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Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
BASIC PRINCIPAL
Would you rather have $1,000 today or $1,000 in 30 years?
Why?
Can invest the $1,000 today let it grow This is a fundamental building block of finance
2
Present and Future Value
Present Value: value of a future payment today Future Value: value that an investment will grow to in the future We find these by discounting or compounding at the discount rate Also know as the hurdle rate or the opportunity cost of capital or the interest rate 3
One Period Discounting
PV = Future Value / (1+ Discount Rate) V 0 = C 1 / (1+r) Alternatively PV = Future Value * Discount Factor V 0 = C 1 * (1/ (1+r)) Discount factor is 1/ (1+r) 4
PV Example
What is the value today of $100 in one year, if r = 15%?
PV = 100 / 1.15 = 86.96
5
FV Example
What is the value in one year of $100, invested today at 15%?
FV = 100 * (1.15) 1 = $115
6
Discount Rate Example
Your stock costs $100 today, pays $5 in dividends at the end of the period, and then sells for $98. What is your rate of return?
PV =
FV =
7
Discount Rate Example
Your stock costs $100 today, pays $5 in dividends at the end of the period, and then sells for $98. What is your rate of return?
PV = $100
FV =
8
Discount Rate Example
Your stock costs $100 today, pays $5 in dividends at the end of the period, and then sells for $98. What is your rate of return?
PV = $100
FV = $103 = $98 + $5
($98 + $5)/$100 – 1 = 3%
9
NPV
NPV = PV of all expected cash flows Represents the value generated by the project To compute we need: expected cash flows & the discount rate Positive NPV investments generate value Negative NPV investments destroy value 10
Net Present Value (NPV)
NPV = PV (Costs) + PV (Benefit) Costs: are negative cash flows Benefits: are positive cash flows One period example NPV = C 0 + C 1 / (1+r) For
Investments
be
positive
C 0 will be
negative
, and C 1 will For
Loans negative
C 0 will be
positive
, and C 1 will be 11
Net Present Value Example
Suppose you can buy an investment that promises to pay $10,000 in one year for $9,500. Should you invest?
We don’t know
We cannot simply compare cash flows that occur at different times
12
Net Present Value
Since we cannot compare cash flow we need to calculate the NPV of the investment If the discount rate is 5%, then NPV is?
NPV = -9,500 + 10,000/1.05
NPV = -9,500 + 9,523.81
NPV = 23.81
At what price are we indifferent?
13
Net Present Value
Since we cannot compare cash flow we need to calculate the NPV of the investment If the discount rate is 5%, then NPV is?
NPV = -9,500 + 10,000/1.05
NPV = -9,500 + 9,523.81
NPV = 23.81
At what price are we indifferent?
$9,523.81
NPV would be 0
14
Coffee Shop Example
If you build a coffee shop on campus, you can sell it to Starbucks in one year for $300,000 Costs of building a coffee shop is $275,000 Should you build the coffee shop?
15
Step 1: Draw out the cash flows
Today Year 1
-$275,000 $300,000
16
Step 2: Find the Discount Rate
Assume that the Starbucks offer is guaranteed US T-Bills are risk-free and currently pay 7% interest This is known as r f Thus, the appropriate discount rate is 7% Why?
17
Step 3: Find NPV
The NPV of the project is?
– 275,000 + (300,000/1.07)
– 275,000 + 280,373.83
NPV = $5,373.83
Positive NPV → Build the coffee shop
18
If we are unsure about future?
What is the appropriate discount rate if we are unsure about the Starbucks offer r d = r f r d > r f r d < r f 19
If we are unsure about future?
What is the appropriate discount rate if we are unsure about the Starbucks offer r d = r f
r d > r f
r d < r f 20
The Discount Rate
Should take account of two things: 1.
2.
