcing of transaction based activities • Enhanced 3PL provider technology capabilities • Deeper client industry focus and expertise by 3PL providers • Continued expansion, acquisition and consolidation of 3PL industry • Expansion into global markets • Further clarity and usage of 4PL(LLP) solutions • Enhanced long term relationship management capabilities Source: CAP Gemini - Findings from the 2004 Ninth Annual Study Outsourcing Triggers Mean Rating 2.73 2.66 New management team Hardware/system upgrade or refresh 2 1.97 1.92 Software upgrade Conducted thorough internal cost analysis Business transformation Merger or acquisition Outgrew existing infrastructure Unsuccessful software implementation Approached by an external service firm Source IDC The New Face of BPO: Customer Adoption Patterns for Logistics BPO 1.45 1.22 1.19 1.17 % Logistics Budget Outsourced Company Size $1B + $500 - $999 M 10.7% 15.1% $100 - $499 M Source IDC The New Face of BPO: Customer Adoption Patterns for Logistics BPO 56.9% Service Provider Rationalization SC Integration Professional Services Supply Chain Solutions Single Logistics Service Multiple Logistics Products Bundling No. of Services Integration and Alignment • Integration – the linking of business processes from previously independent activities Process 1 Process 2 Process 3 Process 1 Process 2 Process 3 • Collaboration – the ongoing effort of sharing pertinent information to continuously align expectations Collaboration Trends Low Value Both want the progression but don’t have a framework to manage the journey High Value Commodity Price Interchangeable Product Customized/ individualized Some customization Shared risks & investment Flexibility/levels of service Process & data integration Deeply integrated Special knowledge Solutions oriented Mutually dependent Shared rewards Highly specified deliverables Source: Mike Nevin Consulting - 5 year cross industry study Summarizing . . . • Globalization means more complex supply chains • Manufacturing costs down but …Logistics complexity & costs up • Global logistics integration is the challenge • Maintaining Relationship Alignment is key to successful collaboration which leads to strong partnerships DB Logistics has four strong business units Transport & Logistics Air & Sea Freight Land Operations Contract Logistics Rail Freight Transport Combined, we hold excellent market positions in global air, sea freight and logistics BAX and Schenker European Land Transport Global Air Freight No. 1 No. 2 BAX/Schenker 2.1% Global Sea Freight Global Contract Logistics USA Integrated Heavy Weight Freight No. 3 No. 6 No. 3 DHL/Exel 12.6% KN 5.5% DHL/Exel 4.7% UPS 17.8% 7.0% DHL/Exel 5.4% TNT 2.4% FedEx 16.1% 3.2% KN 1.3% BAX/Schenker 9.8% DHL/Exel DHL/Exel 2.0% BAX/Schenker DFDS Transport 1.1% UPS 4.6% BAX/Schenker Dachser 1.0% Panalpina 4.5% Panalpina 2.9% Ryder 1.0% Geodis 1.0% KN 3.6% SDV 1.9% Wincanton 0.9% ABX 0.7% EGL 3.0% Expeditors 1.9% BAX/Schenker 0.8% 2.5%