ITALIAN POPULATION DAYS

12

th

edition

8

‐

10 February 2017 FLORENCE

     

CONFERENCE PROGRAM

   

2  

Dear colleagues, the Italian Association for Population Studies (AISP) is pleased to welcome you to the 12 th edition of the

Giornate di Studio sulla Popolazione 2017

(Population Days 2017). The

Giornate di Studio sulla Popolazione

, held every two years, is one of the most important initiatives of the AISP. On that occasion, Italian and international leading experts and scholars present and discuss ongoing research on population and society. Conferences are based on parallel sessions, organized by subject areas. On behalf of the scientific committee and the organizing team we welcome you in Florence!

ORGANIZING COMMITTEES Scientific Committee Local Organizing Committee

Salvatore Strozza,

President

Gustavo De Santis,

Vice President

Arnstein Aassve Alessio Fornasin Giuseppe Gabrielli Silvia Meggiolaro Alessandra Petrucci Elena Pirani Luciana Quattrociocchi Silvana Salvini Daniele Vignoli Silvana Salvini,

President

Gustavo De Santis Alessandra Petrucci Elena Pirani Valentina Tocchioni Daniele Vignoli 3  

Population Days 2017 at a glance

09:00 ‐ 10:30 Wednesday 8 Thursday 9 Parallel sessions

S6. Union dissolution

(5)

S7. Economic uncertainty and fertility

(8)

S8. Internal migrations

(4)

S9. Mortality issues

(7)

S10. Developing countries

(9)

10:30 ‐ 11:00 11:00 12:30 12:30 14:00 ‐ ‐ Coffee break 12:00 Registration Parallel sessions

S11. Childlessness

(4)

S12. Health issues

(5)

S13. In memory of V. Solesin – 1

(7)

S14. Transitions in life course

(9)

S15. Wellbeing

(8)

12:00 E1.

Authors meet critics

(5)

Lunch Friday 10 Parallel sessions

S21. Coping strategies in later life

(4)

S22. Family context and fertility

(8)

S23. Health in later life – 2

(5)

S24. Integration of foreigners

(7)

S25. Methods – 2

(9)

Coffee break Parallel sessions

S26. Divorce (consequences)

(4)

S27. Education issues

(7)

S28. Gender and living arrangements

(8)

S29. Measuring and counting

(9)

S30. Migration issues

(5)

E5.

Plenary session

Presentation of the new AISP book (8)

14:00 14:30 14:30 15:30 ‐ ‐ Welcome address

Demographic Association (8) (8)

E2.

Plenary session

with the Swedish

15:30 ‐ 16:30 16:30 ‐ 18:00 Coffee break P1.

Poster session 1

(foyer)

Parallel sessions

S1. Culture and migration

(5)

S2. Culture and fertility

(8)

S3. Economic issues

(7)

S4. Health in later life – 1

(4)

S5. Methods – 1

(9)

Parallel sessions

S16. Employment

(4)

S17. Historical demography

(7)

S18. Migrant trajectories

(5)

S19. Socio‐economic drivers of fertility

(8)

S20. In memory of V. Solesin – 2

(9)

E3.

Coffee break 16.30

‐ 17.00

Istat Session Population on P2.

Poster session 2

(foyer)

Permanent Census

(5)

17.00

‐ 18.45

E4.

AISP General Assembly

(8)

Lunch box 18:30 Guided tour of the Museo degli Innocenti 19:30 – 21:30 Welcome Cocktail

NOTE: Locations are in brackets.  

20:30 Social Dinner

4  

The Venue

The main venue of the Conference will be in

Via Gino Capponi 9

, one of the locations of the University of Florence in the city center.

Social events

The

Welcome Party

will be held at

Salone delle Compagnie, Istituto degli Innocenti

, in Piazza Santissima Annunziata 12, from 19.30 to 21.30 on Wednesday 8 th . Before the cocktail party, at 18.30, we are glad to invite you to a guided tour of the

Museo degli Innocenti

. The

Social Dinner

will be held at

Palazzo Borghese

, Via Ghibellina 110/N, starting at 20.30 on Thursday 9 th at the cost of 40€. Payment until 12.00 of Thursday 9 th in the registration area (Via Gino Capponi 9).

Other information

Internet WiFi

EDUROAM Internet connection available: don’t forget to bring your EDUROAM credentials.

Taxi

If you need Taxis you can call it by Radiotaxi (phone): (+39) 0554242, (+39) 0554390, (+39) 0554798.

Visiting Florence

You can find useful information for visiting Florence on the Official tourism website of Florence (http://www.firenzeturismo.it/en/) or on the Visit Florence website (https://www.visitflorence.com/it/) 5  

 

How to reach the Locations of the Conference and Social Events

  From the Florence Train Central Station (Santa Maria Novella) you can walk to via

Gino Capponi 9

or take a bus.