Time value of money Riskiness of cash flow The appropriate discount rate is the opportunity cost of capital This is the return that is offer on comparable investments opportunities 21
Risky Coffee Shop
Assume that the risk of the coffee shop is equivalent to an investment in the stock market which is currently paying 12% Should we still build the coffee shop?
22
Calculations
Need to recalculate the NPV
NPV = – 275,000 + (300,000/1.12)
NPV = – 275,000 + 267,857.14
NPV = -7,142.86
Negative NPV → Do NOT build the coffee shop
23
Future Cash Flows
Since future cash flows are not certain, we need to form an expectation (best guess) Need to identify the factors that affect cash flows (ex. Weather, Business Cycle, etc).
Determine the various scenarios for this factor (ex. rainy or sunny; boom or recession) Estimate cash flows under the various scenarios (sensitivity analysis) Assign probabilities to each scenario 24
Expectation Calculation
The expected value is the weighted average of X’s possible values, where the probability of any outcome is p E(X) = p 1 X 1 + p 2 X 2 + …. p s X s E(X) – Expected Value of X X i Outcome of X in state i p i – Probability of state i s – Number of possible states Note that = p 1 + p 2 +….+ p s = 1 25
Risky Coffee Shop 2
Now the Starbucks offer depends on the state of the economy Value Probability Recession 300,000 0.25
Normal 400,000 0.5
Boom 700,000 0.25
26
Calculations
Discount Rate = 12% Expected Future Cash Flow =
(0.25*300) + (0.50*400) + (0.25*700) = 450,000
NPV =
-275,000 + 450,000/1.12
-275,000 + 401,786 = 126,790
Do we still build the coffee shop?
Build the coffee shop, Positive NPV
27
Valuing a Project Summary
Step 1: Forecast cash flows Step 2: Draw out the cash flows Step 3: Determine the opportunity cost of capital Step 4: Discount future cash flows Step 5: Apply the NPV rule 28
Reminder
Important to set up problem correctly Keep track of •
Magnitude
and
timing
of the cash flows •
TIMELINES
You cannot compare cash flows @ t=3 and @ t=2 if they are not in present value terms!!
29
General Formula
PV 0 = FV N /(1 + r) N
OR
FV N = PV o *(1 + r) N Given any three, you can solve for the fourth Present value (PV) Future value (FV) Time period Discount rate 30
Four Related Questions
1.
2.
3.
4.
How much must you deposit today to have $1 million in 25 years? (r=12%) If a $58,823.31 investment yields $1 million in 25 years, what is the rate of interest?
How many years will it take $58,823.31 to grow to $1 million if r=12%?
What will $58,823.31 grow to after 25 years if r=12%?
31
FV Example
Suppose a stock is currently worth $10, and is expected to grow at 40% per year for the next five years.
What is the stock worth in five years?
$53.78
$10
14 19.6
27.44
38.42
0 1 2
$53.78 = $10×(1.40)
5
3 4 5
32
PV Example
How much would an investor have to set aside today in order to have $20,000 five years from now if the current rate is 15%?
PV
$20,000
0 1 2 3 4 5
33
PV Example
How much would an investor have to set aside today in order to have $20,000 five years from now if the current rate is 15%?
9,943.53
$20,000
0 1 2 3
20,000/(1+0.15) 5 = 9,943.53
4 5
34
Historical Example
From Fibonacci’s
Liber Abaci
, written in the year 1202: “A certain man gave 1 denari at interest so that in 5 years he must receive double the denari, and in another 5, he must have double 2 of the denari and thus forever. How many denari from this 1denaro must he have in 100 years?” What is rate of return? Hint: what does the investor earn every 5 years 35
Historical Example
From Fibonacci’s
Liber Abaci
, written in the year 1202: “A certain man gave 1 denari at interest so that in 5 years he must receive double the denari, and in another 5, he must have double 2 of the denari and thus forever. How many denari from this 1denaro must he have in 100 years?” What is rate of return? Hint: what does the investor earn every 5 years
100%
1 * (1+1) 20 = 1,048,576 denari.
