Transcript Présentation PowerPoint

Geert BORSTLAP
AMESD – TA
BOTSWANA DEPARTMENT OF
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
OVERVIEW OF SADC THEMATIC ACTION
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
Agenda
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
Preparation
SADC THEMA Services Overview
Agricultural Service
Drought Service
Fire Service
LRF Support Service
1) Preparation: Definition
SADC-THEMA : “Agricultural and Environmental Resource Management”
REC

SADC Secretariat
Participating countries
Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Malawi, Namibia, South-Africa,
Swaziland, Zambia, Zimbabwe
 Mozambique and Tanzania

Regional Implementation Center

BDMS (Botswana Department of Meteorological Services)
Partners

ARC, BCA, CSIR-MERAKA, SAC, SAWS, UB, UZ
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
2) SADC THEMA Services: Overview
SADC Services
Agriculture
Service
Fire
Service
Drought
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
Ministries of Environment
3) Agricultural Service
SADC Services
Agriculture
Service
Fire
Service
Drought
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
Ministries of Environment
3) Agriculture Service : Users
Key-Users
 National
Level : Ministries of Agriculture (MoA)
 Regional Level : SADC FANR
Secondary Users
 Regional
and National Food Security Services
 Farmer Associations
 National Statistic Offices
 Agrometeorological Departments
 Agricultural Research Counsils
 Disaster management Offices
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
3) Agriculture Service : AMESD Work Plan
Principle:
 Improve
and expand the current REWS systems from SADC-RRSU
Allow agricultural remote sensing analysts:
 To
perform Crop Condition Monitoring
 But also a view to forecasting yield and production scenarios
The Agricultural service
 Assist
decision makers in answering the following questions:
 What crops are where?
 What is the crop condition?
 What is the crop stage?

What is the likely yield?
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
3) Agricultural Service: Products
Products:
 Agriculture
Mask, Crop Statistics Map, Crop Specific Maps
 Current Rainfall Map
 Cumulative Rainfall Map
 Rainfall Estimates Compared with average [difference]
 Current Temperature estimate Map
 Vegetation Index Map (+difference)
 C-NDVI graphs for zones of interest
 Dry matter Productivity (+cumulative)
 Current Water Requirements Satisfaction Index (WRSI) Map
 Onset of Rains Maps + anomaly
 Soil Moisture Index Estimates
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
3) Agriculture Service : AMESD Work Plan
Activities:
 Get
Products >> Data Exploration
 Analysis >> Drill down in anomalies
 Agricultural Report
 Condition of the crops
 Expactations of the future
Final Result:
 Monthly
report with traffic light system
 Decadal updates
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3) Examples from in-situ data
Example
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of Rainfall events in Zimbabwe during 2008-2009
3) Example of RS data
Example
of Rainfall Anomaly Map
Rainfall Anomaly Map for the 2008-2009 Season
Main maize areas
FullSADC Map
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
3) Examples of graph
Example
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of Cumulative Rainfall Graph
3) Examples of anomaly map
Example
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of Vegetation index Compared with long-term average
4) Drought Service
SADC Services
Agriculture
Service
Fire
Service
Drought
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
Ministries of Environment
4) Drought Service : Users
Key-Users
 National


Level :
Ministries of Agriculture (MoA)
Ministries of Environment (MoE)

 Regional
Department of Water Affairs, Dept. Forestry and
Rangeland, Department of Tourism and Wildlife, etc)
Level : SADC FANR
Secondary Users
 District
Councils
 Weather Services
 Civil Protection Agencies
 Farming Communities
 Disaster management Offices
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
4) Drought Service : Products
Product
Rain_10
NDVI_MSG10
PASG
Comments
10 day rainfall in mm
10 daily MSG NDVI composite
Percentage of Average Seasonal
Greenness
Drought Map
Current drought situation
Drought Risk
Map
Drought outlook for coming 3
months
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4) Example Product
Example
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of PASG for January – August 2010.
4) Example Product
Example
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of NDVI Difference map
4) Example Report
Based upon Drought Monitoring System of ARC & BDMS.
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
5) Fire Service
SADC Services
Agriculture
Service
Fire
Service
Drought
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
Ministries of Environment
5) Fire Service: Users
Key-Users
 National
Level : Ministries of Environment
 Regional Level : SADC FANR
Secondary Users
 District
Counsils
 Ministries of Transport
 Police and Fire Brigades
 Weather Services (National Televsion)
 Civil Protection Agencies
 Farming Communities
 Disaster Management Offices
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
5) Fire Service: Existing Capacity
AFIS: Advanced Fire Information System (AFIS) of CSIR (° 2004)
1. Fire Danger prediction
2. Early detection of active fires
3. Monitoring of existing fires
4. Burned area assessment
Cell phone alert service
Online mapping tool
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
5) Fire Service : Products
Product
Active-Fires
FDI
Comments
MODIS + MSG Active Fires
Fire Danger Indexes (2x)
MODIS-BAE
MODIS Burnt Area Estimates
MODIS-721
MODIS 721 Band Combination
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
5- Examples FDI
Fire Danger Rating Categories:

Fire Danger Rating Categories
Blue – Insignificant
Green – Low
Yellow – Moderate
Orange – High
Red – High-Extreme
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
5) Example of use of Fire information
• Active fire detection
• Active fire monitoring
• Fire mapping
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
6) LRF Support Service
SADC Services
Agriculture
Service
Fire
Service
Drought
Service
Long Range Forecast
Capacity Building, User Interaction, Data Access
Ministries of Agriculture
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
Ministries of Environment
6) LRF: AMESD Work Plan
Intro
 LRF
has become mature
 Not used in agricultural and environmental sector yet
Principle:
 Use
existing LRF and integrate into 3 core-services
Dissemination Side:

Use EUMETCast for distribution
Crop
LRF
Drought
Fire
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
6) LRF: Products
• 1, 3 and 6 monthly forecast
• Updated every month
• Products
 Rainfall Forecast
 Maximum Temparature Forecast
 Minimum Temparature Forecast
Example from
SAWS
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7) Remarks: Data Access
Principle:
 All
start with access to data: for Universities, MoA, MoE
Work:
 Rx:
Build up Receiving Stations
 “AMESD” Receiving Stations (Agriculture)
 “AMESD Fire” terminals (Fire)
 PUMA Stations (Meteorological Service, drought)
 Datasets on 1TB Harddisk, delivered by SAC
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
7) Remarks: Data on EUMETCast
Data on EUMETCast:
 Satellite
Data (L1 from MSG / METOP and NOAA)
 Atmosphere (CC, Ozone depletion, atmospheric pollution, etc)
 Marine (Sea level, SST, Sea Ice Changes, etc)
 Land (LAI, fCover, SWB, LST, etc for agriculture, forestry, fire, floods)
 Climate (Water Vapour, cloud, etc)
 Software (updates)
 Disaster / Training Channel
Data Navigator:
 www.eumetsat.int
 www.DevCoCast.eu
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011
The END
Thank you.
Pretoria / South Africa 7/2/2011