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PALAEOCLIMATE CHANGE (SOES 3015) Convenor Prof Paul A. Wilson (PAW) Other Teaching Staff: Prof. Eelco Rohling(EJR) Dr Bob Marsh (RM) & Dr Sam Gibbs (SG) Synopsis: In a series of seven lectures we examine mechanisms of palaeoclimate change in the earth-ocean-atmosphere system from those operating on short time-scales (eg. abrupt climate change, orbitally paced cycles) to those operating at multi-million year time-scales (eg. tectonic controls on atmospheric carbon dioxide levels and configuration of oceanic gateways). Nine lectures are devoted to developing an understanding of the workings of the palaeoclimate 'tool-kit' and some of the key insights that these proxies have provided on palaeoclimate change in the past 25 years of research. Three lectures deal with climate change on the anthropogenic timescale linking the past with the future and introducing the IPCC view and ensemble climate modeling. Six thematic lectures “extreme climates” discuss some of the most dramatic events in climate history seen on Earth in the past 150 million years such as the dramatic global warming and cooling events that apparently occurred across the P/E and E/O boundaries respectively. Professor Eelco Rohling (Co-convener) SOES 3015 Palaeoceanography (micropalaeontology and stable isotope geochemistry) The lectures are accompanied by five practicals designed to help you obtain the working understanding of the 'tool-kit' that you will need to perform well in the exam. Aims of Course: • Our main aim is to ensure that, by the time that you graduate from this institution you are ready to engage in the public climate change debate and carbon economy challenge in a knowledgeable way. To meet this objective we aim: • To provide a general introduction to the study of natural and anthropogenic climate change in the ocean atmosphere system on historical, millenial, orbital (10 to 100 ka) and tectonic (Ma) time-scales. • To focus on records of natural climate change locked mostly in marine sediments and ice sheets. • To introduce students from a diverse range of backgrounds to active research questions and area of scientific controversy in this most inter-disciplinary areas of ocean and earth science. • In all of the above, to give particular attention to palaeoclimate research areas of particular strength within SOES. Learning Outcomes: At the end of the course you should: • Have developed a comprehensive understanding of the nature of the modern field of palaeoclimate change, and, in particular, have gained an appreciation of climate in the 4th dimension- time. • Be conversant with the rapidly expanding “tool-kit” and explanatory models that have been developed to tackle patterns of climate change at different time-scales over the past 150Ma. • Have built up an extensive knowledge of case study examples from the research literature which will serve as a means for you to critically evaluate published models. • Be confident in the interpretation of palaeoclimate records but realistic as to the limits of your analysis. • Be able to find your way through the modern literature jungle in the field of palaeoclimate. • Be ready to engage in the public climate change debate and carbon economy challenge in a knowledgeable way. In all aspects of the above lectures merely serve as the starting point. If you are reading for your degree, as the phrase implies, you must, repeat must, read around the subject. This is a final level course so there is no “umbrella” text book. Even if there were, knowing it from cover to cover would probably only get you a (UK) lower second. This is particularly true for SOES 3015 because palaeoclimate change is such a young, rapidly evolving subject that nobody has attempted a comprehensive treatment of the subject since the 1980’s. Final level courses are advanced in their aims and are targeted to stretch students. Students should read from a selection of texts and relevant journals. In the reading lists the key references are marked by an asterisk. Journals Where possible we recommend short snappy articles published in the likes of Nature, Science and Geology but crucial material can often only be found in more specialist journals such as Paleoceanography, Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol.& Palaeoecol; Global Biogeochemical Cycles; J. Foraminiferal Research; Marine Micropaleontology; Earth Planetary Science Letters etc. Palaeoclimate Change SOES 3015 Oxygen isotopes I: (PAW) Lecture outline: • Geochemical proxies - Introduction to concept of geochemical proxies Oxygen, its isotopes, notation & standards • The hydrological cycle - Evaporation Condensation • Ice core records - Brief introduction www.oceanography.ac.uk (1) Geochemical proxies • • Introduction to concept of geochemical proxies Oxygen, its isotopes, notation & standards (i) Introduction to concept of geochemical proxies Que: What is a geochemical proxy & why do we use them? Ans: A chemical signature present in a potential archive that can be used to track palaeoenvironmental change. One advantage of geochemical proxies is that they provide at least semi-quantitative constraints. • There are many potential archives and most involve some kind or coring to produce