36
Simple vs. Compound Interest
Simple Interest: Interest accumulates only on the principal Compound Interest: Interest accumulated on the principal as well as the interest already earned What will $100 grow to after 5 periods at 35%?
• Simple interest • FV 2 = (PV 0 * (r) + PV 0 *(r)) + PV 0 Compounded interest FV 2 = PV 0 (1+r) (1+r)= PV 0 (1+r) 2 = PV 0 = (1 + 2r) = 37
Simple vs. Compound Interest
Simple Interest: Interest accumulates only on the principal Compound Interest: Interest accumulated on the principal as well as the interest already earned What will $100 grow to after 5 periods at 35%?
• Simple interest • FV 2 = (PV 0 * (r) + PV 0 *(r)) + PV 0 Compounded interest FV 2 = PV 0 (1+r) (1+r)= PV 0 (1+r) 2 = PV 0 = (1 + 2r) =
$275
38
Simple vs. Compound Interest
Simple Interest: Interest accumulates only on the principal Compound Interest: Interest accumulated on the principal as well as the interest already earned What will $100 grow to after 5 periods at 35%?
• • Simple interest Compounded interest FV 5 FV 5 = (PV 0 *(r) + PV 0 *(r)+…) + PV 0 = PV 0 (1+r) (1+r) * …= PV 0 = PV (1+r) 5 = 0 (1 + 5r) =
$448.40
$275
39
Compounding Periods
We have been assuming that compounding and discounting occurs annually, this does not need to be the case 40
Non-Annual Compounding
Cash flows are usually compounded over periods shorter than a year The relationship between PV & FV when interest is not compounded annually
FV N = PV * ( 1+ r / M) M*N
PV = FV N / ( 1+ r / M) M*N
M is number of compounding periods per year
N is the number of years
41
Compounding Examples
What is the FV of $500 in 5 years, if the discount rate is 12%, compounded monthly?
FV = 500 * ( 1+ 0.12 / 12) 12*5 = 908.35
What is the PV of $500 received in 5 years, if the discount rate is 12% compounded monthly?
PV = 500 / ( 1+ 0.12 / 12) 12*5 = 275.22
42
Another Example
An investment for $50,000 earns a rate of return of 1% each month for a year. How much money will you have at the end of the year?
$50,000 * 1.01
12 = $56,341
43
Interest Rates
The 12% is the
Stated Annual Interest Rate
(also known as the
Annual Percentage Rate
) This is the rate that people generally talk about Ex. Car Loans, Mortgages, Credit Cards However, this is not the rate people earn or pay The
Effective Annual Rate
is what people actually earn or pay over the year The more frequent the compounding the higher the
Effective Annual Rate
44
Compounding Example 2
If you invest $50 for 3 years at 12% compounded semi-annually, your investment will grow to:
$70.93
FV = 50 * (1+(0.12/2)) 2*3 = $70.93
45
Compounding Example 2: Alt.
If you invest $50 for 3 years at 12% compounded semi-annually, your investment will grow to:
$70.93
Calculate the EAR: EAR = (1 + R/m) m – 1
EAR = (1 + 0.12 / 2) 2 – 1 = 12.36%
FV = 50 * (1+0.1236) 3 = $70.93
So, investing at
12.36%
compounded annually is the same as investing at 12% compounded semi-annually 46
EAR Example
Find the Effective Annual Rate (EAR) of an 18% loan that is compounded weekly.
EAR = (1 + 0.18 / 52) 52 – 1 = 19.68%
47
Credit Card
A bank quotes you a credit card with an interest rate of 14%, compounded daily. If you charge $15,000 at the beginning of the year, how much will you have to repay at the end of the year?
EAR = 48
Credit Card
A bank quotes you a credit card with an interest rate of 14%, compounded daily. If you charge $15,000 at the beginning of the year, how much will you have to repay at the end of the year?
