Transcript Title of Briefing 32 Point - COSCAP-SA

Aviation Safety Challenges and Opportunities for
COSCAP South Asia
COSCAP-SA Steering Committee Meeting
Gerardo M. Hueto
April 2011
Deputy Chief
Aviation System Safety
Boeing Commercial Airplanes
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Topics of Discussion
 Working Together
 Worldwide Perspective
 Data: Worldwide and Regional
 What We Can Do: Resources and Actions
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Boeing Safety Leadership: Working together for a Safe
and Efficient Global Air Transportation System today
and in the future.
Promote
Worldwide Safety
Culture
Cooperation
Aligned
Focus
Promote Proactive
Risk Management
Approach
Assure
Healthy Safety
Foundation
Data
Driven
Design > Build > Operation > Maintenance >
Sharing
Knowledge
Infrastructure
> Regulation
Safety Integration Across the Value Stream
Copyright © 2007 Boeing. All rights reserved.
Safety Responsibilities Are Shared
We Need to Work Together to Improve Safety
Air Safety
Governments
Manufacturers
 Safe airplane design
 Safety-enhancing technology
development
 Flight and maintenance
operations, recommendations,
Operators
documents, training, and
support
 Operations policy and
 Maintenance planning
procedures
 Safety-related analysis
 Airplane/pilot publications
 Safety initiatives
 Approved maintenance
program
 Maintenance, policy, and
procedures
 Maintenance publications
 Safety program
 Training











Aviation law
Operations specification
Rules and regulations
Inspectors policy,
procedures, and training
Airline policy and
procedures requirements
Safety, health, environmental
law, and regulations
Navigation facilities/operations
Airport facilities
Departure en route, arrival,
approach policy, and
procedures
Air traffic control services
Safety-related analysis
Safe Airplane + Safe Operation + Safe Infrastructure = Safe Air Travel
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Aviation Safety: Some Perspective
Worldwide:
 An airplane is landing approximately every
1.5 seconds somewhere in the world
– Approximately 60,000 flights per day
 More than 3 million people fly each day
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We Need to Continuously Improve
Aviation Safety…
50
45
40
35
Airplanes in
service
35,800
19,000
2007
2027
30
Hull loss accidents per year
25
20
15
Departures per year, Millions
10
5
0
1959
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Annual Hull loss accident rate, Accidents per million departures
1976
1993
2010
2027
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Departures, Flight Hours, and Jet Airplanes in Service*
Annual departures and flight hours (millions)
Worldwide Operations 1990 Through 2009
50
45.6
45
Flight hours
Departures
40
• 563.5 million departures since 1959
(433.3 million on Boeing airplanes)
35
30
25
21.6
20
• 993.5 million flight hours since 1959
(768.7 million on Boeing airplanes)
• There were 37 (16 Boeing) significant
types built by 16 original manufacturers
that contributed to the hours, departures,
and fleet numbers. There are currently
four manufacturers of large commercial
Western-built jet airplanes.
15
10
5
0
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
Number of airplanes* (thousands)
Year
25
20
20,025
Worldwide Fleet
Boeing Fleet
15
12,338
* Certified jet airplanes greater than
60,000 pounds maximum gross weight,
including those in temporary non-flying
status and those in use by non-airline
operators. Excluded are commercial
airplanes operated in military service and
CIS/USSR-manufactured airplanes.
10
5
Source: Jet Information Services, Inc.
0
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Year
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
7
15
2009 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JULY 2010
Accident Rates and Onboard Fatalities by Year
Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet – 1959 Through 2009
50
1500
All accident rate
Fatal accident rate
Hull loss accident rate
Onboard fatalities
40
1200
Annual 30
accident
rate
(accidents
per million
departures)
20
900
Annual
onboard
fatalities
600
10
300
0
0
59 60
62
64
66
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
06
08 09
Year
18
2009 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JULY 2010
8
Because the Aviation System Is Complex,
All Parts of Industry Must Work Together
150,000+ flight crew
800+ airlines
200+ languages
200+ countries
1,350+ major
airports
240,000+ maintenance
personnel
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More than 21,000
airplanes
Accident Rates by Region of the World
Western-built >60,000 lb transport hull loss accidents, by airline domicile,
1998 through 2009
United States
and Canada
0.5
Europe
0.6
C.I.S.