From Santa Maria Novella railway station

, it takes approximately 15 minutes to walk to the venue (about 1.5 Km). From Piazza della Stazione take Largo Alinari (80 m), continue straight on Via Nazionale (300 m). Then turn right on Via Guelfa (360m) and continue straight on Via degli Alfani, and after about 200 m turn left on Via dei Servi. Cross Piazza dell’Annunziata and go straight to Via Gino Capponi (entrance on the left after about 150 m) .

The bus lines from the Central Station that get you close to the conference site are n.

6A, 6B, 14, 14A, 23A, 23B

, and the closest bus stop is Santissima Annunziata (after Piazza San Marco). You can check the transportation company web page Via Gino Capponi. You will find the entrance on the left after about 150 m. for directions and timetables (www.ataf.net). From the bus stop, you need to walk for less than 5 minutes: continue on Via Cesare Battisti for 50 m, then turn left on The Welcome cocktail will take place in the

Salone delle Compagnie

,

Istituto degli Innocenti

, in Piazza Santissima Annunziata 12, very close to the conference location (less than 200 m from Via Gino Capponi 9). The social dinner will take place at

Palazzo Borghese

, Via Ghibellina 110/N. It is a ten‐minute walk from the main conference venue (about 1 km). Further details in the accommodation section in the conference website (http://www.sis‐aisp.it/ocs‐2.3.4/index.php/popdays2017/popdays2017). 6  

Wednesday 8

E1.

Authors meet critics

(h. 12:00‐14:00, room 5,

Italian

)

  1.

Chair: Roberto Impicciatore

Migration in the Mediterranean. Socio‐economic perspectives

, Elena Ambrosetti, Donatella Strangio and Catherine Wihtol de Wenden (Eds.), Routledge, London and New York, 2016 Presenting author

: Elena Ambrosetti

Discussant

: Giancarlo Blangiardo   2.

Per una storia della popolazione italiana del Novecento

, Lorenzini (Eds.), Forum Editrice, Udine, 2016 Presenting author

: Alessio Fornasin

Discussant:

Elisabetta Barbi

Alessio Fornasin and Claudio

  3.

Il lungo viaggio dell’umanità. Dalle savane alle migrazioni globali

, Massimo Livi Bacci, Zanichelli, 2016 Presenting author

: Massimo Livi Bacci

Discussant

: Corrado Bonifazi   4.

Generazioni solidali – Giovani e anziani nell'Italia della crisi

, Marco Accorinti and Enrico Pugliese (Eds.), LiberEtà, 2015 Presenting author

: Enrico Pugliese

Discussant

: Alessandra De Rose   5.

Il futuro che (non) c’è

, Alessandro Rosina and Sergio Sorgi, Università Bocconi Editore, 2016 Presenting author

: Alessandro Rosina

Discussant

: Roberto Impicciatore

Welcome address

(h. 14.00‐14.30, room 8,

Italian

)

E2.

Plenary session with the Swedish Demographic Association

(h. 14.30‐15.30, room 8,

English

)

  1.

2.

Chair: Daniele Vignoli

Gunnar Andersson

Nordic Demographic Societies: Small populations, great data

Gerda Neyer

Low fertility in Europe: Is gender equality the solution? 7  

P1.

Coffee break and Poster session 1

(h. 15:30‐16:30,

foyer

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

Silvia Venturi, Pietro Manfredi, Luigi Marangi, Odo Barsotti, Giovanni Gestri, Simone Mancini, Rini Picchi

Determinants of school performance in a cohort of Tuscany students

Liu Lei

Social inclusion of rural elderly left behind by internal labor migration: a case study in a Chinese rural village in Anhui province

Silvana Salvini, Alessandra Petrucci, Elena Pirani

The gendered shaping of academic career in Italy. A case study

Laura Iannucci, Emanuela Bologna

Unhealthy habits among generations

Daniela Bellani

Educational gradient and fertility quantum in Europe. Labor market institutions and diffusion of new values

Marco Breschi, Alessio Fornasin, Matteo Manfredini, Stanislao Mazzoni, Lucia Pozzi

Socio‐economic status, health and mortality over the life course. Alghero (Sardinia) and Resia (Friuli) between the 19th and 20th century 7.

8.

Nourelhouda Fredj, Zahia Ouadah ‐ Bedidi

The first meeting: the beginning of a long process in couple's formation among young men and women in Tunisia

Patrick Präg, Lea Ellwardt, Francesco C.

Billari

Internet use and social contacts 9.

Massimo Castellano

Potential of employment growth of white jobs in Italy and their role in support of our welfare system 10.