EAR =
is (1+0.14/365) 365 – 1 = 15%
$15,000 * 1.15 = $17,250
49
Present Value Of a Cash Flow Stream
PV
( 1
C
1
r
1 ) ( 1
C
2
r
2 ) 2 ( 1
C
3
r
3 ) 3 =
t N
1 ( 1
C t
r t
)
t
( 1
C N r N
)
N
Discount each cash flow back to the present using the appropriate discount rate and then sum the present values.
50
Insight Example
2 3 r = 10% Year 1 Project A 100 400 300 Project B 300 400 100 PV Which project is more valuable? Why?
51
Insight Example
2 3 r = 10% Year 1 Project A 100
90.91
400 300
330.58
225.39
Project B 300
272.73
400 100
330.58
75.13
PV
646.88
Which project is more valuable? Why?
B, gets the cash faster 678.44
52
Various Cash Flows
A project has cash flows of $15,000, $10,000, and $5,000 in 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively. If the interest rate is 15%, would you buy the project if it costs $25,000?
PV = 15,000/1.15+$10,000/1.15
2 +$5,000/1.15
3
PV = $23,892.50
NPV = –$25,000+$23,892.50 –$1,107.50
53
Example
(Given)
Consider an investment that pays $200 one year from now, with cash flows increasing by $200 per year through year 4. If the interest rate is 12%, what is the present value of this stream of cash flows?
If the issuer offers this investment for $1,500, should you purchase it?
54
Multiple Cash Flows
(Given)
0 1 2 3 4
178.57
318.88
427.07
508.41
1,432.93
200 400
Don’t buy
600 800 55
Various Cash Flow
(Given)
A project has the following cash flows in periods 1 through 4: –$200, +$200, –$200, +$200. If the prevailing interest rate is 3%, would you accept this project if you were offered an up-front payment of $10 to do so?
PV = –$200/1.03 + $200/1.03
2 – $200/1.03
3 + $200/1.03
4
PV = –$10.99.
NPV = $10 – $10.99 = –$0.99.
You would not take this project
56
Common Cash Flows Streams
Perpetuity, Growing Perpetuity A stream of cash flows that lasts forever Annuity, Growing Annuity A stream of cash flows that lasts for a fixed number of periods
NOTE:
All of the following formulas assume the first payment is next year, and payments occur annually 57
Perpetuity
A stream of cash flows that lasts forever
C C C 0 1 2 3 PV
C
( 1
r
) ( 1
C r
) 2 ( 1
C r
) 3 … PV: = C/r What is PV if C=$100 and r=10%:
100/0.1 = $1,000
58
Perpetuity Example
What is the PV of a perpetuity paying $30 each month, if the annual interest rate is a constant effective 12.68% per year?
Monthly rate: 1.1268
(1/2) – 1 = 1%
PV = $30/0.01 = $3,000.
59
Perpetuity Example 2
What is the prevailing interest rate if a perpetual bond were to pay $100,000 per year
beginning next year
and costs $1,000,000 today?
r = C/PV = $100,000/$1,000,000 = 10%
60
Growing Perpetuities
Annual payments grow at a constant rate, g 0 C 1 1 C 2 (1+g) 2 C 3 (1+g) 2
…
3 PV= C 1 /(1+r) + C 1 (1+g)/(1+r) 2 PV = C 1 /(r-g) + C 1 (1+g) 2 (1+r) 3 +… What is PV if C 1 =$100, r=10%, and g=2%?
PV = 100 / (0.10 – 0.02) =1,250
61
Growing Perpetuity Example
What is the interest rate on a perpetual bond that pays $100,000 per year with payments that grow with the inflation rate (2%) per year, assuming the bond costs $1,000,000 today?
r = C/PV+g = $100,000/$1,000,000+0.02 = 12%
62
Growing Perpetuity: Example
(Given)
The expected dividend next year is $1.30, and dividends are expected to grow at 5% forever. If the discount rate is 10%, what is the value of this promised dividend stream?