3.2*
China
0.1
Middle East
2.6
Asia
(Excluding China)
1.6
Africa
8.2
Latin America
and Caribbean
2.3
Oceania
0.0
World
1.0
Accidents per
million departures
* Data through 2006
Copyright © 2009 Boeing. All rights reserved.
10 7/2010
Fatalities by CAST/ICAO Common Taxonomy Team (CICTT)
Aviation Occurrence Categories
Fatal Accidents – Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet – 2000 Through 2009
2000
1759 (89)
ARC
CFIT
F-NI
FUEL
LOC-I
MAC
OTHR
RAMP
RE
RI-VAP
SCF-NP
SCF-PP
UNK
USOS
WSTRW
External fatalities [Total 244]
1800
Onboard fatalities [Total 5001]
1600
1400
1200
Fatalities
No accidents were noted in the following principal categories:
ADRM
Aerodrome
AMAN
Abrupt Maneuver
ATM
Air Traffic Management/Communications, Navigation, Surveillance
BIRD
Bird
CABIN
Cabin Safety Events
EVAC
Evacuation
F-POST
Fire/Smoke (Post-Impact)
GCOL
Ground Collision
ICE
Icing
LALT
Low Altitude Operations
LOC-G
Loss of Control – Ground
RI-A
Runway Incursion – Animal
SEC
Security Related
TURB
Turbulence Encounter
961 (0)
1000
800
Onboard fatalities
606 (21)
External fatalities
600
504 (0)
400
314 (0)
156 (69)
Abnormal Runway Contact
Controlled Flight Into or Toward Terrain
Fire/Smoke (Non-Impact)
Fuel Related
Loss of Control – In flight
Midair/Near Midair Collision
Other
Ground Handling
Runway Excursion (Takeoff or Landing)
Runway Incursion – Vehicle, Aircraft or Person
System/Component Failure or Malfunction (Non-Powerplant)
System/Component Failure or Malfunction (Powerplant)
Unknown or Undetermined
Undershoot/Overshoot
Windshear or Thunderstorm
For a complete description go to: http://www.intlaviationstandards.org/
193 (9)
200
154 (38)
122 (3)
110 (4)
96 (1)
23 (0)
1 (8)
2 (2)
RAMP
SCF-PP
0
Number of
fatal accidents
(89 total)
LOC-I
CFIT
RE (Landing)
+ ARC
+ USOS
UNK
20
16
16
4
SCF-NP
3
MAC
2
RI-VAP RE (Takeoff)
3
5
OTHR
F-NI
WSTRW
4
2
1
Note: Principal categories as assigned by CAST.
