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Chapter 9 The Analysis of Competitive Markets Consumer and Producer Surplus When government controls price, some people are better off May be able to buy a good at a lower price But what is the effect on society as a whole? Is total welfare higher or lower and by how much? A way to measure gains and losses from government policies is needed ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 2 Consumer and Producer Surplus Price 9 Consumer Surplus S Between 0 and Q0 consumer A receives a net gain from buying the product-consumer surplus. 5 Producer Surplus 3 D QD ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. QS Q0 Chapter 9 Between 0 and Q0 producers receive a net gain from selling each product-producer surplus. Quantity 3 Consumer and Producer Surplus To determine the welfare effect of a governmental policy, we can measure the gain or loss in consumer and producer surplus Welfare Effects Gains and losses to producers and consumers ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 4 Consumer and Producer Surplus When price is held too low, the quantity demanded increases and quantity supplied decreases Some consumers are worse off because they can no longer buy the good Decrease in consumer surplus Some consumers are better off because they can buy it at a lower price Increase in consumer surplus ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 5 Consumer and Producer Surplus Producers sell less at a lower price Some producers are no longer in the market Both of these producer groups lose and producer surplus decreases The economy as a whole is worse off since surplus that used to belong to producers or consumers is simply gone ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 6 Price Control and Surplus Changes Price Consumers that cannot buy, lose B Consumers that can buy the good gain A S The loss to producers is the sum of rectangle A and triangle C B P0 A C Triangles B and C are losses to society – dead weight loss Pmax D Q1 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Q0 Chapter 9 Q2 Quantity 7 Price Controls and Welfare Effects The total loss is equal to area B + C The deadweight loss is the inefficiency of the price controls – the total loss in surplus (consumer plus producer) If demand is sufficiently inelastic, losses to consumers may be fairly large This can have effects in political decisions ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 8 Price Controls With Inelastic Demand D Price S B P0 Pmax A Q1 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. With inelastic demand, triangle B can be larger than rectangle A and consumers suffer net losses from price controls. C Q2 Chapter 9 Quantity 9 The Efficiency of a Competitive Market In the evaluation of markets, we often talk about whether it reaches economic efficiency Maximization of aggregate consumer and producer surplus Policies such as price controls that cause dead weight losses in society are said to impose an efficiency cost on the economy ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 10 The Efficiency of a Competitive Market If efficiency is the goal, then you can argue that leaving markets alone is the answer However, sometimes market failures occur Prices fail to provide proper signals to consumers and producers Leads to inefficient unregulated competitive market ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 11 Types of Market Failures 1. Externalities Costs or benefits that are not reflected in market supply and demand (e.g. pollution) Costs or benefits are experienced by a third party not involved in transaction 2. Lack of Information Imperfect information prevents consumers from making utility-maximizing decisions Government intervention may be desirable in these cases ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 12 Price Control and Surplus Changes Price S Pmin A When price is regulated to be no lower than Pmin, the deadweight loss given by triangles B and C results. B P0 C D Q1 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Q0 Chapter 9 Q2 Quantity 13 The Market for Human Kidneys The 1984 National Organ Transplantation Act prohibits the sale of organs for transplantation What has been the impact of the Act? We can measure this using the supply and demand for kidneys from estimated data Supply: QS = 8,000 + 0.2P Demand: QD = 16,000 - 0.2P ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 14 The Market for Human Kidneys Since the sale of organs is not allowed, the amount available depends on the amount donated Supply of donated kidneys is limited to 8,000 The welfare effect of this supply constraint can be analyzed using consumer and producer surplus in the kidney market ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 15 The Market for Human Kidneys Suppliers: Those who supply them are not paid the market price, estimated at $20,000 Loss of surplus equal to area A = $160 million Some who would donate for the equilibrium price do not donate in the current market Loss of surplus equal to area C = $40 million Total ‘producer’ loss of A + C = $200 million ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 16 The Market for Human Kidneys Recipients: Since they do not have to pay for the kidney, they gain rectangle A ($160 million) since price is $0 Those who cannot obtain a kidney lose surplus equal to triangle B ($40 million) Net increase in surplus of recipients of $160 - $40 = $120 million Dead Weight Loss of C + B = $80 million ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 17 The Market for Human Kidneys Other Inefficiency Costs Allocation is not necessarily to those who value the kidneys the most Price may increase to $40,000, the equilibrium price, with hospitals getting the price ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 18 The Market for Kidneys S’ Price The loss to suppliers is seen in areas A & C. $40,000 S D $30,000 If kidneys are zero cost, consumer gain would be A minus B. B $20,000 A and D measure the total value of kidneys when supply is constrained. C A $10,000 D 0 4,000 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. 