$1.30
$1.30×(1.05) = $1.37
$1.30 ×(1.05) 2 = $1.43
…
0 1 2 3
PV = 1.30 / (0.10 – 0.05) = $26
63
Example
An investment in a
growing perpetuity
costs $5,000 and is expected to pay $200 next year.
If the interest is 10%, what is the growth rate of the annual payment?
5,000 = 200/ (0.10 – g) 5,000 * (0.10 – g) = 200 0.10 – g = 200 / 5,000 0.10 – (200 / 5,000) = g = 0.06 = 6%
64
Annuity
A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity
C C C C
0 1 2 3 T PV
C
( 1
r
) ( 1
C r
) 2 ( 1
C r
) 3 ( 1
C r
)
T PV
C r
1 ( 1 1
r
)
T
65
Annuity Formula
PV C
C r
( 1
r r
)
T C C C C C C C 0 1 2 3 T T+1 T+2 T+3
Simply subtracting off the PV of the rest of the perpetuity’s cash flows 66
Annuity Example 1
Compute the present value of a 3 year ordinary annuity with payments of $100 at r=10% Answer: Or PVA 3 = 100 0.1
1 1 (1.1
) 3 = $248.69
PVA 3 = 1 100 1.1
1 + 100 1.1
2 1 + 100 1.1
3 = $248.69
67
Alternative: Use a Financial Calculator
Texas Instruments BA-II Plus, basic N = number of periods I/Y = periodic interest rate P/Y must equal 1 for the I/Y to be the periodic rate Interest is entered as a percent, not a decimal PV = present value PMT = payments received periodically FV = future value Remember to clear the registers (CLR TVM) after each problem Other calculators are similar in format 68
Annuity Example 2
N I/Y
You agree to lease a car for 4 years at $300 per month. You are not required to pay any money up front or at the end of your agreement. If your opportunity cost of capital is 0.5% per month, what is the cost of the lease? Work through on your financial calculators
= 4 * 12 = 48 = 0.5
PV = ????
PMT = 300 FV = 0 Solve = 12,774.10
69
Annuity Example 3
What is the value today of a 10-year annuity that pays $600 every other year? Assume that the stated annual discount rate is 10%.
What do the payments look like?
What is the discount rate?
70
Annuity Example 3
What is the value today of a 10-year annuity that pays $600 every other year? Assume that the stated annual discount rate is 10%.
What do the payments look like?
PV $600 $600 $600 $600 $600
0 2 4 6
We receive 5 payments of $600
8 10
71
Annuity Example 3
What is the value today of a 10-year annuity that pays $600 every other year? Assume that the stated annual discount rate is 10%.
What is the discount rate?
The discount rate is 10% each year, so over 2 years the discount rate is going to be
72
Annuity Example 3
What is the value today of a 10-year annuity that pays $600 every other year? Assume that the stated annual discount rate is 10%.
What is the discount rate?
The discount rate is 10% each year, so the two year stated rate SB A R is 20%, and the effective rate is
EB A R = (1 + SB A R/m) m -1
1.1
2 – 1 = 0.21 = 21%
73
Annuity Example 3
What is the value today of a 10-year annuity that pays $600 every other year? Assume that the stated annual discount rate is 10%.
N = 5 I/Y we receive 5 payment over 10 years = 21 PV PMT FV = ????
= 600 = 0 Solve = 1,755.59
74
Annuity Example 4
What is the present value of a four payment annuity of $100 per year that makes its first payment two years from today if the discount rate is 9%?
What do the payments look like?
0 1 2 3 4 5
75
Annuity Example 4
What is the present value of a four-payment annuity of $100 per year that makes its first payment two years from today if the discount rate is 9%?