Kathrin Morosow

Is the home‐care‐allowance disadvantaging single parents? Labor market outcome consequences of the cash‐for‐care benefit for single parents in Finland 11.

Marco Battaglini, Giorgia Capacci

Semisuper e supercentenari: analisi dei dati dell’archivio italiano 12.

Valeria Bordone, Bruno Arpino, Sergei Scherbov

I am gonna live forever. Grandparenthood and subjective life expectancy 13.

Sara Tafuro

The role of income vulnerability and gender development in the persistence of son preference. A worldwide analysis of determinants of sex imbalances 14.

Alberto Arcagni, Elisa Barbiano di Belgiojoso, Marco Fattore, Stefania Maria Lorenza Rimoldi

Un nuovo approccio per la valutazione della povertà tra gli stranieri attraverso variabili ordinali 15.

Enrico Ripamonti, Stefano Barberis

Cultural capital and human capital in Italy: a geographical perspective 16.

Fabrizio Bernardi

The divorce penalty in children educational attainment in Spain 17.

Luisa Salaris, Nicola Tedesco

Ukrainian women in Italy: occupational segregation and penalties 18.

Jan Saarela, Rosa Weber

Why do migrants go back and forth? Circular migration between Finland and Sweden 19.

Diederik Boertien, Iñaki Permanyer

The influence of educational marital homogamy on income inequality between households from a comparative perspective 8  

  20.

Antonio Lucadamo, Paola Mancini, Annamaria Nifo

Healthcare expenditure and quality of institutions during the economic crisis: evidence from Italian data 21.

Simone Russo, Raffaele Migliorini, Marco Aurelio Trabucco, Andrea Marcellusi, Francesco Saverio Mennini

Malattie cronico‐degenerative e previdenza sociale: un’analisi demografica sulle prestazioni per l’invalidità 22.

Eralba Cela, Eros Moretti

Age of ageing: gli effetti dell’invecchiamento nella regione Marche 23.

Francesco Giovanni Truglia, Federico Benassi, Roberta Varriale

The election turnout in Italy. Demographic and territorial factors in a spatial perspective 24.

Maria Veronica Dorgali, Luca Faustini, Piero Manfredi, Angela Bechini, Alessandra Petrucci, Barbara Pacini, Paolo Bonanni

Attitudes, knowledge and intentions towards HPV immunization and cervical cancer prevention among female university students in Tuscany

S1.

Culture and migration

(h. 16:30‐18:00, room 5,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Corrado Bonifazi

Anna Di Bartolomeo

Couple‐related migration to Europe: The role of higher education

Pablo Gracia, Carlos Gil ‐ Hernández

The educational and occupational aspirations of ethnic‐minority adolescents in Spain: new evidence on explanatory factors

Eleonora Mussino, Jussi Tervola, Ann ‐ Zofie Duvander

Finns in Sweden: What influences fathers’ parental leave use?

Elena Ambrosetti, Marina Attili, Cinzia Castagnaro

Prenatal sex selection in migratory context: new evidences from Italy

Ben Wilson, Jouni Kuha

What is the influence of childhood exposure to cultural norms? The role of segregation and community composition in explaining migrant fertility

S2.

Culture and fertility

(h. 16:30‐18:00, room 8,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Fabrizio Bernardi

Francesco C.

Billari, Osea Giuntella, Maria Sironi

Internet and the timing of births

Mattia Oliviero, Stefani Scherer

Fertility behaviour and the mediating role of institutional and cultural contexts: evidence from European internal migrants

Maria Castiglioni, Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna, Maria Letizia Tanturri

Persisting geographical differences in low fertility

Giuliana Giuliani

Ideal men, women, and family size

Christine Schnor, Marika Jalovaara

The increase in non‐marital childbearing and its link to educational expansion 9  

S3.

Economic issues

(h. 16:30‐18:00, room 7,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Cecilia Tomassini

Marina Zannella, Alessandra De Rose

Non‐cash transfers and the gender contract. Implications of the economic crisis in Italy

Antonino Di Pino, Maria Gabriella Campolo

Selectivity of bargaining and the causal effects of retirement on the labour division in the Italian couples

Chiara Daniela Pronzato, Paola Profeta, Valeria Ferraro, Giulia Ferrari

Gender quotas: challenging the boards, performance, and the stock market

Romina Fraboni, Agnese Vitali

Why pool resources in marriage? A study on the choice of matrimonial property regime in Italy

Angelo Lorenti, Christian Dudel, Mikko Myrskylä

The length of working life in Italy before and during the economic crisis

S4.

