Transcript Wind Energy in Poland – Potential, Prospects and Pitfalls

Wind Energy in Poland – Potential,
Prospects and Pitfalls
A presentation for the joint seminar by demosEuropa and the Danish Embassy
in Warsaw by Kenneth Kolvits, Head of Vestas Poland
19 November 2008
vestas.com
Agenda
1. Wind Potential in Poland
2. Installations, Share of Wind in Electricity Mix and Comparisons
3. What Hampers Poland in Exploiting its Potential?
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Wind Atlas Poland
Source: GreenMax, 2008
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Wind Potential/Prospects in Poland
• EER: 5-6 GW by 2020 (EER Country Analysis)
• PWEA: 13,5 GW by 2020 (PWEA Assessment of Wind Energy Development
Opportunities)
• BTM: 3,4 GW by 2012 (World Market Update 2007)
”Due to excellent wind conditions (…), Poland is one of
the most promising wind energy markets in Europe.
The country possesses plenty of potentially profitable
locations and great development possibilities”
(European Bank for Reconstruction and Development in
2004)
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Installed Wind Power Capacity in the EU (total end 2007 in MW)
Germany
22,247 MW
Spain
15,145 MW
Denmark
3,125 MW
Italy
2,726 MW
France
2,454 MW
UK
2,389 MW
Portugal
2,150 MW
Netherlands
1,746 MW
Austria
982 MW
Greece
871 MW
Ireland
805 MW
Sweden
788 MW
Norway
333 MW
Belgium
287 MW
Poland
276 MW
Source: GWEC, 2008
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Wind penetration per capita in 2007: Poland one of the lowest
figures in the EU
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Share of Wind in Electricity Generation
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Despite Great Resources and International Requirements,
Poland is Lagging Behind
• Indicative RES-E target: 7,5 % of electricity shall be met by renewable energy
sources by 2010 (Directive 2001/77EC)
• Proposed mandatory RES-target of Draft European Directive of January
2008: 15 % of gross final energy consumption shall come from renewable
energy
”Progress towards the RES-E target in Poland is low.”
(European Commission, DG Energy and Transport 2008)
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What Hampers Poland?
2 Main Barriers for Polish Wind Energy Development
1. Grid Infrastructure and Connection
A) Insufficient grid infrastructure in Northern Poland, where best resource is
According to PSE: 1,120 km of new HV lines and 5 new substations needed by 2020
B) Obtaining grid connection
- SOs have 3- to 5-year infrastructure development plans, but investment priorities
often change (i.e. Need to repair existing line before building new one)
- Lack of coordination between different DSOs and TSO
- Connection conditions (CCs) are sometimes hard to meet, i.e. very high transmission
fees
- In theory, CCs lapse after 2 years; in practice, not the case → capacity reserved on
grid for projects that might not get built (many not viable projects hold CCs) blocking
other projects: Thus, new projects stuck in connection queue
Source: EER, 2008; Green Max, 2008 and PSE, 2008
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What Hampers Poland?
2 Main Barriers for the Wind Energy Development
2. Complex process of development procedures
Time consuming and relative complex set of procedures for
the projects to obtain zoning plan
Time consuming and complex procedure for environmental
analysis in order to obtain the approval for wind energy
Few and/or insufficient resources and knowledge to ease
the process
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To sum up:
• Poland has a huge resource and its overall regulatory framework makes it an
attractive market
• However, barriers hamper wind energy development in Poland and should
be removed as soon as possible
• When barriers removed, Poland expected to be able to exploit full potential
and comply with international obligations
Vestas believes in the Polish market and remains strongly
committed
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Thank you for your attention
Kenneth F. Kolvits, Head of Vestas Poland
vestas.com
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