100 100 100 100
1 2 3 4 5
76
Annuity Example 4
What is the present value of a four-payment annuity of $100 per year that makes its first payment two years from today if the discount rate is 9%?
323.97
100 100 100 100 N I/Y PV
1
= 4 = 9 = ????
2 3 4 5
PMT = 100 FV = 0 PV = 323.97
But the $323.97 is a year 1 cash flow and we want to know the
77
year 0 value
Annuity Example 4
What is the present value of a four-year annuity of $100 per year that makes its first payment two years from today if the discount rate is 9%?
297.22
323.97
100 100 100 100
1 2 3 4 5
To get PV today we need to discount the $323.97 back one more year
323.97 / 1.09 = 297.22
78
Annuity Example 5
What is the value today of a 10-pymt annuity that pays $300 a year if the annuity’s first cash flow is at the end of year 6. The interest rate is 15% for years 1-5 and 10% thereafter?
$300 $300 $300 $300 $300 $300 $300 $300 $300 $300 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 79
Annuity Example 5
What is the value today of a 10-pymt annuity that pays $300 a year (at year-end) if the annuity’s first cash flow is at the end of year 6. The interest rate is 15% for years 1-5 and 10% thereafter?
1.
N
Steps: Get value of annuity at t= 5 (year end)
= 10 I/Y PV PMT = 10 = ????
= 300 = 1,843.37
FV
2.
= 0
Bring value in step 1 to t=0
1,843.37 / 1.15
5 = 916.48
80
Annuity Example 6
You win the $20 million Powerball. The lottery commission offers you $20 million dollars today or a nine payment annuity of $2,750,000, with the first payment being today. Which is more valuable is your discount rate is 5.5%?
N I/Y = 9 = 5.5
PV PMT = ????
= 2,750,000 FV = 0 PV = $19,118,536.94
When is the $19,118,536.94?
Year -1, so to bring it into today we?
81
Annuity Example 6
You win the $20 million Powerball. The lottery commission offers you $20 million dollars today or a nine payment annuity of $2,750,000, with the first payment being today. Which is more valuable if your discount rate is 5.5%?
When is the $19,118,536.94?
Year -1, so to bring it into today we?
19118536.94 * 1.055 = 20,170,056.47
Take the annuity
82
Alt: Annuity Example 6
You win the $20 million Powerball. The lottery commission offers you $20 million dollars today or a nine payment annuity of $2,750,000, with the first payment being today. Which is more valuable if your discount rate is 5.5%?
N I/Y = 8 = 5.5
PV PMT = ????
= 2,750,000 FV = 0 PV = $17420056.47
Then add today’s payment $2,750,000 20,170,056.47
83
Delayed first payment: Perpetuity
What is the present value of a growing perpetuity, that pays $100 per year, growing at 6%, when the discount rate is 10%, if the first payment is in 12 years? 84
Delayed first payment: Perpetuity
What is the present value of a growing perpetuity, that pays $100 per year, growing at 6%, when the discount rate is 10%, if the first payment is in 12 years? Steps: 1.
Get value of perpetuity at t= 11 (year end)
Why year 11?
85
Delayed first payment: Perpetuity
What is the present value of a growing perpetuity, that pays $100 per year, growing at 6%, when the discount rate is 10%, if the first payment is in 12 years? Steps: 1.
Get value of perpetuity at t= 11 (year end)
100/(0.10-0.06) = 2,500
86
Delayed first payment: Perpetuity
What is the present value of a growing perpetuity, that pays $100 per year, growing at 6%, when the discount rate is 10%, if the first payment is in 12 years? Steps: 1.
Get value of perpetuity at t= 11 (year end)
100/(0.10-0.06) = 2,500
2.
Bring value in step 1 to t=0 87
Delayed first payment: Perpetuity
What is the present value of a growing perpetuity, that pays $100 per year, growing at 6%, when the discount rate is 10%, if the first payment is in 12 years? Steps: 1.