Health in later life – 1

(h. 16:30‐18:00, room 4,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Bruno Arpino

Damiano Uccheddu

The role of socioeconomic status on health at older ages across different European welfare clusters: evidence from SHARE data, 2004‐2013

Odoardo Bussini, Donatella Lanari

The effects of immigrant status and age at migration on changes in older Europeans’ health

Marta Pasqualini, Donatella Lanari, Liliana Minelli, Luca Pieroni, Luca Salmasi

Health and income inequalities in Europe: what is the role of circumstances?

Benedetta Pongiglione, George B.

Ploubidis, Bianca Lucia De Stavola

Disability‐free life expectancy over a decade in England: understanding trends

Elena Demuro

Health in the last years of life among older Italian adults

S5.

Methods – 1

(h. 16:30‐18:00, room 9,

Italian

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Mariano Porcu

Lucia Zanotto, Stefano Mazzuco

Reconstruction of cohort data with EM algorithm

Emilia Rocco, Elena Pirani

Understanding changes in family satisfaction of Italian couples over time

Margherita Silan, Giovanna Boccuzzo, Giulio Caperna, Nicolò Preo

Quantification of frail people using administrative data and several outcomes: A proposal based on partially ordered sets on multiple outcomes

Ugofilippo Basellini, Carlo ‐ Giovanni Camarda

Modeling and forecasting age at death distributions

Gianni Corsetti, Marco Marsili

Educational attainment forecast of the Italian resident population by a continuous‐time microsimulation model 10  

Thursday 9

S6.

Union dissolution

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 5,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Alessandra De Rose

Marco Albertini, Marco Tosi

Divorce, father‐child contact and grandparents’ involvement in childcare in Italy

Kathrin Morosow, Marika Jalovaara, Juho Härkönen

Cash‐for‐care use and union dissolution in Finland

Sylwia Timoszuk

Being poor but feeling not so poor? Widowhood and financial wellbeing of older women living in Poland

Li Ma, Jani Turunen, Ester Rizzi

Family formation type and divorce in China

Anna Barbuscia

Fertility treatments, childbearing and timing of divorce. Evidence from American women in their first marriage using data from the National Survey of Family Growth (2002‐2013)

S7.

Economic uncertainty and fertility

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 8,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Chiara Rapallini

Chiara Ludovica Comolli

Intergenerational mobility during the Great Recession: the impact on the transition to motherhood for American women

Daniele Vignoli, Valentina Tocchioni, Alessandra Mattei

First birth losses and gains under economic uncertainty in Italy

Daniele Vignoli, Giammarco Alderotti, Letizia Mencarini

Is the impact of employment uncertainty on fertility intentions channeled by subjective wellbeing?

Roberta Rutigliano

Many hands make light work: childcare arrangements and the risk of second birth in the UK

Alexandra Tragaki, Christos Bagavos

Fertility in the time of recession: the case of Greece during the years 2000‐2014

S8.

Internal migrations

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 4,

Italian

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Eros Moretti

Giovanni Boscaino, Pietro Vassallo

La migrazione studentesca dalla laurea triennale alla magistrale

Roberto Impicciatore, Nazareno Panichella

Internal migration in Italy. A life course approach

Massimo Attanasio, Marco Enea

La mobilità studentesca in Italia: un'analisi dei flussi dal Sud d'Italia verso il Centro‐Nord

Massimiliano Crisci, Barbara Di Tanna

Temporary migration for work from Southern Italy

Cecilia Reynaud, Enrico Tucci

The recent internal mobility in Italy: the role of women and foreigners 11  

S9.

Mortality issues

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 7,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Elisabetta Barbi

Virginia Zarulli, Julia A.

Barthold, Anna Oksuzyan, Rune Lindahl ‐ Jacobsen, Kaare Christensen, James W.

Vaupel

Women survive severe famines and epidemics better than men

Lucia Zanotto, Vladimir Canudas ‐ Romo

Evolution of premature mortality

Virgina Zarulli, Anna Oksuzyan, Bernard Jeune, Kaare Christensen, James E.

Oeppen, James W.

Vaupel, Rune Lindahl ‐ Jacobsen

Women outlive men more as they become old

Sol P.

Juárez, Sven Drefahl, Mikael Rostila

All‐cause mortality, age at arrival and duration of residence among adult migrants in Sweden. A population‐based longitudinal study

Filip Wigselius

Inequalities in the broken heart syndrome

S10.

Developing countries

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 9,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Silvana Salvini

Liliana Andriano, Christiaan W.S.

Monden

Maternal education and child mortality: evidence from a quasi‐experiment in Malawi and Uganda

Valentina Fusari

Fertility transition in Eritrea: figures and narratives

Elisa Rizzo, Renzo Derosas

Female education and fertility in sub‐Saharan Africa

Antonia Verger

Do household’s demographic structures influence children’s educational attainment? An analysis from a deprived Malagasy rural zone

Elena Ambrosetti, Aurora Angeli, Marco Novelli

Ideal family size and fertility in Egypt: isn't three the perfect number?