a time series record (eg. tree rings, ice cores, lake & ocean sediments). • Palaeoceanographers are mostly interested in ocean sediments. What comprises these sediments? Non-biogenic- clays, aeolian dust, ice-rafted debris (IRD). Biogenic- CaCO3 & SiO2(H2O). having heard all about the utility of carbonate microfossils such as calcitic planktonic foraminifera it is no surprise to learn that the isotopes of oxygen & carbon have been a focus of much work over past 50 years. More recently, geochemists & palaeoceanographers have expanded into other less obvious areas (eg. Sr & B isotopes; Mg/Ca, Sr/Ca, U/Ca ratio). (ii) Oxygen, its isotopes, notation & standards Oxygen: 3 stable isotopes: 16O = 99.63%; 17O = 0.0375%; 18O = 0.1995% (abundances) Isotopes = different varieties of the same chemical element whose atomic structure have a common number of protons and electrons but a different number of neutrons in the nucleus. Thus, they have a common atomic number (O= 8, if written, as a subscript) but a different atomic mass (O= 16, 17 or 18, written as a superscript). Mass differences cause fractionation* *any process that causes isotope ratios to differ between phases. Eg. when carbonate precipitates from water an isotope exchange reaction occurs: 1/3 CaCO163 + H2O18 = 1/3 CaCO183 + H2O16 which means that the resulting carbonate has an isotopic composition that is different but related to that of the parent water. This turns out to be very useful to us but first we have to learn more about notation: [CaCO183] 1/3 [H2O16] The equilibrium constant for the above reaction is: K = [CaCO163] 1/3 [H2O18] which can be written as: K= [CaCO183] / [CaCO163] 1/3 [H2O18] / [H2O16 ] which is the ratio of 18O/16O in the carbonate phase divided by the ratio in the water: Rc K= = (fractionation factor) Rw where Rc & Rw are the 18O/16O ratios of carbonate & water If the two isotopes behave exactly alike, then K=1 and =1. But we know from lab expts that depends on temperature: For calcite = 1.0286 @ 25 °C Given that >1, the calcite is preferentially enriched in 18O In fact, we can say that calcite grown in equilibrium with water at 25°C is enriched in 18O relative to the water by 28.6‰ (parts per thousand or “mil”). To make life easy we quote 18O/16O ratios relative to a standard value (determined ages ago) and multiply by a thousand 18 16 18 16 18O = [ ( O/ O) spl – ( O/ O) std (18O/16O) std ] x 1000 We quote to: • SMOW (standard mean oceanographic water) when we measure 18O in water • PDB K belemnite, (Peedee Fm., South Carolina) when we measure 18O in CO3 (18OSMOW = 1.03086 18OPDB + 30.86) which reflects the fact that >1 (see above) Que: So how is any of this useful to us? Ans: We can use 18O values to: • trace ’s in palaeo sea water 18O- ice volume & salinity • estimate temperature of formation- exploit the fact that ’s in predictable way with ’s in temperature • caveats- ‘vital’*, ecological§ & diagenesis¶ *non-equil. behaviour- recall that we are using biogenic calcite § depth habitat, ontogeny ¶ post-depositional alteration is a fact of life But first we need to understand how 18O’s evolve through the hydrological cycle (2) The hydrological cycle • Evaporation • Condensation (i) Evaporation Isotopic exchange at air-sea interface (evaporation) H216Owater + H218Oair = H218Owater + H216Oair 18 16 Fractionation Factor: = [ O/ O] water ~ 1.0092 @ 25 ºC illustrates: [18O/16O] air • preferential uptake of 16O with evaporation • remaining water enriched in 18O • important to palaeo sea water 18O & thus ice volume & salinity records Que: Why does 16O evaporate preferentially? Ans: Vapour pressure* of different isotopic molecules of water is inversely proportional to mass H216O has a significantly greater vapour pressure than H218O. *pressure exerted by molecules in vapour state at equilibrium with molecules in the liquid state- thus a measure of the tendency of water to exist in the gaseous or vapour state (ii) Condensation Fractionation processes during water droplet formation are the same as above but operate in reverse. Thus, when raindrops form in a cloud by condensation of water vapour, the liquid phase is enriched in 18O such that the isotopic composition of the first raindrops is similar to that of ocean water. This means that the condensation of water in equilibrium with water vapour and its subsequent removal from a cloud can be described by a Rayleigh distillation eqn: where: R = f (-1) R0 R = 18O/16O ratio of the remaining vapour R0 = 18O/16O ratio of the vapour before condensation starts, f = fraction of vapour remaining & = isotope fractionation factor = Rl/Rv. Now, if we convert the isotope ratios R & R0 to notation: (18O)v + 1000 R R0 = (18O)0 + 1000 = f (-1) solve for 18Ov = [(18O)0 + 1000] f (-1) – 1000 and assume: = 1.0092 (~20°C) (18O)0= -9.2‰ then we can plot 18Ov as a function of the fraction of water vapour remaining (f) Result: we see that the 18O value of the remaining vapour decreases (ie. vapour becomes progressively enriched in 16O) as condensation progresses. similarly, we can plot the value of the condensate in equil. with vapour (18Ol) as a function of the fraction of water vapour remaining: 18Ol = (18Ov + 1000) – 1000 Result: the precipitation falling from the cloud also decreases (becomes enriched n 16O) through time. Therefore, the result of isotopic fractionation during evaporation from sea surface and condensation of vapour in clouds through the global water cycle is that fresh (meteoric) water becomes progressively isotopically “light” From: University of Southampton In fact, if we measure 18O in mean annual precipitation globally we find strong linear correlations w/ air temperature or latitude: This reflects the fact that both the magnitude of rain-out (progressive condensation) and isotopic fractionation factor increase with decreasing temperature (increasing latitude). 