Transcript Slide 1
CHALLENGES IN DEVELOPMENT OF INDIAN POWER SYSTEM Mr. V. Ramakrishna Member (Power System), CEA HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT EMERGING SCENARIO CHALLENGES IN PLANNING CHRONOLOGY POWER DEVELOPMENT INITIAL YEARS Isolated Systems around Urban and Industrial Areas ELECTRICITY (SUPPLY) ACT,1948. Rationalisation of Production and Supply of Electricity and creation of CEA for this purpose. Extension of benefits of Electricity to Semi-urban and Rural areas in most efficient and economical manner. Linking together contiguous areas to establish ‘Grid Systems’. Enabled Provincial Govts to set up SEBs for development and administration of ‘Grid Systems’. TOWARDS NATIONAL POWER GRID Concept Emergence Consolidation & Integration 1948 50s 60s & 70s REGIONAL GRIDS 1964 70s 80s & 90s STATE GRIDS NATIONAL GRID 1997 2000-2012 / 2015 Growth in Transmission System 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 1950 132kV CKM 71 81 220kV CKM 85 400kV CKM 90 HVDC bi-pole 92 97 HVDC back-to back 2002 2005 765kV 400kV Op DEVELOPMENT OF INDIAN POWER SYSTEM CONCEPT SO FAR Generation & transmission development on Regional self sufficiency. Inter-regional lines for limited exchange of operational surpluses through asynchronous links. Exchange in radial mode between ER - NR, WR - SR & ER - NR. Surplus available not being fully utilized in other deficit regions as previous plans were not for bulk inter-regional transfer. PROJECTS REGIONS DEMAND 2011-12 PEAK LOAD (GW) NORTHERN 49 WESTERN 47 SOUTHERN 42 EASTERN 16 NORTH-EASTERN 3 ALL-INDIA 157 16th EPS ENERGY (Average GU per day) 0.85 0.82 0.72 0.25 0.04 2.70 The above projection taken as basis for evolving perspective transmission plan for 2011-12. GENERATION SCENARIO PROJECTION 2011-12 16TH EPS INSTALLED CAPACITY 210 GW PEAK DEMAND 157 GW ENERGY (Average) 2.7 GU per day DEVELOPMENT OF GRID- WHAT NEXT ? Regional Grids consolidated Stage set for optimization at National level Disposition of energy resources is uneven Major Hydro resources in NER & NR Coal reserves mostly in Bihar/ Orissa/ West Bengal. Not much further Hydro Potential in WR & SR. Not much further coal potential in NR & WR. Environmental problems limiting further exploitation of Hydro Potential Optimal location of new generating resources in ER / NER. DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY PERSPECTIVE SUBSTANTIAL SAVINGS POSSIBLE WITH POWER DEVELOPMENT PLANNED ON COUNTRYWISE BASIS AND THE SYSTEM OPERATED ACCORDINGLY SAVINGS ON ACCOUNT OF: DEMAND DIVERSITIES RESERVE SHARING OPTIMAL LOCATION OF GENERATION ENHANCED UTILISATION OF OPERATIONAL SURPLUSSES AND MERIT ORDER GENERATION ON A WIDER SCALE. TO ACHIEVE THE ABOVE A NATIONAL GRID IS BEING DEVELOPED Physical Links SPECIAL CHARACTERISTICS OF TRANSMISSION SYSTEM MUST BE ADEQUATE AND RELIABLE TO MEET EVACUATION REQUIREMENT FOR EACH STATION SEPERATELY. MUST PROVIDE RELIABLE NETWORK OF EACH AREA. DISPERSAL TO DISTRIBUTION SHOULD FIT WELL INTO LONG TERM SYSTEM NEEDS AMENABLE FOR STAGE DEVELOPMENT OPTIMALLY UTILISE TRANSMISSION CORRIDORS PLANNED TO MEET EXTREME CREDIBLE CONTINGENCIES In case of inter regional lines this would mean increased surplus in normally surplus regions and simultaneously increased deficit in normally deficit region. Growth in Inter-Regional Transmission Capacity INTER REGIONAL TRANSMISSION CAPACITY All figures in MW YEAR 2002 2005 2007 2010 2012 765kV 0 0 1100 2200 9200 400kV 1000 2400 7800 11400 16400 0 2000 2500 2500 6500 2000 3000 3000 3000 3000 200 200 200 200 200 220kV 1850 1850 1850 1850 1850 TOTAL 5050 9450 16450 21150 37150 HVDC bi-pole HVDC b-t-b HVDC mono-pole 765kV 400kV HVDC bi-pole HVDC b-t-b HVDC mono-pole 220kV 40000 35000 30000 MW 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 2002 2005 2007 YEARS 2010 2012 Inter-regional Lines - X PLAN At the Start of 10th Plan Added so far To be added during remaining Upgradation Talcher – Kolar HVDC Bipole period of 10thof Plan 5050 4400 7000 Muzaffarpur - Gorakhpur 400kV D/C (Quad, Biharshariff-Balia 400kV D/C TCSC) (Quad) 2000 Patna-Balia 400kV D/C (Quad) 1200 Ranchi-Sipat 400kV D/C (40% Series Comp.) 1000 Agra-Gwalior 765kV S/C line-1 400kV 1100 500 1200 Inter-regional Lines – XI PLAN BARH Barh-Balia 400 kV D/C (Quad) 1200 Rourkela – Raipur 400 kV D/C line – 2 (with TCSC) 1400 Agra- Gwalior 765 kV S/C line-2 400kV operation 1100 Kankroli – Zerda 400kV D/C 1000 RAPP-Nagda 400kV D/C 1000 BiswanathChariyali – Agra HVDC Bipole at + 600kV 4000 Bongaigaon – Siliguri 400kV D/C 1000 North Karanpura-Sipat PP 765 kV S/C 2300 Sasaram-Fatehpur 765 kV S/C (40% Series Comp) 2300 Agra-Gwalior 765 kV S/C line-1 (Operation at 765 kV) 1200 Agra-Gwalior 765kV S/C line-1 (Operation 765 kV) 1200 Hima-Sipat 400kV D/C 1000 Hirma-Raipur 400kV D/C 1000 Parli-Raichur 400kV D/C 1000 ER-WR SCHEME NR-WR SCHEME SUBANSIRI MAITHON RB, NORTH KARANPURA YET TO BE FIRMED-UP All India (addition during 11th Plan) 20700 Projected Requirement of Inter-Regional Transmission of Power Winter Off Peak Winter Peak Surplus Availability Demand Deficit/ Surplus 31374 -5288 36052 44820 -8768 43037 33651 9386 46312 51770 -5458 Southern 30024 24902 5122 34886 38310 -3424 Eastern 23438 8606 14832 25753 13240 12513 North-Eastern 1985 1404 581 4605 2160 2445 124570 99937 24633 147608 150300 -2692 Regions Availability Demand Northern 26086 Western Total Deficit/ Projected Requirement of Inter-Regional Transmission of Power Summer Off Peak Regions Availability cont…3 Summer Peak Demand Deficit/ Surplus Availability Demand Deficit/ Surplus Northern 38485 40338 -1853 42222 44820 -2598 Western 43052 36239 6813 45508 51770 -6262 Southern 31987 26817 5170 35633 36395 -762 Eastern 23948 9268 14680 25685 13240 12445 North-Eastern 5260 1512 3748 6570 2160 4410 142732 114174 28558 155618 148385 7233 Total Programme – TRANSMISSION LINES PROGRAMME X Plan XI Plan 765 kV cKm 1040 3200 HVDC+ 600kV cKm 0 3600 HVDC+ 500Kv cKm 2740 1800 400 kV cKm 23180 44440 As at the end of 9th Plan 2004-05 10th Plan 11th Plan 765 kV cKm 970 970 2010 5210 HVDC+ 600kV cKm 0 0 0 3600 HVDC+ 500Kv cKm 3140 5880 5880 7680 400 kV cKm 49380 59170 72560 117000 Programme – SUBSTATIONS PROGRAMME X Plan XI Plan 765 kV MVA 3000 21500 HVDC bi-pole MVA 2500 6500 HVDC b-t-b MVA 1000 0 400 kV MVA 33675 40000 As at the end of 9th Plan 2004-05 10th Plan 11th Plan 765 kV MVA 0 0 3000 24500 HVDC bi-pole MVA 3000 5000 5500 12000 HVDC b-t-b MVA 2000 3000 3000 3000 400 kV MVA 61325 73500 95000 135000 Inter-linking transmission system under State Sector Matching transmission system at 220kV and 132 kV Sub-transmission at 66kV and 33kV Distribution system (33kV and below for Rural Areas) (132kV and below for cities) System up to the final destination catering to the load growth and ensure delivery of the electricity up to the end consumers in the country. 220 kV & 132 kV Normative Estimate (including R &M) (not included in NEP, should form part of States’ Plan) PROGRAMME X Plan XI Plan 230 /220 kv cKm 20000 23000 132/ 110 kV cKm 22000 20000 230/220 kV MVA 35000 69000 132 /110 kV MVA 32000 53000 As at the end of 9th Plan 2004-05 10th Plan 11th Plan 230 /220 kv cKm 97000 106000 117000 140000 132/ 110 kV cKm 118000 130000 140000 160000 230/220 kV MVA 116000 139000 151000 220000 132 /110 kV MVA 120000 136000 152000 205000 M AJ O R TRANSM I SSI O N NE TWO R K O F I ND I A CHALLENGES IN POWER SYSTEM PLANNING Uncertainty in load growth Impact on Transmission planning Delicensing of Thermal Generation Need for periodic review of plan. CHALLENGES IN POWER SYSTEM PLANNING (Contd..) SCHEDULE OF H.E. PROJECTS Constraints in RoW Creation of Pooling Points & bulk transmission Experience of Kishanpur – Moga 765kV line. CHALLENGES IN POWER SYSTEM PLANNING (Contd..) OPEN ACCESS IN TRANSMISSION Market driven exchanges may influence pattern of power flow Periodic review and strengthening CHALLENGES IN POWER SYSTEM PLANNING (Contd..) RoW CONSTRAINT Environmental Wild Life sanctuaries Multi circuit lines ? Urban areas GIS, high capacity lines Utilisation of Hydro potential in North East Transmission System for Hydro development in NER 30-35 GW of Hydro potential in North-eastern Region 10 GW from Sikkim and Bhutan Substantial power from this region would be required to be transmitted to NR/WR over distances exceeding 2000 km. Right of way constraints in the chicken neck area. Hybrid network of EHVDC and high capacity 400 kV AC would be developed. Emerging Technologies Problems associated with development of All India Grid Upgrading of Protection system Isolation of faulty system Defense mechanism Emerging Technologies (contd…) GIS, FACTS etc Compression of construction period Satellite imagery Standardization of Tower Design Modern construction techniques Failure rate of transformers