Coffee break

(h. 10:30‐11:00, foyer)

12  

S11.

Childlessness

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 4,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Patrick Festy

Elisa Brini

Childlessness and fertility in European countries. The role of contextual factors in explaining childlessness level and its determinants

Marcantonio Caltabiano, Maria Letizia Tanturri

Childlessness and sexuality in Italy

Marcantonio Caltabiano, Chiara Ludovica Comolli, Rita Rinaldi, Alessandro Rosina

The effect of the Great Recession on permanent childlessness in Italy

Giulia Zanini

“Childfree"? A qualitative research of unintended childlessness in Italy

Marika Jalovaara, Gunnar Andersson, Johan Dahlberg, Lars Dommermuth, Peter Fallesen, Trude Lappegård, Gerda Neyer

Education, gender, and cohort fertility in the Nordic countries

S12.

Health issues

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 5,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Elena Pirani

Nicoletta Balbo, Nicola Barban, Frank F.

Furstenberg

Multiple socio‐economic contexts during adolescence and health behaviors in young adulthood

Cecilia Potente

Decomposing the rising educational inequality in health: the role of marriage

Alexandra Tragaki

When the going gets tough... the recession effect on Greek mortality rates

Paola Di Giulio, Cecilia Reynaud

Family consequences of children disability

Silvia Loi, Jo Mhairi Hale

Migrant‐native health gap in Italy: an ongoing convergence process

S13.

Session in memory of Valeria Solesin – 1

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 7,

Italian

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

Chair: Arnaud Régnier Loilier

Alessio Buonomo

Le migrazioni interregionali in Italia: gli spostamenti nell’ultimo decennio per regione di origine dei migranti

Margherita Silan

The estimation of neighborhood effects

Sara Tafuro

Sons as insurance. The impact of changing patterns of social security on the masculinization of births

Corrado Polli

Italian older workers: labour market structural changes in a context of job polarization 13  

S14.

Transitions in life course

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 9,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Roberto Impicciatore

Marco Tosi

Age norms, family relationships and home leaving in Italy

Stefano Mazzuco, Anna Giraldo

The effect of economic recession on transition to adulthood in Italy

Francesco Rampazzo, Juho Härkönen, Agnese Vitali

Better alone than badly accompanied? Intention and realization of leaving the parental home in Italy

Giulia Ferrari, Ariane Pailhé

Age at leaving the parental home among children of immigrants in France. How do ethnic origin and the economic context affect timing and pathways?

Alessandro Di Nallo, Luize Ratniece

Men's life course trajectories in UK. A sequence analysis approach

S15.

Wellbeing

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 8,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Stefani Scherer

Marco Le Moglie, Letizia Mencarini, Chiara Rapallini

Do rich parents enjoy children less?

Elisabetta Barbi, Oliviero Casacchia, Filomena Racioppi

Sentinel indicators of economic development and social wellbeing today in Italy

Elisa Cisotto, Giulia Cavrini, Cecilia Tomassini

Happy grandparents? A study in South Tyrol on the perception of happiness in over fifty grandparents

Arnstein Aassve, Francesca Luppi

N reasons to be (un)happy about childbearing

Matteo Mazziotta, Antonella Bianchino, Salvatore Cariello, Flora Fullone

Well‐being composite indicators for Italian municipalities: case study of Basilicata

Lunch

(h. 12:30‐14:00, foyer)

14  

S16.

Employment

(h. 14:00‐15:30, room 4,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Alessandra Petrucci

Angelo Mazza, Antonio Punzo, Manuela Stranges

Determinants of return to education for immigrants in Italy

Filomena Racioppi, Giulia Rivellini, Alessandra De Rose

Ageing in a business perspective: Which strategies to maintain the older workers active?

Romina Fraboni, Francesca Gallo, Isabella Siciliani, Serena Palmieri

Economic crisis's effect on R&D job opportunities for PhD cohorts in Italy

Ornella Giambalvo, Martina Vittorietti, Fabio Aiello

A longitudinal analysis of the occupational status of the graduates of University of Palermo

Marco Centra, Valentina Gualtieri, Andrea Cutillo

The occupational impact of the labour market reforms introduced in 2015 in Italy

S17.

