Transcript A Solution to the Decision-making Process: GIS

A Solution to the
Decision-making Process:
GIS-based System for Winthrop's First
Responders and Decision Makers During a
Flood Evacuation
Test Case: Evacuating Winthrop’s Elderly Population
University of Massachusetts
College of Management
Honors Thesis
Researcher: Michele N. Karas
May 23, 2008 Presentation
Winthrop, Massachusetts
 Coastal Community
 Peninsula of 1.6 square miles
 7 miles of shoreline
Demographic Characteristics:
 Total Population
 18,303
 + 20,000
 Elderly > 65
 3,024; 16.5%
 + 4,177; 22.8%
(US Census Bureau 2000)
Emergency Management
 Massachusetts Civil Defense Agency
 State EOC; National Guard; MDC
 Officials 1990s changed to
‘Emergency Management’
 National level
 MEMA
 FEMA
Planning on a Regional Level
 Tragedies of 9/11
 November 2002, Homeland Security
Act of 2002
 January 2006, US Homeland Security
Secretary Michael Chertoff –
importance of regional cooperation
 UASI (Urban Area Security Initiatives)
 Metro-Boston Homeland Security and
City of Boston’s Mayor Coalition
Winthrop’s
Emergency Management Agency
DIRECTOR
SAFETY
OFFICER
PUBLIC
INFORMATION
OFFICER
LIASION
OFFICER
HAZARDOUS
MATERIALS
OPERATIONS
PLANNING
LOGISTICS
FIRE RESCUE
RESOURCE UNIT
FACILITIES
COORD.
TIME UNIT
SITUATION UNIT
TRANSPORT.
SERVICES
PROCUREMENT
UNIT
DOCUMENTATION
UNIT
INFORMATION
SYSTEMS
COMPENSATION
& CLAIMS UNIT
FINANCE
ADMINISTRATON
URBAN SEARCH
& RESCUE
EMERGENCY
MEDICAL
SERVICES
EVACUATION
TRAFFIC
CONTROL
LAW
ENFORCEMENT
ANIMAL
CONTROL
COMMUNICATIONS
FORCE
PROTECTION
PUBLIC WORKS
DEMOBILIZATION
UNIT
SUPPLY & FOOD
UNIT
ENGINEERING
CARE & SHELTER
DEBRIS
REMOVAL
PERSONNEL
COST UNIT
Decision Makers
 Emergency Management Director
 Incident Commander: Fire Chief ‘advises
& informs TM of incident’
 Town Manager – declares ‘state of
emergency’ & PIO
First Responders






Police
Fire
DPW
EMT
BOH
IT
Steps to Research
 Literature Review
 Hands-on Research & Analysis/Tools:
 Course work within the Science & Math
College, since Jan 08’:
 EEOS265 – Computer Applications Geography
 EEOS261 –Statistics for Earth & Geographic
Sciences
 EEOS381 – Applications of GIS
Methodology
 GIS Data Model Overview
Reality
Human-oriented
Conceptual Model
Increasing
Abstraction
Logical Model
Computer-oriented
Physical Model
Methodology: Reality









Winthrop
Coastal Storms
Flooding
Elderly residents
Roadways
Shelters – location and accessibility
Evacuation routes - existing
Elevation
Storm Surge
Spatial Analysis:






Answering “What if” scenarios
Mapping where things are
Mapping density
Finding what’s near by
Patterns
Normative Process:
 Develop or prescribe new or better
designs (e.g. evacuation route)
My Data Model: Objective
 Choose the best route of egress for
evacuation route,
 Identify the area of residency of
elderly population,
 Within Winthrop: Identify shelter in
place and critical evacuation areas,
 Outside Winthrop: Identify shelters
Data Collection
 Raster  Primary: Ortho/digital aerial photos
 Secondary: DEM
Vector – points/lines/polygons
 Secondary: shape files, data layers, tables,
database

Commonwealth of MA - MassGIS – Office of
Geographic and Environmental Information
(Exec. Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs
www.mass/gov/mgis
Software used:
Geodatabase & Map project
 ESRI:
ArcGIS
Desktop
Version 9
 ArcMap
v9.2
 ArcCatalog
v9.2
 ArcToolboxv
9.2
Winthrop’s Geodatabase:
Geodatabase Feature Classes:










Town polygon
Town survey (lines)
Storm Surge
Roads (EOT) shapefile
Census 2000 Block Group
data
Schools shapefile (points)
Town Halls shapefile
Police Departments shapefile
Fire Departments shapefile
Hospital & Long Care Facilities
shapefile
Other data/Symbology:
 Analysis Data Used:
 DEM
 Ortho/aerial
Elevation
VALUE
-59 - 0 meter below sea level
> 0 to < 1 meter above sea level
Hurricane Surges
> 1 to 2 meters above sea level
Category
> 2 to 3 meters above sea level
Cat 1: 4 to 5 ft above normal
Cat 2: 6 to 8 ft above normal
Cat 3: 9 to 12 ft above normal
Cat 4: 13 to 18 ft above normal
Cat 5: > 18 ft above normal
> 3 - 4 meters above sea level
> 4 to 5 metesr above sea level
> 5 to 6 meters above sea level
> 6 meters above sea level
Steps to Identify
Winthrop Evacuation Route
 Boston’s
evacuation route
 Winthrop’s major
roadways
 Winthrop’s points
of exit
Defining Winthrop’s
evacuation route
 Fire Chief
knowledge &
history
 Past storms
Defining Winthrop’s
Elderly Population
 Census 2000
Blocks data
 Group > 65 yrs.
 Sub-group > 80
yrs.
REVERE
One Red
& one
Green
Area:
Review
closer
Winthrop
One Blue, one
M a s s a c h u s e t t s Green & one
Yellow Area:
in an area of
categorized as
> 6 ft above
sea level.
Elder P opu lat io n Persons in this
area can be
Over
Sheltered in
65 years
Place.
EAST
B O S TO N
WINTHROP
µ
Winthrop's Elderly Over 65 yrs
Areas by per person count
1 - 10 persons
11 - 20 persons
21 - 30 persons
31 - 40 persons
41 - 50 persons
51 - 60 persons
61 - 70 persons
> 71 persons
Miles
00.05
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Author: Michele N. Karas
May 15, 2008
Jerald Street
Main Street
Ã
Æ
Å
Shelter in place
Road
t
d
Amelia Avenue
Read Street
Pleasant Street
d
Tileston Roa
Fairview
Main Street
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e
ig
hl
an
d
e
re
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oy
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nd
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t
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et
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n
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ide
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oad
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Author: Michele N. Karas
May 16, 2008
ad
e Park
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U
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U
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ourt
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Massachusetts
Seymour Street
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uth
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Author: Michele N. Karas
May 16, 2008
Orlando Avenue
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or C
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re
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on
ff
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th
rop
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ad
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ld R
Enfie
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ad
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Lincoln Stre
Somerset Avenue
Beal Street
ll Str
Ave
nue
George Street
Read Street
ha
Mars
ide
Read Street
Beal Street
Marshall Street
µ
Ing
les
Centre Street
Street
Author: Michele N. Karas
May 16, 2008
Analysis: Schools for
Shelters within Winthrop