FUEL
1
3
9
11
23
2009 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JULY 2010
Accidents by CAST/ICAO Common Taxonomy Team (CICTT)
Aviation Occurrence Categories
Hull Loss and Fatal Accidents by Airline Domicile–SA COSCAP Commercial Jet Fleet 1989 Through 2008
400
ARC
CFIT
FUEL
LOC-I
OTHR
RAMP
RE
RI-VAP
SCF-NP
USOS
External fatalities [Total 12]
Onboard fatalities [Total 448]
296 (0)
300
No accidents were noted in the following principal categories:
ADRM
Aerodrome
AMAN
Abrupt Maneuver
ATM
Air Traffic Management/Communications, Navigation, Surveillance
CABIN
Cabin Safety Events
EVAC
Evacuation
F-NI
Fire/Smoke (Non-Impact)
F-POST
Fire/Smoke (Post-Impact)
GCOL
Ground Collision
ICE
Icing
LALT
Low Altitude Operations
LOC-G
Loss of Control – Ground
MAC
Midair/Near Midair Collision
RI-A
Runway Incursion – Animal
SCF-PP
System/Component Failure or Malfunction (Powerplant)
SEC
Security Related
TURB
Turbulence Encounter
UNK
Unknown or Undetermined
WSTRW
Windshear or Thunderstorm
Fatalities
200
Onboard fatalities
External fatalities
92 (0)
100
Abnormal Runway Contact
Controlled Flight Into or Toward Terrain
Fuel Related
Loss of Control – In flight
Other
Ground Handling
Runway Excursion
Runway Incursion – Vehicle, Aircraft or Person
System/Component Failure or Malfunction (Non-Powerplant)
Undershoot/Overshoot
59 (10)
For a complete description go to:
http://www.intlaviationstandards.org/
0
Number of
hull loss
and or
Fatal
accidents
(20 total)
1 (0)
0 (1)
0 (1)
0 (0)
0 (0)
CFIT
RE-Landing +
ARC + USOS
LOC-I
OTHR
RAMP
RI-VAP
FUEL
SCF-NP
5
5
2
2
1
1
1
3
Note: Principal categories as assigned by CAST.
12
Dec, 2009
Addressing the Regional Safety Risk
 Accident rates and numbers of fatalities differ dramatically in
different regions of the world
 We know how to prevent many of the types of accidents occurring
today
 Efforts to improve safety have been most successful when industry
and government have worked together
 Better use and coordination of industry and government resources
can dramatically reduce these kinds of accidents
 Best results are attained when efforts are well coordinated
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13
Global Aviation Safety Roadmap
Developed by the Industry Safety Strategy Group for ICAO
Industry and ICAO committed to unify plans through the Roadmap
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14
Global Aviation Safety Plan
 2005: ISSG formed, ICAO forms working group to update Plan and
integrate the Roadmap into the Plan
 2006: Roadmap published
 2007: New Global Aviation Safety Plan (based on GASR) approved by
the ICAO Assembly
 2010: 37th ICAO Assembly in Montreal approves changes to the GASP:
… but said it should be done “in parallel and harmony with the Global Aviation Safety
Roadmap (GASR)” …
… with a suggested completion date of December 2011…
… States should work with all stakeholders to implement the GASP objectives and GASR
methodology
 2011: ISSG and ICAO working on GASP/GASR updates
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15
Coordination with CAST
 ISSG and CAST working together in GASR/GASP implementation
– Recognized joint role for global aviation safety
 CAST currently participating in all GASR workshops and ISSG
meetings
 GASR and CAST are highly complementary
– GASR is largely a high-level strategic tool, aimed at building processes and
programs, even where none exist
– CAST provides more tactical (or intervention-specific) tools, more suitable for
mature systems and operations
 Within all regions of the world and even within individual countries,
among air carriers, there is often a breadth of maturity and
capability.
 Combining GASR and CAST principles and processes at our
collaborative workshops provides a synergy and range of options
and opportunities for safety enhancement
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16
Conclusions
 Commercial air travel is extraordinarily safe, but improvements must
continue to be made
 Not all areas or environments of the world are the same — we need to use
facts, data, and continuing insight to focus appropriate improvement
efforts
 Improving safety is a shared responsibility of the manufacturers, the
airline operators, and Government/State authorities. It will take
willingness and commitment to make it happen
 Growth of commercial aviation in ASIA presents significant challenges
and opportunities
 COSCAP regional safety teams and similar safety organizations can help
to reduce accident risk
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Actions
 Implement the approved SA COSCAP CAST Safety Enhancements
to reduce fatality risk
 Measure implementation levels and effectiveness of processes
and procedures already put in place
 Implement the Global Aviation Safety Roadmap (GASR)
 Identify existing gaps and take action to improve
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“A goal without a plan is only a wish.”
Antoine de Saint-Exupery
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