Historical demography

(h. 14:00‐15:30, room 7,

Italian

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Alessio Fornasin

Gabriele Ruiu, Marco Breschi

Climatic and social determinants of the seasonality of births in Italy, a long‐run analysis (1863‐1933)

Massimo Esposito

Mortalità e clima in Sardegna. Un caso di studio: Alghero (1890‐1935)

Cristina Munno, Renzo Derosas

Spatial and epidemiological analysis in urban mortality. Nineteenth‐century Venice

Lucia Pozzi, Josef Bernabeu ‐ Mestre, Maria Eugenia Galiana ‐ Sánchez

What we can learn from the past experience of poverty related diseases in Italy and Spain?

Francesco Scalone, Rosella Rettaroli, Giulia Roli

Historical trends of sex ratio at birth in Italy: A long‐term analysis

S18.

Migrant trajectories

(h. 14:00‐15:30, room 5,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Patrizia Farina

Livia Elisa Ortensi, Elisa Barbiano di Belgiojoso

Exploring onward migration of immigrants from Italy

Corrado Bonifazi, Angela Paparusso

The effect of the legal status on the return migration intentions of migrants living in Italy

Frank Heins, Corrado Bonifazi, Maria Girolama Caruso

Foreign residents in Italy according to their migration trajectories

Andrea Monti

Outmigration patterns of foreign born residents from Sweden 1990‐2013

Jan Saarela, Rosa Weber

An assessment of educational misclassification in register‐based data on Finnish immigrants in Sweden 15  

S19.

Socio

‐

economic drivers of fertility

(h. 14:00‐15:30, room 8,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Daniele Vignoli

Oxsana Sinyavskaya, Svetlana Biryukova

Stimulating fertility with monetary pro‐natal policies ‐ how effective is it? Evaluating recent Russian experience

Alessandra Trimarchi, Jan Van Bavel

Education assortative mating and couples’ fertility

Liat Raz ‐ Yurovich

Social inequality on the parity distribution ‐ A cohort perspective

Barbara S.

Okun

Cohort fertility decline and educational attainment: Muslim women in Israel

Ben Wilson, Maarten J.

Bijlsma

Understanding the factors that influence childbearing over the life course: causal links between employment, partnership, socio‐economic status and fertility

S20.

Session in memory of Valeria Solesin – 2

(h. 14:00‐15:30, room 9,

Italian

)

  1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Viviana Egidi

Flavia Santi

Impact of socioeconomic status on cancer risk in the Lazio region

Liliana Andriano

Climate change and child mortality in sub‐Saharan Africa: can maternal education and community factors moderate this effect?

Sara Fioravanti

Inquinamento, depressione materna e obesità in età infantile: un’analisi di due coorti di bambini in Italia

Marta Pasqualini

The “weight” of the family: family members as determinants of health related behaviours

Andrea Gamboni

Le cause di morte e la compressione della mortalità in Italia  

P2.

Coffee break and Poster session 2

(h. 15:30‐16:30,

foyer

)

1.

2.

3.

Agnieszka Rossa, Andrzej Szymanski

Improvement of fuzzy mortality models by means of some algebraic methods

Viviana Egidi

LoLA ‐ Laboratory on Longevity and Ageing

Paola Di Giulio, Marc Luy

Socioeconomic status and health outcomes: a comparison of monastic and general population 16  

4.

5.

6.

7.

Desiree Krivanek

Successful aging in monasteries? ‐ A health study on the impact of extending working life on health and well‐being of order members in Austria

Maura Simone, Francesca Licari

The uncounted residents at Census: the risk of not being surveyed

Luisa Frova, Gabriella Sebastiani, Gianfranco Alicandro, Stefano Marchetti

Socio‐economic inequalities in mortality: results of a census‐based record linkage study in Italy

Paolo Cardone

Work longer, learn longer: evidence from Italian Adult Education Survey (AES) 8.

9.

Davide De Franco, Isabelle Séguy, Arnaud Bringe, Stéfan Tzortzis

GIS application on the demographic history: the socio‐economic and spatial distribution of Martigues’ population (South of France), at the beginning of the 18th century

Liat Raz ‐ Yurovich

Households as employers – Where, why, and what are the implications? 10.

Izabela Anna Grabowska

Workplace type in the context of work‐family balance? Comparative analysis of Poland, France, Italy, Sweden and Australia 11.

Mireille Le Guen

Separarsi in seguito a diagnosi d’infezione da HIV in Francia: l’effetto delle condizioni di vita dei migranti d’Africa Sub‐Sahariana 12.

Zahia Ouadah ‐ Bedidi

High education and fertility in Algeria: contribution of fertility intentions among single women and men 13.

Elisa Cisotto, Roberta Onorati

Marital dissolution and gender differences in mortality risks: evidence from the Turin longitudinal study, a ten years follow up study 14.

Michela Semprebon

Perceptions of filial responsibilities towards the care needs of elderly parents: gender and cultural cleavages in immigrant families from Maghreb in Italy 15.