High School
Middle School
Fort Banks Elementary
Cummings Elementary
 Criteria
 Location
 Accessibility
Edg
ehil
l Ro
ad
Discarded School Shelter Sites
Enfie
y
ed
nn
Ke
Locu
st S
et
Belcher Stre
tree
t
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oa
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ont
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d
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 Middle School
venu
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mit A
G
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rd
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t Road
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nu
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ter
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Winthrop Middle School
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ain
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et
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ehil
l
tS
Ã
Æ
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et
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Arthur T. Cummings Elementary School
Walden Street
re
et
on
m
t
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WINTHROP
Ave
nue
et
St
ide
e
Str
Stre
e
M
ain
et
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t
Ing
les
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ue
rn Aven
Hawtho
Loc
u st
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tre e
eet
lock
dS
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ley
Stre
et
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Av
on
dis
Ma
Walden Street
rv
ar
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ont
t
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ulin
Pa
e
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tree
ce
Pla
on
eet
am
tn
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rm
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et
Alm
d
ld Roa
nue
Massachusetts
p Stre
Paine Street
Paine Street
Centre Str
Ave
e
Fr
ro
Winth
et
Atlantic Stre
et
Enfie
et Summit
Ve
te
ra
n
et
Franklin Street
p Stre
µ
Stre
Winthrop
tre
ro
Winth
Re
ve
re
rS
ylo
Ta
Str
Shir
ley
Broo
kfie
ee
t
Ã
Æ
Å
Author: Michele N. Karas
May 16, 2008
c<
ve
Golden Dri
Shelters in Winthrop
 Cummings School
ue
t
ee
et
tre
ee
t
Str
ton
Th
orn
e
riv
ok
D
rlo
Thornton Park
ven
ue
Avenue
V
U
145
Re
ve
re
et
St
ree
t
Vi i
ne
Av
en
ue
ck
Bu
Ov
e
e
riv
D
de
ns
ar
G
ng
Vi
ki
Street
Bartlett
Road
mit A
ive
William
s
Sum
Dr
lla
eet
s
Road
e
nu
nt S
tr
or
V
Pleasan
t Street
e
Av
tre
venue
T e r ra
ce
t
et
n
er
n
or
ue
en
Av
rth
ue
No
en
Av
h
ut
So
Stre
ov
G
th
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o
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ley
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vue A
e
nu
d
oa
ve
rA
te
es
Ch
tree
Sagam
ore Aven
ue
R
Adams Str
eet
Plummer
Cottage
Park
A
es
e
nu
ve
st S
e
William P. Gorman/Fort Banks Elementary
y
e
nu
Belle
m
Ja
Loc
u
D riv
Ã
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re
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an
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ve
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th
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ree
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t
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ma
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it
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se
m
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ue
en
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yo
St
re
et
os
s
Cr
Ocean View Way
Bowdoin Street
e
t
rr
l Te
rril
Bu
et
d
oa
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et
e
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r Av
ema
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tree
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ulin
Pa
Arg
yle
y
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mit A
ven
ue
Wadsworth Avenue
et
re
St
et
Stre
Stre
yra
lock
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e
Whe
Ro a
d
Sum
George Street
WINTHROP
d
EOC
on
kfield
Roa
Ave
nue
t
rm
He
Broo
ehil
l
ee
Belcher Str
Walden Street
Edg
ide
ad
145
Massachusetts
ed
nn
Ke
Ing
les
ld Ro
Ocean View Street
W i n t h r oUV p
re
St
Cora Street
et
Enfie
µ
e
er
ev
et
DPW Bldg/Yard
R
Beal Street
Read Street
e
all Str
ce
Terra
M a rsh
ln
Linco
Lincoln Stre
 Fort Banks
Washington Avenue
cW Town Halls
à Schools
Æ
Å
c< Fire Stations
st S
Alm
tree
ont
t
Stre
et
G
n
er
ov
Police Stations
Shir
0 0.015 0.03
ley
s
or
ca
Loc
u
Stre
e
0.06 Miles
t
D
e
riv
Author: Michele N. Karas
May 16, 2008
Transport to Shelters
Outside of Winthrop
 High elevations
 Close to Winthrop
 Facilities:
 Care for elderly
 Food
 Medicine
 Amenities
Don Orione Home
Author:
MicheleAve.,
N. KarasEast
111 Orient
May 15, 2008
¬
«16
REVERE
V
U
£
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1
107
"
v®"
"
µ
V
U
145
¬
«1A
EAST
BOSTON
CHELSEA
"
Soldiers Home
ô
Æ
Å
Å
Å
B
Å
B B
B
B
WINTHROP
Å
§
¨¦
WINTHROP
Logan Airport
Boston
Evacuation Route
BOSTON
Å
B
Winthrop Evacuation Through East Boston
B
90
1A
¬
«
Å
91 Crest Ave, Chelsea
Å
Quigley Memorial
Belle Isle Inlet Bridge
Hospital
Å
^_
B
91 Crest Ave, Chelsea
B
B
"
Å
Elevation
-59 - 0 ft below sea level
> 0 to < 1 ft above sea level
> 1 to 2 ft above sea level
> 2 to 3 ft above sea level
> 3 - 4 ft above sea level
> 4 to 5 ft above sea level
> 5 to 6 ft above sea level
§
¨¦
90
Hospitals
&
L o n g Te r m
Care Facilities
> 6 ft above sea level
v® Hospitals
0
0.2
#
Assisted Living Facility
"
Nursing Home
!
Rest Home
0.4
0.8
1.2
Miles
1.6
Locations
in & around
Winthrop & Boston
Boston
Q&A
Thank you.