Get value of perpetuity at t= 11 (year end)
100/(0.10-0.06) = 2,500
2.
Bring value in step 1 to t=0
2,500 / 1.1
11 = 876.23
88
Growing Annuity
A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity
C C
×(1+
g
)
C
×(1+
g
) 2 C×(1+
g
)
T
-1
0 PV
1 2 3 T C
( 1
r
)
C
( 1 ( 1
r
) 2
g
)
C
( 1 ( 1
g r
)
T
)
T
1
PV
r C
g
1 1 ( 1
g r
)
T
89
Growing Annuity: Example
A defined-benefit retirement plan offers to pay $20,000 per year for 40 years and increase the annual payment by 3% each year. What is the present value at retirement if the discount rate is 10%?
0
$20,000
1
$20,000×(1.03)
2
$20,000×(1.03) 39
40
90
Growing Annuity: Example
A defined-benefit retirement plan offers to pay $20,000 per year for 40 years and increase the annual payment by 3% each year. What is the present value at retirement if the discount rate is 10%?
0
$20,000
1
$20,000×(1.03)
2
$20,000×(1.03) 39
40
PV = (20,000/(.1-.03)) * [ 1- {1.03/1.1} 40 ] = 265,121.57
91
Growing Annuity: Example (Given)
You are evaluating an income generating property. Net rent is received at the end of each year. The first year's rent is expected to be $8,500, and rent is expected to increase 7% each year. What is the present value of the estimated income stream over the first 5 years if the discount rate is 12%?
0 1 2 3 4 5
PV = (8,500/(.12-.07)) * [ 1- {1.07/1.12} 5 ] = $34,706.26
92
Growing Perpetuity Example
What is the value today a perpetuity that makes payments every other year, If the first payment is $100, the discount rate is 12%, and the growth rate is 7%?
r:
g:
Price:
93
Growing Perpetuity Example
What is the value today a perpetuity that makes payments every other year, If the first payment is $100, the discount rate is 12%, and the growth rate is 7%?
r: is 12%/year so the 2-year is 25.44%
g:
EB A R = (1 + 0.24/2) 2 -1
Price:
94
Growing Perpetuity Example
What is the value today a perpetuity that makes payments every other year, If the first payment is $100, the discount rate is 12%, and the growth rate is 7%?
r: is 12%/year so the 2-year is 25.44%
EB A R = (1 + 0.24/2) 2 -1
g: is 7%/year so the 2-year is 14.49%
EB A GR = (1 + 0.14/2) 2 -1
What is half of infinity?
Infinity
Price:
100/(0.2544-0.1449) = $913.24
95
Valuation Formulas
PV
FV n
( 1
r
)
n PV
C r PV
C r
1 ( 1 1
r
)
T
F V n
P V PV
r C
1
g
* ( 1
r
)
n PV
r C
1
g
1 1 ( 1
g r
)
T
96
Valuation Formulas
Lump Sum Lump Sum
PV
FV n
( 1
r
)
n F V n
Growing Perpetuity Perpetuity
PV P V
* ( 1
r
)
n
r C
1
g PV
C r
Growing Annuity Annuity
PV
C r
1 ( 1 1
r
)
T
PV
r C
1
g
1 1 ( 1
g r
)
T
97
Remember
That when you use one of these formula’s or the calculator the assumptions are that: PV is right now The first payment is next year 98
What Is a Firm Worth?
Conceptually, a firm should be worth the present value of the firm’s cash flows.
The tricky part is determining the size, timing, and
risk
of those cash flows.
99
Quick Quiz
3.
4.
5.
1.
2.
How is the future value of a single cash flow computed?
How is the present value of a series of cash flows computed.
What is the Net Present Value of an investment?
What is an EAR, and how is it computed?
What is a perpetuity? An annuity?
100
Why We Care
The Time Value of Money is the basis for all of finance People will assume that you have this down cold 101