Monday, April 27, 2020 By Gloria Otieno 1

Presentation Outline

Context: Kenya Objectives and TORs Research Plan Methodology Expected Outputs Monday, April 27, 2020 2

Kenya Context Food Security Situation

 Poverty in Kenya currently stands 46%  Over 10 million Kenyans are facing food poverty – (cannot meet 50% of daily food requirements).

 Currently 0ver 4.5 million Kenyans are in need of food aid partly due to  drought especially in the ASALs and  high food prices ( 100-130% above normal) especially in the urban areas.

 output of Maize fell from a surplus of 9million bags in 2006 to a deficit of 15 million bags on 2009  Deficit therefore requires imports from the region Monday, April 27, 2020 3

The Kenyan Context: Trade

 Kenya ascribes to two main Regional Trade Agreements  COMESA – Customs Union ( 19 Countries in ESA)  EAC – Customs Union – UG, TZ, Rwanda, Burundi  Exports to the Region consist of Consumer goods & Petroleum Products  Main trading partner is Uganda 15.6%, and Tanzania- 7.7% and Rwanda 3.3%).

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Kenyan Context contd’

 Imports are mainly from Tanzania and Uganda and consist of Grains – maize, beans and finger millet, as well as fruits and vegetables  Most trade is informal through porous borders and mainly carried out by small scale producers and traders in small but significant quantities.

 Livelihoods in most rural areas therefore depend on agriculture, livestock production or small scale trade  Impacts on incomes and food security.

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Objectives and TORs

This research aims to explore the linkages between Agricultural trade (Both regional and international), and its implications on livelihoods and food security in Kenya.

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Specific Objectives …1

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To collect information on and analyse The recent trends in regional trade in agriculture in the EAC, and Linkages security and rural livelihoods in Kenya; btn, trade, food Monday, April 27, 2020 7

Specific Objectives..(2)

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  Determine Kenya the magnitude and composition of formal and informal Agricultural trade and implications on food security and rural livelihoods in Implications food prices Implications on volumes Implications on Rural Livelihoods Incomes, employment and poverty categorization – pastoralists, farmers, urban poor and ASALs Monday, April 27, 2020 8

Specific Objectives..(3)

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Examining policy implications Roles of actors/stakeholders different 2.

National agriculture policies related , trade and food security to 3.

Development of a framework to leverage regional trade in agriculture to improve food security and rural livelihoods in Kenya Monday, April 27, 2020 9

Research Plan

 Phase I  Desk review of existing literature, secondary data on trends on trade, food security and livelihoods in Kenya  Phase II  Determining Linkages between and Implications of Trade, food security and rural livelihoods in Kenya  Phase III -Analysis of policy implications, roles of stakeholders and synergies  Various Initiatives on food security/aid  Various stakeholders, institutions and key players  National Policy framework Monday, April 27, 2020 10

Data Sources/Types..1

 Secondary data from Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Agriculture International Statistical Sources.

 Primary data collection Key informant survey- stakeholders, institutions, key government agencies Monday, April 27, 2020 11

Expected Outputs

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Preliminary report based on phase I of the research (desk review) Draft report based on Phase I and II after data collection and synthesis Final Report to be presented at a national consultation/stakeholder’s forum Policy brief based on the research findings Monday, April 27, 2020 12

Monday, April 27, 2020

Thank You!

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