Europroperty Investment Summit - Marbella

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Transcript Europroperty Investment Summit - Marbella

Generating Superior Returns From a
Traditional Asset Class
The Growth of Serviced Offices as an
Investment
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
 Established 1999
 Specialising in serviced office/business centres
 Adviser to a number of profile institutions and
business centre operators
 Established first ever publicly listed business
centre fund
 Set up a number of LPs
 Combined asset value of circa £60 million
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Structure
 Overview
 Size
 Players
 Business Models
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Overview
 A Definition
 The provision of short term space supported by a range of
business services actively managed by on-site staff
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Size Globally
 > 10,000 business centres
 + 1,000 operators
 > 70 countries
 < 1% of global office space
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Size in the UK
 Currently represents nearly 2% of UK office space
 Equivalent to nearly 1.5 million square metres
 Represents around 5% of space in Central London
 Around 350 operators of flexible business space in the UK in
1,100 centres
 Workstation capacity has doubled in 5 years
 Between 2000 and 2006 the number of workstations rose from
around 120,000 to over 200,000
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
UK Demographics
Density of Serviced Office Stock
North East, 1%
Wales, 2%
Northern Ireland, 2%
East Anglia, 3%
West Midlands, 4%
East Midlands, 5%
London, 37%
Yorkshire, 5%
Home Counties North,
6%
South West, 6%
Home Counties South,
15%
North West, 7%
Scotland, 7%
Source: DTZ
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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Quality Fully
Serviced
UK Major Players
Regus
MWB
Avanta
Citibase
MLS
EOG
BEG
SOG
Leased
Owned
Workspace
Bizspace
Lenta
Semi
Serviced
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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Long Term Structural Growth
 Drivers – “it’s what the client wants”
 Costs – TOCC shows it is more expensive to take a traditional
lease
 Accounting rules – require leases on balance sheet
 Technology – good infrastructure required
 Infrastructure costs are shared amongst the occupiers
 Flexibility – occupiers can expand/contract at will
 Simplicity – costs are easy to understand and predictable
 Convenience – allowing occupiers to concentrate on their
business
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Investment Potential
 High yield
 Capital Growth
 Scale
 Brand
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
High Yield
 Serviced offices provide a higher yield
 typical income yield can exceed 7%
 typical capital growth can exceed 4%
 Business Centre Properties plc
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First ever publicly available fund in the sector
£40 million of serviced office properties
Average income yield 7.5% to investors after fund costs
Share price growth of 36% since launch ’04/04
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Capital Growth
 Conversions
 Conversion of existing office stock to serviced offices
 Real options in secondary locations with secondary properties
 Good options in primary locations where little or no flexible
space
 Development
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Creation of specific serviced office developments
Big meeting room/conferencing facilities
Clubs, restaurants
High tech wiring, easy demountable partitioning
Emerging markets
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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Yield Shift
 Serviced offices have followed yields down
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BCP bought its first building at a cap rate of 11%
2004, 11%
2005, 9%
2006, sub 8%
 The risk margin has narrowed
 In 2004 the margin was around 2-3%
 Now it is 1-2%
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
POWER (Property Opportunities With
Enhanced Returns) Fund
 Philosophy
 Structure
 Expertise
 Timings
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Philosophy
 “Global provision of flexible working for
individuals and businesses in secure, comfortable
office accommodation”
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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Structure
Luxembourg
Domicile
UK Sub
Fund
Local
operator
centres
centres
North
America
Sub funds
Europe
Sub funds
ABCN
centres
(Replicated across each sub fund)
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
ROW
Sub funds
Scale
 Economies of scale
 Spread of infrastructure costs
 Best economies from running assets in hubs
 HQ costs spread
 Portfolio effect
 Spread of risk through geography
 Through client base
 Big means
 Saleable >£300m
 Brandable
 Listable
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Brand value
 A brand has strategic value
 Regus today has a £1.5 billion stock market capitalisation
 That is 20x earnings!
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Alliance Business Centres Network (ABCN)
 ABCN is:
 “a distributed network of senior industry professionals”
 Only global business centres network
 650 locations in 37 countries
 Broad range of services to members
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Market intelligence
Marketing and referrals
Alliance Access
Franchising
Purchasing
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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Timings
 Fund life expected to be 10 years
 Seed investment £100 million equity
 Investment period – 3 years in the UK
 Expected ROW expansion year 2 onwards
 Target IRR 25%+ at 5 year point
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Expertise
 Jonathan Price (CEO EMA) – 8 years in sector
 Barrister at law and former investment banker
 President of UK Chapter of FIABCI
 NED to international serviced office operator
 Frank Cottle (CEO US & ROW) – 22 years in sector
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Chairman of Alliance Business Centres Network
Former investment banker specialising in real estate
Board member OBCAI
Former owner operator of serviced offices
 Chris Brierley (COO)– 5 years in the sector
 Former investment banker
 NED on a number of property related funds
 Former director of a research company
 Former FD of fund manager (CFO) – 14 years
 Former Property director of serviced office operator – 10
years
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Exit
 Trade sale
 To a new entrant
 To an existing operator
 Securitisation
 >£300m
 REIT
 Workspace has become a REIT
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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Lease v. Ownership
 Leasehold Operator
 Long term liability to short term income profile
 Can be mitigated where a turnover lease or management
contract is in place – landlord shares risk
 Low capital commitment allows rapid expansion
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Lease v. Ownership
 Owner Operator
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Freehold/long leasehold
Avoids mismatch of assets and liabilities
High capital commitment
Double whammy of rents falling and property value declining in
poor market conditions
 But more flexibility in getting and retaining clients
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Valuation
 Issues
 Serviced offices are hybrid: renting space and offering services
 Property valuation and company valuation approach diverge
 RICS approach to going concern valuation is based on “strictly
limited use” and serviced offices typically operate from traditional
office premises
 Red Book needs to be revised
 Multiples are beginning to emerge
 Businesses operating out of leased premises on EBITDA
multiples of 4-6 times
 Businesses that own the operating asset 13-16 times EBITDA
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz
Listed Company Valuations
Company
Regus
Serviced Office Grp
MWBEX
EV (mill)
YE ‘06
EBITDA (mil)
YE ‘06
Multiple
Share price (p)
(06/07)
Share Price
YoY %
£1,134
122
9x
149.25
+34%
£25
2
12.5 x
11.50
+26%
£116
9
13 x
174.50
+65%
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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RGU Share Price
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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SVO Share Price
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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MBE Share Price
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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Alternative Asset Valuations
 Valuations of student accommodation
 Unite
 12/06 - EBITDA £103 million, EV £1.070 billion = 10 x
 Valuations of self storage
 Big Yellow
 09/06 – EBITDA £70 million, EV £900 million = 13 x
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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BYG Share Price
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
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Metrics
 MWBX - £67.1m (^23%), PTP £7.8m (£2.7m)
 60 locations
 Regus - £680m (^47%), PTP £77.5m (£38.7m)
 950 centres
Business Centre Capital Co. Ltd
www.b3c.biz