Transcript 2015 ACMA Winter Conference

Craig A. Sullivan
Executive Director
County Supervisors Associaton
On-going Revenues
11,000
10,369
9,967
$ in Millions
9,548
9,000
On-going Expenditures
9,814
9,394
9,624
9,315
8,535
8,923
8,765
8,056
8,303
8,506
9,447
9,784
8,812
8,433
10,087
9,506
8,577
8,774
9,093
7,000
6,967
Temporary 1-cent
sales tax
6,295
5,000
Structural
Surplus/
Shortfall
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15*
FY16*
FY17*
FY18*
76
(1,604)
(3,000)
(3,519)
(1,338)
232
417
(379)
(738)
(672)
(690)
(581)
*Estimates from JLBC FY2016 Baseline.
Note: Estimates do not include the K-12 reset
GOVERNOR’S BUDGET – STRUCTURAL BALANCE IN FY2017
FY2015
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018
On-going
Revenue
8,512.9
8,909.4
9,300.2
9,703.4
On-going
Spending
9,281.7
9,093.3
9,296.7
9,548.9
1.0
136.8
148.9
303.5
(768.8)
(183.9)
3.5
154.6
Ending
Balance
Structural
Balance
Increase Motor Vehicle Registration Fee (MVRF) and dedicated
it to DPS operations
$35 million
Restrict admissions to DJC and require counties to pay for 25%
cost of a youth at DJC
$15 million
Classrooms First: Reduces “non-classroom” spending and
charter additional assistance
$124 million
Limit the General Fund’s 1% Constitutional Cap liability at $1
million per county and caps the Homeowner’s Rebate at 44% of
the QTR
$24 million
Cut Universities and “large” Community Colleges
$84 million
AHCCCS provider rate reduction
$40 million
Increased collection of outstanding TPT obligations
$33 million
DOR Appropriation Shift: Require counties and cities and towns
to pay for 17.5% of DOR operating cost
$14 million
*Does not include all solutions proposed by the executive
25% of Costs for
Additional loss
DOR Appropriation 1% Property Tax
Juveniles Housed
of Lottery
Shift
Cap Liability Shift
at DJC
Revenue
Apache
Cochise
Coconino
Gila
Graham
Greenlee
La Paz
Maricopa
Mohave
Navajo
Pima
Pinal
Santa Cruz
Yavapai
Yuma
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
967,742
387,097
348,387
309,677
77,419
38,710
5,806,452
735,484
154,839
1,045,161
658,065
309,677
464,516
696,774
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
39,473
158,839
98,927
42,573
31,020
42,363
18,852
3,714,814
169,639
89,562
845,860
244,574
37,029
210,367
156,108
Total
$
12,000,000
$
5,900,000
$
$
$
7,200,000
1,911,155
9,111,155
$
550,000
$
550,000
$
550,000
$
1,650,000
Total Impacts in
Executive Budget
Recommendations
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
39,473
1,126,581
486,024
390,960
340,697
119,782
57,562
9,521,266
1,455,123
244,401
9,091,021
3,363,793
346,706
1,224,883
852,882
$
28,661,155
Millions
Estimated Impacts to Counties
$120
$101.5
$100
$80
$70.3
$66.6
$60.5
$60
$51.3
$47.3
$42.2
$40
$31.0
$20
$7.0
$0
FY2008
FY2009
Mandated Contributions
FY2010
HURF
FY2011
FY2012
Lost Revenue Streams
FY2013
Program Shifts
FY2014
FY2015
FY2016
Executive Recommendation
Apache
Cochise
Coconino
Gila
Graham
Greenlee
La Paz
Maricopa
Mohave
Navajo
Pima
Pinal
Santa Cruz
Yavapai
Yuma
Tot./Avg.
PILT
Payment*
Equivalent
Property
Tax Rate
$1,657,182
$2,142,985
$1,705,008
$3,426,420
$2,784,560
$844,890
$1,928,269
$3,011,264
$3,469,643
$1,519,256
$3,152,584
$1,223,747
$978,173
$3,177,599
$3,476,376
$34,497,956
$0.32
$0.21
$0.11
$0.78
$1.45
$0.25
$0.89
$0.01
$0.20
$0.17
$0.04
$0.06
$0.29
$0.14
$0.31
$0.35
Actual
Primary
Property
Tax Rate^
$0.46
$2.68
$0.55
$4.19
$2.37
$0.74
$1.96
$1.28
$1.82
$0.70
$3.66
$3.80
$3.72
$1.93
$2.06
$2.13
Percent
Primary
Property
Tax Rate
68.63%
7.96%
20.53%
18.64%
61.09%
33.86%
45.35%
0.73%
10.76%
24.04%
1.14%
1.62%
7.77%
7.37%
15.17%
16.39%
•
HB2209: government-owned real property; annual report (Finchem)
• HB2320: firearms; permit holders; public (Barton)
• HCR2032: county supervisors; two-term limit; referendum (Finchem)
• SB1435: public meetings; definition (Allen)
• HB2245: county floodplain regulations; mobile homes (Ackerly)
• HB2563: health facilities; substance abuse recovery (Campbell)
• SB1072: local planning; residential housing; prohibitions (Smith)
• SB1423: incorporation; urbanized areas (McGuire)
• SB1433: utilities; facilities relocation; cost reimbursement (Lesko)
• HB2572: county roads; repairs; damage reimbursement (Finchem)
• SB1108: task force; gas tax replacement (Farley)
• SB1160: county motor vehicle fuel taxes (Farley)
• SB1161: vehicle and use fuel taxes (Bradley)
•
HB2089: aggravated assault; elected officials (Borrelli)
•
HB2304: aggravated assault; simulated deadly weapon (Farnsworth)
•
HB2379: home detention; initial jail term (Borrelli)
•
SB1315: incompetent and dangerous defendants; treatment (Driggs)
•
HB2105: inmate medical services; rate structure (Borrelli)
•
HB2306: deferred prosecution; serious mental illness (Farnsworth)
•
SB1390: prisoner transition program; eligibility (Pierce)
• HB 2048: recall; primary; general election (Finchem)
• HB 2072: ballot measures; proposition 105 disclosure (Ugenti)
/HB 2183: proposition 105; disclosure; ballot measures (Boyer)
• HB 2133: countywide elections; vote by mail (Shope)
• HB2175: public rights-of-way; claims (Finchem)
• HB2318: transfer of public lands compact (Barton)
• HB2321: public lands; conveyance and taxation (Barton)
• HB2368: sovereign authority; executive orders; DOJ (Thorpe)
• SB1384: federal search; seizure; sheriff; permission (Burges)
Craig A. Sullivan
Executive Director
602-252-5521
[email protected]