8,000 Chapter 9 12,000 Quantity 19 The Market for Human Kidneys Arguments in favor of prohibiting the sale of organs: 1. Imperfect information about donor’s health and screening 2. Unfair to allocate according to the ability to pay Holding price below equilibrium will create shortages Organs versus artificial substitutes ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 20 Minimum Prices Periodically, government policy seeks to raise prices above market-clearing levels Minimum wage law Regulation of airlines Agricultural policies We will investigate this by looking at the minimum wage legislation ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 21 Minimum Prices Price S If producers produce Q2, the amount Q2 - Q3 will go unsold. Pmin A D measures total cost of increased production not sold. B C P0 The change in producer surplus will be A - C - D. Producers may be worse off. D D Q3 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Q0 Chapter 9 Q2 Quantity 22 The Minimum Wage Firms are not allowed to pay less than wmin. This results in unemployment. w S wmin A A is gain to workers who find jobs at higher wage. B C w0 The deadweight loss is given by triangles B and C. Unemployment L1 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. L0 Chapter 9 D L2 L 23 Price Supports Much of agricultural policy is based on a system of price supports Prices set by government above free-market level and maintained by governmental purchases of excess supply ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 24 Price Supports What are the impacts on consumers, producers and the federal budget? Consumers Quantity demanded falls and quantity supplied increases Government buys surplus Consumers must pay higher price for the good Loss in consumer surplus equal to A+B ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 25 Price Supports Producers Gain since they are selling more at a higher price Producer surplus increases by A+B+D Government Cost of buying the surplus, which is funded by taxes, so indirect cost on consumers Cost to government = (Q2-Q1)PS ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 26 Price Supports Government may be able to “dump” some of the goods in the foreign markets Hurts domestic producers that government is trying to help in the first place Total welfare effect of policy CS + PS – Govt. cost = D – (Q2-Q1)PS Society is worse off overall Less costly to simply give farmers the money ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 27 Price Supports Price S Qg Ps A P0 To maintain a price Ps the government buys quantity Qg . D B Net Loss to society is E + B. D + Qg E D Q1 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Q0 Q2 Chapter 9 Quantity 28 Production Quotas The government can also cause the price of a good to rise by reducing supply Limitations of taxi medallions in New York City Limitation of required liquor licenses for restaurants ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 29 Supply Restrictions S’ Price S PS •Supply restricted to Q1 •Supply shifts to S’ & Q1 A B P0 •CS reduced by A + B •Change in PS = A - C •Deadweight loss = BC C D Q1 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Q0 Chapter 9 Quantity 30 Import Quotas and Tariffs Many countries use import quotas and tariffs to keep the domestic price of a product above world levels Import quotas: Limit on the quantity of a good that can be imported Tariff: Tax on an imported good This allows domestic producers to enjoy higher profits Cost to consumers is high ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 31 Import Quotas and Tariffs With lower world price, domestic consumers have incentive to purchase from abroad Domestic price falls to world price and imports equal difference between quantity supplied and quantity demanded Domestic industry might convince government to protect industry by eliminating imports Quota of zero or high tariff ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 32 Import Tariff to Eliminate Imports Price In a free market, the domestic price equals the world price PW. S Quota of zero pushes domestic price to P0 and imports go to zero. P0 A B Loss to consumers is A+B+C. Gain to producers is A. Dead weight loss: B +C. C PW Imports D QS ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Q0 Chapter 9 QD Quantity 33 Import Tariff (General Case) The increase in price can P be achieved by a tariff QS increases and QD decreases Area A is the gain to P* domestic producers The loss to consumers is Pw A+B+C+D DWL = B + C Government Revenue is D = tariff * imports S A B Chapter 9 C D QS ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. D Q’S Q’D Q QD 34 Import Quota (General Case) If a quota is used, rectangle D becomes part of the profits to foreign producers Consumers lose A+B+C+D Producers gain A Net domestic loss is B+C+D S P P* A B Pw Chapter 9 C D QS ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. D Q’S Q’D Q QD 35 The Sugar Quota Example The world price of sugar has been as low as 4 cents per pound, while in the U.S. the price has been 20-25 cents per pound Sugar quotas have protected the sugar industry but driven up prices Domestic producers have been better off and so have some foreign producers that have quota rights Consumers are worse off ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 36 The Sugar Quota Example The Impact of a Sugar Quota in 2001 US production = 17.4 billion pounds US consumption = 20.4 billion pounds US price = 21.5 cents/pound World price = 8.3 cents/pound Price elasticity of US supply = 1.5 Price elasticity of US demand = –0.3 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 37 Impact of Sugar Quota The data can be used to fit the US supply and demand curves QS = -8.70 + 1.21P QD = 26.53 - 0.29P This situation led to little domestic supply and most domestic consumption coming from large imports Government restricted imports to 3 billion pounds raising price to 21.5 cents/pound ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 38 Sugar Quota in 1997 DUS SUS Price (cents/lb.) PUS = 21.5 after quota 20 A 16 D C B 11 The cost of the quotas to consumers was A + B + C + D = $2.4b. The gain to producers was area A = $1b. PW = 8.3 before quota 8 4 1.4 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. 