18Omean = 0.695T –13.6 (Dansgaard ‘64) Both figures: Reproduced by permission of American Geophysical Union: Rozanski, K., Isotopic Patterns in Modern Global Precipitation. (1993) Geophysical Monograph v. 78. Copyright [1993] American Geophysical Union “Noise” in these correlations arises from 5 effects: • seasonality effects@mid- to high latitudes ( in Temp & source of water vapour) • continentality effect- more –ve values in-land- progressive removal of 18O • altitude effects- more –ve values up-slope progressive removal of 18O (ocean is source of water over continents) Reproduced by permission of American Geophysical Union: Rozanski, K., Isotopic Patterns in Modern Global Precipitation. (1993) Geophysical Monograph v. 78. Copyright [1993] American Geophysical Union • amount effectsin tropics strong inverse relationship between P (mm) & 18Owhy? ‘cos big stormsare unusually “thorough” in terms of rain-out & convect to great altitudes Reproduced by permission of American Geophysical Union: Rozanski, K., Isotopic Patterns in Modern Global Precipitation. (1993) Geophysical Monograph v. 78. Copyright [1993] American Geophysical Union “ • the snow effect- snow is even lighter than “should be” for its temperature (greater Reproduced by permission of American Geophysical Union: Rozanski, K., Isotopic Patterns in Modern Global Precipitation. (1993) Geophysical Monograph v. 78. Copyright [1993] American Geophysical Union (3) Ice core records (i) A brief introduction It follows from the above (inverse relationship between fractionation factor & temperature) that, to first approximation, 18O snow in polar ice caps and “alpine” glaciers reflects temperature- strongly –ve w/ significant variations on seasonal to geological timescales. This discovery has given birth to an exciting whole new field of palaeoclimate research in the past 20 years: ice core records- precipitation, atmospheric dust &, atmospheric gases (ancient air trapped in bubbles). The field- unusual ‘cos all pioneers were European. Ice cores drilled @ Greenland- “GRIP & GISP”, Antarctic “Vostok”. The importance- initially 18O snow –LGM v. obvious providing irrefutable evidence of rapid and pronounced N. hemisphere climate change (~10°C within 100yr). Now main focus is on records of atmospheric gases Timescales- past 10ka almost as good as tree rings- count layers, >10 ka measure conductivity by ~80ka ± ~5ka An example of ice core records: Reprinted by permission from Macmillan Publishers Ltd: Asynchrony of Antarctic and Greenland climate change during the lastglacial period Blunier, T., Chappellaz, J., Schwander, J., Dällenbach, A., Stauffer, B., Stocker, T.F., Raynaud, D., Jouzel, J., Clausen, H.B., Hammer, C.U., Johnsen, J.L., Nature, v. 394, p. 739-743. Copyright (1998) Not under CC licence. pCO2 and relative change in air temperature: Vostock ice-core records, Antarctica Reprinted by permission from Macmillan Publishers Ltd: Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica, Petit, J.R., Jouzel, J., Raynaud, D., Barkov, N.I., Barnola, J-M., Basile, I., Bender, M., Chappellaz, J., Davis, M., Delaygue, G., Delmotte, M., Kotlyakov, V.M., Legrand, M., Lipenkov, V.Y., Lorius, C., PÉpin, L., Ritz, C., Saltzman, E., Stievenard, M., Nature, v. 399, p. 429-436. Copyright (1999) Not under CC licence. Copyright statement This resource was created by the University of Southampton and released as an open educational resource through the 'Cchange in GEES' project exploring the open licensing of climate change and sustainability resources in the Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences. The C-change in GEES project was funded by HEFCE as part of the JISC/HE Academy UKOER programme and coordinated by the GEES Subject Centre. This resource is licensed under the terms of the Attribution-Non-Commercial-Share Alike 2.0 UK: England & Wales license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.0/uk/). However the resource, where specified below, contains other 3rd party materials under their own licenses. The licenses and attributions are outlined below: • The University of Southampton and the National Oceanography Centre, Southampton and its logos are registered trade marks of the University. The University reserves all rights to these items beyond their inclusion in these CC resources. • The JISC logo, the C-change logo and the logo of the Higher Education Academy Subject Centre for the Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences are licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution -non-commercial-No Derivative Works 2.0 UK England & Wales license. 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