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Relationship of Packaging to Unsaleables Presented by: Paul Weitzel Managing Partner - Willard Bishop & Mike Stuckey Director of Marketing, Food Packaging - MWV Topics • New Insights on the Real Cost-to-Serve the Grocery Store • Implications for Packaging • Research into Unsaleables Grocery Store Realities For a Typical Food/Drug Grocery Store: • There are more than 200 categories in the store – 1 in 4 categories lose money today • There are 40,000 SKUs in the center store – 57% of center store SKUs lose money = 23,000 SKUs • Many SKUs sit on the shelf – 56% of SKUs sell less than one unit per week – 95% of center store demand is covered by 46% of the SKUs Source: Willard Bishop Total Store Grocery SuperStudy™ 2009, 2010 Retailer ABCs to Shelf Average Grocery ABC Per-Unit Sold (Through Retailer Warehouse) $0.35 $0.35 Store Occupancy Store Inventory $0.13 37.1% $0.00 0.0% $0.22 $0.17 PER UNIT $0.04 $0.03 $0.03 Whse Labor Whse Storage Whse Inventory Whse Transport $0.02 5.7% $0.01 2.9% $0.00 0.0% $0.01 2.9% $0.02 Store Store Direct Labor Indirect Labor $0.13 37.1% Source: Willard Bishop Total Store Grocery SuperStudy™ 2009, 2010 $0.05 14.3% Retailer ABCs to Shelf Average HBC ABC Per-Unit Sold (Through Retailer Warehouse) $1.28 $1.32 $0.55 $0.37 $0.06 PER UNIT $0.09 $0.11 $0.13 Whse Whse Whse Whse Labor Storage Inventory Transport $0.06 4.5% $0.03 2.3% $0.02 1.5% $0.02 1.5% Store Store Direct Labor Indirect Labor $0.24 18.2% Source: Willard Bishop Total Store Grocery SuperStudy™ 2009, 2010 $0.18 13.6% Store Store Occupancy Inventory $0.73 55.3% $0.04 3.0% Retailer Profit After ABCs to Shelf Supermarket True Profit If Unit Sold Grocery HBC Price Cogs AGP $2.28 $1.62 $0.66 $4.45 $3.07 $1.38 ABCs True Profit $0.35 $0.31 $1.32 $0.06 Gross Margin* True Margin 28.9% 13.6% 31.0% 1.3% * Includes promotional monies, slotting RDAs, etc. Source: Willard Bishop Total Store Grocery SuperStudy™ 2009, 2010 Retailer Profit After Unsaleables Retailer Profit After Unsaleables Grocery HBC Price Cogs AGP ABCs True Profit (TP) Unsaleables TP After Unsaleables $2.28 $1.62 $0.66 $0.35 $0.31 $0.02 $0.29 $4.45 $3.07 $1.38 $1.32 $0.06 $0.04 $0.02 TPM% After Unsaleables 12.6% 0.3% * Includes promotional monies, slotting RDAs, etc. Source: Willard Bishop Total Store Grocery SuperStudy™ 2009, 2010 Product Gets to the Store Many Ways Typical Grocery Store Gets More than 80 Deliveries a Week: • 65+ DSD Deliveries a Week • 10+ Warehouse Deliveries a Week • 5+ Distributor and Other (UPS) Deliveries Product Is Also Handled Many Ways In the Backroom… • Backrooms can look like parking lots and receivers serve as traffic cops – Daily Delivery Storage – Promotional Volume Storage – New Item Storage – Surplus DSD Inventory Storage – Lockup Storage – Seasonal Storage • Cases are often ripped open and verified Product Is Also Handled Many Ways In the Backroom… • Backrooms can look like parking lots and receivers serve as traffic cops – – – – – – Daily Delivery Storage Promotional Volume Storage New Item Storage Surplus DSD Inventory Storage Lockup Storage Seasonal Storage • Cases are often ripped open and verified • We have to deal with cold, heat, pallet jacks, lifts, elevators, and obstacles that test packaging design and strength Product Is Also Handled Many Ways On the Sales Floor… • Product is often double and even triple handled – Night stocking crew often can’t complete their work, lack of time creates excess damage – Packout rules are often violated, lack of >1.25 packout creates excess handling and increases damage • When we stock, we have to deal with… – Flat shelves, dividers, pegs, gravity, spring-loaded pushers, rear load, doors, pallets, cases, trays, and other obstacles • Increasing interest to reduce labor costs – Front-facing fixtures gaining attention – Increasing interest in retail-ready and one-touch merchandising Packaging Plays an Important Role in Reducing Costs Share of Unsaleables (By Type) Other, 10% Damaged, 41% Out-of-Code, 27% Discontinued, 22% Source: The Impact of Sales & Procurement on Reverse Logistics Management, GMA/FMI 2010 Looking Ahead What are the Implications for Packaging? • ABCs show there is no room for