17.4 Chapter 9 20.4 24.2 Quantity (billions of pounds) 39 The Impact of a Tax or Subsidy The government wants to impose a $1.00 tax on movies. It can do it two ways: Make the producers pay $1.00 for each movie ticket they sell Make consumers pay $1.00 when they buy each movie In which option are consumers paying more? ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 40 The Impact of a Tax or Subsidy The burden of a tax (or the benefit of a subsidy) falls partly on the consumer and partly on the producer How the burden is split between the parties depends on the relative elasticities of demand and supply ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 41 The Effects of a Specific Tax For simplicity we will consider a specific tax on a good Tax of a particular amount per unit sold Federal and state taxes on gas and cigarettes For our example, consider a specific tax of $t per widget sold ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 42 Incidence of a Specific Tax Price S Pb price buyers pay Tax = $1.00 •Buyers lose A + B A B P0 PS price producers get •Sellers lose D + C •Government gains A + D in tax revenue. C D •The deadweight loss is B + C. D Q1 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 Q0 Quantity 43 Effect of an Output Tax on Industry Output Price ($ per unit of output) S2 = S1 + t S1 t P2 Tax shifts S1 to S2 and output falls to Q2. Price increases to P2. P1 D Q2 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Q1 Chapter 9 Output 44 Incidence of a Specific Tax Four conditions that must be satisfied after the tax is in place: 1. Quantity sold and buyer’s price, Pb, must be on the demand curve Buyers only concerned with what they must pay 2. Quantity sold and seller’s price, PS, must be on the supply curve Sellers only concerned with what they receive ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 45 Incidence of a Specific Tax Four conditions that must be satisfied after the tax is in place (cont.): 3. QD = QS 4. Difference between what consumers pay and what buyers receive is the tax If we know the demand and supply curves as well as the tax, we can solve for PB, PS, QD and QS ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 46 Incidence of a Specific Tax In the previous example, the tax was shared almost equally by consumers and producers If demand is relatively inelastic, however, burden of tax will fall mostly on buyers Cigarettes If supply is relatively inelastic, the burden of tax will fall mostly on sellers ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 47 Impact of Elasticities on Tax Burdens Burden on Buyer Burden on Seller D Price Price S Pb S t Pb P0 P0 PS t D PS Q1 Q0 Quantity Q1 Q 0 Quantity The Impact of a Tax or Subsidy We can calculate the percentage of a tax borne by consumers using pass-through fraction ES/(ES - Ed) Tells fraction of tax “passed through” to consumers through higher prices For example, when demand is perfectly inelastic (Ed = 0), the pass-through fraction is 1 – consumers bear 100% of tax ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 49 The Effects of a Tax or Subsidy A subsidy can be analyzed in much the same way as a tax Payment reducing the buyer’s price below the seller’s price It can be treated as a negative tax The seller’s price exceeds the buyer’s price Quantity increases ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 50 Effects of a Subsidy Price S Like a tax, the benefit of a subsidy is split between buyers and sellers, depending upon the elasticities of supply and demand. PS Subsidy P0 Pb D Q0 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 Q1 Quantity 51 Effects of a Subsidy The benefit of the subsidy accrues mostly to buyers if ED /ES is small The benefit of the subsidy accrues mostly to sellers if ED /ES is large As with a tax, using supply and demand curves, and the size of the subsidy, one can solve for resulting prices and quantities ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 52 A Tax on Gasoline We can measure the effects of a tax by looking at an example of a gasoline tax The goal of a large gasoline tax is to: Raise government revenue Reduce oil consumption and reduce US dependence on oil imports We will consider a gas tax in the market during mid-1990’s ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 53 A Tax on Gasoline Measuring the Impact of a 50 Cent Gasoline Tax Intermediate-run EP of demand = -0.5 QD = 150 - 50P EP of supply = 0.4 QS = 60 + 40P QS = QD at $1 and 100 billion gallons per year (bg/yr) ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 54 A Tax on Gasoline With a 50 cent tax: QD = QS 150 - 50Pb = 60 + 40PS 150 - 50(PS+ 0.50) = 60 + 40PS PS = .72 Pb = PS + 0.50 = $1.22 QD = QS = 89 bg/yr ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 55 A Tax on Gasoline With a 50 cent tax: Q falls by 11% Price to consumers increases by 22 cents per gallon Producers receive about 28 cents per gallon less Both producers and consumers were opposed to the tax Government revenue would be significant at $44.5 billion per year ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 56 The Impact of a 50 Cent Gasoline Tax D Price ($ per gallon) S Consumer Loss = A + B B Producer Loss = C + D Pb = 1.22 A $0.50 Tax P0 = 1.00 C D PS = .72 The buyer pays 22 cents of the tax, and the producer pays 28 cents. Government revenue = A + D = 0.50(89) = $44.5 billion. 11 50 60 ©2005 Pearson Education, Inc. 89 100 Chapter 9 150 Quantity (billion gallons per year) 57