Transcript Slide 1

Low-Carbon Energy:
The Race for Global Competitiveness
Christopher Flavin
Worldwatch Institute
The Business of Cleantech
Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario
31 March 2010
Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions
1908 - 2008
12 B
tonsC/year
9B
6B
3B
0
1908
Source: CDIAC, WEO, C-ROADS
Developed
Nations
1928
1948
1968
1988
2008
CO2 Emissions Per Capita by
Country and Region
1-
Source: IEA WEO 2007
Carbon Intensity, Select Countries
(tons CO2/$GDP)
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
China
Russia
Source: CDIAC, CIA World Factbook
India
USA
Japan
Mexico
Europe
Carbon Intensity, Select States
(tons CO2/ $GDP)
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
MS
Source: EIA, BEA
TX
OH
PA
CO
CA
NY
World Price of Oil: 1986 - 2010
Average Annual NYMEX Spot Price
$120.00
$100.00
$ per barrel
$80.00
$60.00
$40.00
$20.00
)
(Y
TD
08
20
10
20
06
20
04
20
02
20
00
20
98
19
96
19
94
19
92
19
90
19
88
19
19
86
$-
Source: EIA
Average Energy Growth Rates by
Source: 2003-2008
Source: Worldwatch, BP.
Global Electricity from Renewables
2002-2008
Renewable power generation additions as
share of global power generation additions
Renewable generation as %
of global power generation
Source: NEF 2009
World Wind Capacity
1996-2008
Source: REN21 2009
World Biofuels Production
1990-2008
Source: REN21 2009
World Solar PV Capacity
1990-2008
Source: REN21 2009
Cost of New U.S. Power Generation, 2008
12
cents per kWh ($2007)
10
8
6
4
2
0
Coal
Natural Gas
Nuclear
Construction
O&M
Wind
Fuel
Source: Black & Veatech (2007), EIA (2008), Keystone Center (2007), IEER (2008), E3 (2008).
Solar
Wind Potential
http://www.3tier.com
Solar Potential
Renewable Electricity in Germany
1990 - 2007
Source: BMU 2009.
Map credit: NREL
Global Potential of Renewable Resources
Source: IEA, Johansson et al.
Stand-Alone Generation
vs. Cogeneration
Source: EIA/ICF International
Cogeneration Share of National
Power Generation
Source: IEA
U.S. New Appliance Energy Use
1972-2007
Source: ACEEE
Smart Grid
Source: DOE
80
Existing U.S. Generating Capacity
by Initial Year of Operation
70
60
50
Gigawatts
40
30
20
10
0
Source: EIA
Wind, Solar, Geothermal and Biomass
Hydroelectric Conventional
Nuclear
Natural Gas (Peaking Plants)
Natural Gas (Steam Turbines and Combined Cycle)
Petroleum
Coal
Renewable Revolution:
Low-Carbon Energy by 2030
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