waste, we have to continue to tackle this $2.5B industry opportunity • Need to improve packaging materials • Need to reconsider case pack size changes – Increasing pressure to reduce inventory – Leverage to grow in alternative channels Unsaleables Trend 30% 27% 25% 20% 20% 15% 22% 22% 17% 2003 13% 2008 10% 2010 5% 0% Discontinued Out-of-Code Source: The Impact of Sales & Procurement on Reverse Logistics Management, GMA/FMI 2010 Average Grocery Store Inventories Dollars on Shelf Avg. Inventory $ in Food/Drug Supermarket Grocery GM Pharmacy HBC Liquor Deli and Foodservice Frozen Meat Dairy Produce Bakery Seafood Packaged Deli Floral Total $384,000 $214,000 $205,000 $202,000 $187,000 $146,000 $65,000 $47,000 $40,000 $39,000 $20,000 $19,000 $15,000 $7,000 24.2% 13.5% 12.9% 12.7% 11.8% 9.2% 4.1% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% $1,590,000 100% Source: Willard Bishop Total Store Grocery SuperStudy™ 2009, 2010 Average Grocery Store Days-of-Supply Avg. Days-of-Supply Across Food/Drug Supermarket Department Avg. DOS HBC 69 GM 63 Deli and Foodservice 31 Liquor 27 Pharmacy 25 Grocery 18 Seafood 15 Frozen 15 Packaged Deli 12 Floral 12 Meat 9 Bakery 9 Dairy 7 Produce 6 Source: Willard Bishop Total Store Grocery SuperStudy™ 2009, 2010 Average Grocery Store Days-of-Supply High DOS Grocery Categories in Typical Food/Drug Supermarket Natural and Organic Baking Supplies Ethnic/Specialty Asian Meat Snack Dry Mix Shelf Stable Milk and Milk-Like Bev Tea Natural and Organic Prepared Foods Cake Decorating Mexican Kosher Spices Dessert Canned Meat Hashes and Stews Dog Food Fabric Softener Drink Mix Jelly Gum Coffee Nuts 109 94 84 77 67 57 50 50 48 43 42 40 37 35 34 34 32 31 30 30 28 Vinegar Dry Bean Veg and Rice Pickle Fruit Snacks Baby Food Salad Dressing Chili Condiment Prepared Entrees and Kits and Sauces Dry Packaged Dinners Packaged Milks and Modifiers Oil Syrup Cookie Potatoes Packaged Canned Fish Baking Ingredients Candy Pancake Mixes Tortilla Baking Mixes Source: Willard Bishop Total Store Grocery SuperStudy™ 2009, 2010 28 28 28 28 27 27 26 26 26 26 26 25 25 25 24 24 23 21 21 21 21 Typical Grocery POGs are Developed Based on 7 DOS Looking Ahead What are the Implications for Packaging? • Need to plan for increasing use of front-facing fixtures – Increasing pressure to reduce labor costs – Eliminates afternoon pulls but, often increase damage • Need to plan for more retail-ready handling – Full pallets, half pallets, shippers, trays, etc. • Increasing use of shopper insights will drive more shelf changes and packaging will need to keep pace Damaged Packaging Research Unsaleables Background • Unsaleable products cost the food industry $15 billion annually – Average unsaleables rate is .8% of gross sales for food manufacturers and 1.2% of gross sales for food retailers • While these costs are significant, they are only part of the story – Substantial resources associated with managing, handling, transporting and reclaiming these products – Reproducing the wasted food has a major environmental and economic impact • Product packaging is a major component of unsaleable products – Increasing use of “eco-friendly” CRB packaging – Certain packaging configurations simply cannot withstand the stress of the supply chain, resulting in increased damage rates • Given the financial implications to manufacturers and retailers, MWV regularly conducts research to understand how material selection affects product damage Source: GMA, FMI and Deloitte Consulting LLP 2008 Unsaleables Study Results Research Process • Three different testing methods employed • GENCO’s Damage Research Team • Physical testing of products at Michigan State University • Perception Research Services Source: GMA, FMI and Deloitte Consulting LLP 2008 Unsaleables Study Results Paperboard Packaging 101 • Three different testing methods employed • Physical testing of products at Michigan State University • GENCO’s Damage Research Team • Perception Research Services Source: GMA, FMI and Deloitte Consulting LLP 2008 Unsaleables Study Results Performance materials Solid Bleached Sulfate (SBS) • • • • • Bleached paperboard for use in packaging and printing applications Aseptic board for non-refrigerated food