Transcript TVAAS FAQ-How do I interpret and use the achievement probabilities

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Student scores are confidential.
Therefore
the example belowTVAAS
is merely a
to advance
through
the Achievement
Probabilities
Data
simulation model. Nonethis
of the
score data displayed below is Slide
real.1
presentation
FAQ
Source: TVAAS website as of July 2013
Website String: TVAAS website, Export, Data, Student Projections, Exported Files
Achievement Probability Data
Most tested subjects have four achievement categories
(Social Studies has three)
1) Advanced
Most TVAAS Projections reports includes
2) Proficient
probabilities about these achievement levels
3) Basic
4) Below Basic
FAQ
How Do I Interpret and Use
the Achievement Probabilities Data
TVAAS
Slide 2
Achievement Probability Data
1) Advanced
2) Proficient
3) Basic
This student only has a 0.7% probability of
earning a score at the advanced level
FAQ
How Do I Interpret and Use
the Achievement Probabilities Data
TVAAS
Slide 3
Achievement Probability Data
1) Advanced
2) Proficient
3) Basic
This student has a 41.4% probability of
earning a score at the proficient level
FAQ
How Do I Interpret and Use
the Achievement Probabilities Data
TVAAS
Slide 4
Achievement Probability Data
1) Advanced
2) Proficient
3) Basic
This student has a 92.3% probability of
earning a score at the basic level
FAQ
How Do I Interpret and Use
the Achievement Probabilities Data
TVAAS
Slide 5
Achievement Probability Data
1) Advanced: 0.7% probability
2) Proficient: 41.4% probability
3) Basic: 92.3% probability
So what do you do with this information?
 Since our common goal is for all students to be proficient or
advanced, use these probabilities to develop intervention plans
for those students with high probabilities of being at or below
the basic level
 Also develop intervention plans to help move students from
the proficient to the advanced level
Source: TVAAS website as of August 2013
Website String:
How Do ITherefore
Interpret and
Student
scores are confidential.
theUse
example below is merely a
FAQ
1) Log in to theTVAAS website,
TVAAS
the
Achievement
Probabilities
Data
simulation
model.
None
of
the
score
data
displayed
below
is real.
2) Select the Reports tab
Slide 6
Expressed in State %-tiles
3) Future Academic Performance,
You Can
Also View
TVAAS
Probabilities
Via Individual Student Reports
4) School
(Single
Grade)Student
Future Academic
Performance,
5) select the grade level,
6) select the test and subject,
Student
Projection
ReportI,
7) select either advance,Report:
accelerate
II, or
accelerate
Student:
John Doe 02
8) select a student's name,
Projection: 8th TCAP Science
99
9) select the subject,
90
10) select student
reports,
80
11) select student
70 projection reports
60
50
40
30
20
10
01
Projection: 8th TCAP Science
Projected State Percentile
81
Probability of Success
Basic
Proficient
Advanced
99.9%
99.2%
55.1%
FAQ
How Do I Interpret and Use the Projected
Scores Spreadsheet from the TVAAS Website?
TVAAS
Slide 7
Reference Sources about TVAAS Score Projections and/or Probabilities
For more details about EVAAS/TVAAS projection methodology, read the
following two documents
(1) "What Should Teachers Know About TVAAS Student Probabilities?"
-(2011 SAS Policy Brief by Cathy Brinsfield )
-access it via the TVAAS log on webpage under "Training and Development"
Link: TVAAS Log On Webpage
(2) "Measurement of Academic Growth of Individual Students toward Variable
and Meaningful Academic Standards "
-(2006 SAS White Paper by Wright, Sanders, and Rivers )
Link: SAS White Paper about score projections