Laura Soledad Norton

International students at Italian universities: policies and integration process in the case of Sapienza University of Rome 16.

Francesco Di Domenicantonio, Palmira Gianturco, Evelina Martelli

Developing the civil registration system. A case study in Burkina Faso 17.

Giovanni Busetta, Maria Gabriella Campolo, Demetrio Panarello

Statistical taste based discrimination: What does affect immigrants the most in find a job in Italy? 18.

Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi

Mortality decline in Bangladesh: Age‐sex specific differences 19.

Sara Miccoli

Fecondità in Italia: un’analisi spaziale e temporale 20.

Alessandro Baldi Antognini, Pietro Iaquinta

Some considerations about the evolution of fertility in Italy 21.

Manuela Stranges, Annalisa Busetta

Individual and contextual correlates of intermarriage within immigrants in Italy 22.

Sven Drefahl, Karin Modig, Anders Ahlbom

Of leaders and losers – oldest age mortality paradoxes 17  

   

E3.

Istat Session on Permanent Population Census

(h. 16.30 – 17.00, room 5,

Italian

)

Chair: Gustavo De Santis

Speaker

: Vittoria Buratta    

E4.

AISP General Assembly

(h. 17:00 – 18:45, room 8 ,

Italian

)

Restricted to AISP members 18  

Friday 10

S21.

Coping strategies in later life

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 4,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Silvia Meggiolaro

Bruno Arpino, Jordi Gumà, Albert Julià

Like a black swan. Uncommon family trajectories and subjective wellbeing at older ages

Valeria Bordone

Age identity and grandparental childcare in Germany

Elvira Pelle, Giulia Rivellini, Susanna Zaccarin

The social support networks among elderly Italian people

Monika Mynarska, Sylwia Timoszuk, Anita Abramowska ‐ Kmon

“I will think about it later". Coping strategies of older childless people in Poland

Carlo Lallo, Giulia Cavrini, Michela Alagna

Well‐being and grand parenting over the time of economic recession: The European divide

S22.

Family context and fertility

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 8,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Gerda Neyer

Barbara S.

Okun, Guy Stecklov

Do the living statuses of grandparents influence fertility of adult children?

Alice Goisis, Daniel C.

Schneider, Mikko Myrskala

The reversing association between advanced maternal age and child cognitive development: Evidence from three UK birth cohorts

Riccardo Ladini, Filippo Oncini, Adriana Cataldo

"The most natural thing in the world"? The role of education in explaining exclusive breastfeeding in Italy

Anna Barbuscia, Melinda Mills

Assisted reproductive technology and children's cognitive development

Johan Dahlberg

Explaining sibling similarity in fertility ‐ What more than socialization matters?

S23.

Health in later life – 2

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 5,

English

)

  1.

2.

Chair: Fausta Ongaro

Damiano Uccheddu

The role of social participation on self‐reported health, ADL and IADL of people aged 65+: a fixed effects approach using data from SHARE, 2004‐2013

Giorgio Di Gessa, Karen Glaser, Laurie Corna, Rachel Stuchbury, Loretta Platts, Diana Worts, Peggy McDonough, Amanda Sacker, Debora Price

Changes across cohorts in the relationship between employment and family histories, paid work until or beyond state pension age, and health. Evidence from the UK 19  

3.

4.

5.

Cristina Giudici, Lucia Coppola, Eleonora Trappolini

Determining health expectancy in Italy at 60 and over: A longitudinal approach

Cecilia Tomassini, Giorgio Di Gessa, Viviana Egidi

Fertility histories and health in later life in Italy

Mousumi Gogoi

Prevalence and risk factors of urinary incontinence among elderly women in India

S24.

Integration of foreigners

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 7,

Italian

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Luciana Quattrociocchi

Giancarlo Ragozini, Salvatore Strozza, Elena De Filippo

Social support networks and social integration processes for immigrants

Angelo Mazza, Giuseppe Gabrielli, Salvatore Strozza

Immigrant residential segregation in the city of Naples

Francesco Dota, Paola Muccitelli, Monica Perez, Daniele Spizzichino

The migration projects: Is to stay in Italy a sign of integration?

Daniela Ghio, Giancarlo Blangiardo

Legal or irregular immigrants? The lazy eye of Europe forecasting a comprehensive approach for migration policies

Cinzia Conti, Fabio Massimo Rottino, Eugenia Bellini, Francesca Di Patrizio, Roberto Petrillo

High hopes: Behaviours and expectations of foreign students in Italy  

S25.

Methods – 2

(h. 9:00‐10:30, room 9,

English

)

  1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Stefano Mazzuco

Gianbattista Salinari, Gustavo De Santis

Long term equilibria in populations dynamics

Francesco C.