and beverage packaging Specialty paperboard for food and healthcare applications Premium coated liner and bleached display liner for corrugated boxes Uncoated board for use in foodservice and office products Performance materials Coated Unbleached Kraft (CUK) • Used in beverage multi-packs, food folding cartons, and filter frames • Superior wet tear strength substrate for beverage packaging • High strength folding cartonboard with a smooth printing surface engineered for demanding markets such as frozen foods Performance materials Coated Recycled Board (CRB) • Lowest cost per ton of any substrate • Mostly used for dry foods (cereal, crackers, cookies, etc.) and applications that don’t require high strength requirements. Occasionally used in frozen food applications. • Perception of sustainability since made with 100% recycled content Study Scope • Purpose: Document the percentage and types of damage of various substrate materials at Gulf Coast retail store outlets – CNK, CRB, SBS, SUS Retailer Store Count • 100 retail stores across multiple chains Wal-Mart 22 Winn-Dixie 20 • Gulf Coast United States Publix 17 Albertson’s 11 • 28,000+ packages inspected Market Basket 8 Baton Rouge, LA Tallahassee, FL New Orleans, LA Port Arthur, TX Corpus Christi, TX Gainesville, FL Lake Charles, LA Target HEB Kroger Adriens Supermarket Brookshire Brothers Calandros Supermarket Food Lion Le Blancs Mathews Supermarket Piggly Wiggly Rouses Market Save A Lot Sweet Bay TOTAL 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 100 Study Findings Damage Rate By Material Type Material Total crushed Open Units and open units Damage Rate Units Inspected Crushed Units CUK 1 3,255 4 0 4 0.13% CRB 5,265 22 6 28 0.53% SBS 11,202 21 14 35 0.32% CUK 2 8,566 8 11 19 0.22% TOTAL 28,288 55 31 86 0.31% 100% of the units on the shelf were inspected In-Store Damage Research • GENCO Supply Chain Solutions is a third party logistics company – Leader in Damage Research & Prevention • MWV commissioned a study in June of 2009 to assess damage frequency – Examined over 28,000 frozen food packages in 100 retail stores Damage per 100,000 Cartons 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 CUK 1 CUK 2 SBS CRB Product packaged in CRB is 4x more likely to suffer damage than Custom Kote Freeze-Thaw Compression Strength • MWV commissioned the research with Michigan State University in 2005 • Compression strength is the ability of a carton to hold its shape and form • For food manufacturers, this translates into how well the paperboard used withstands freeze-thaw moisture 70 60 50 40 30 CNK 20 10 SBS CRB 0 Peak Force (lbs) Ambient After 5 Conditions Freeze-Thaw Cycles Custom Kote retains 46% of its original strength; CRB retains only 27% Consumer Behavior • MWV commissioned a study with Perception Research Services – Independent research firm that utilizes a variety of techniques to understand shopper’s perception of damaged products • Findings – 75% of shoppers will push a damaged package aside – If a slightly damaged package is the last one on the shelf, 45% will leave the brand and 29% will buy another brand – If a highly damaged package is the last one on the shelf, 55% will leave the brand and 36% will buy another brand – For competitive shoppers, “Brand you trust” perception drops from 73% to 41% with even slight damage – 25% of the most brand-loyal shoppers question the safety of the product when the package is only slightly damaged – 72% viewed the retailer displaying damaged packaging as offering lower value products than their competitors Damaged packaging diminishes brand and retailer trust Research Summary • Michigan State study revealed that MWV's Custom Kote has a significant compression strength advantage over competitive products in a freeze thaw environment • Genco Unsaleables Study found that Custom Kote is 4x less likely to be damaged than products packaged in CRB • Perception Research Consumer Behavior study confirmed that damaged products have a quantifiable impact on the shopper and their perception of the brand and the retailer MWV’s Custom Kote is the benchmark packaging material to help protect against the lost sales and diminished trust associated with damaged packaging