Billari, Nicolò Cavalli, Eric Qian, Ingmar Weber

Online footprints of family change: A study based on Twitter

Emilio Zagheni, Ingmar Weber, Krishna Gummadi

Leveraging Facebook’s advertising platform to monitor migrations

Patrizio Vanella

Stochastic forecasting of demographic components based on the Principal Component Analysis

Muhammad Adil

Probabilistic projection of Total Fertility Rate for Pakistan and its regions using Bayesian hierarchical modeling approach    

Coffee break

(h. 10:30‐11:00, foyer)

20  

S26.

Divorce (consequences)

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 4,

English

)

Chair: Arnstein Aassve

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Cornelia Muresan

Filial obligations and helping behavior to divorced aging fathers in Europe

Michael Gähler

Moving back to “mamma”? Divorce, intergenerational co‐residence and latent family solidarity in Sweden

Ornella Larenza, Laura Bernardi

The meanings of (re)partnering for lone mothers

Fabrizio Bernardi, Diederik Boertien, Koen Geven

Parental separation and offspring’s wealth in the US

Sander Wagner

Married... or not married with children: The causal impact of children on relationship and marriage stability and re‐partnering chances

S27.

Education issues

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 7,

English

)

Chair: Massimo Attanasio

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Alessandra Minello, Hans ‐ Peter Blossfeld

Free to choose? The role of gender stereotypes in the choice of the secondary school track of boys and girls in Germany

Gabriele Ruiu, Maria Laura Ruiu

OENEQE– Over educated in Not qualified Employment

Francesca Tosi, Roberto Impicciatore, Rosella Rettaroli

Individual skills and student mobility in Italy: a regional perspective

Francesca Giambona, Mariano Porcu, Isabella Sulis

Students' literacy in mathematics and reading. The use of multilevel multivariate mixed effect models for the analysis of longitudinal PISA data

Nicola Barban, Melinda Mills, Felix Tropf

Does the genetic influence on education change across neighbourhoods

S28.

Gender and living arrangements

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 8,

English

)

Chair: Letizia Mencarini

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Nicoletta Signoretti

The links among living arrangements and fertility in Germany. The role of Living Apart Together on fertility intentions and realized fertility

Joan Dahlberg

Intergenerational transmission of gender equality. Does grandparents education affect couples' division of parental leave?

Francesca Luppi

Childcare arrangements and mothers’ satisfaction with work‐family balance

Annalisa Donno, Maria Letizia Tanturri, Ariane Pailhé, Anne Solaz, Susanne Fahlén, Ursula Henz

Fathers’ time with children at the crossroads of the gender revolution: A comparative analysis in France, Italy, Sweden and the UK

Gøsta Esping ‐ Andersen, Julia Cordero

The intergenerational transmission of gender roles. Children’s contribution to housework in Germany 21  

S29.

Measuring and counting

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 9,

English

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

Chair: Gerardo Gallo

Svetlana Biryukova, Alla Makarentseva

Motherhood penalty in Russia. Evidence from RLMS data

Patrick Festy, Nathalie Le Boutelliec

European censuses: Fifty years of diversification and harmonization

Fausta Ongaro, Maria Castiglioni, Franco Bonarini

Large families (in a context of lowest‐low fertility): what do we know about them?

Chiara Daniela Pronzato, Elena Meroni, Daniela Piazzalunga

Use of extra‐school time and child non‐cognitive development. Evidence from the UK

S30.

Migration issues

(h. 11:00‐12:30, room 5,

Italian

)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Chair: Giancarlo Blangiardo

Giuseppe Gabrielli, Anna Paterno

Immigrants’ selectivity and fertility behaviours in Italy

Rita Lima

Is migration sustainable‐footprint‐living and can we make it attractive? The case of South‐ Eastern Europe

Annalisa Busetta, Daria Mendola

Ai margini dell’accoglienza: prima indagine italiana su richiedenti asilo e rifugiati che vivono in insediamenti spontanei

Patrizia Giannantoni, Eleonora Mussino

How many and when? Different approaches to study fertility of migrants in Italy

Cinzia Conti, Fabio Massimo Rottino

The new migrations: Social and demographic characteristics and behavior of asylum seekers in Italy  

E5.

Plenary session – Presentation of the new AISP Book

(h. 12:30‐14:00, room 8,

Italian

)

Chair: Salvatore Strozza

A free copy of the

Rapporto sulla Popolazione 2017

will be distributed at the end of the conference to the AISP members that have regularly paid ALL the annual fees up to 2017.  

Lunch box

(h. 14:00‐14:30, foyer)

22  

           

Sponsors and Partners

24