Research Report on CEAT Ltd.
Transcript Research Report on CEAT Ltd.
27th May 2013
1 Year TP
52 Week H/L
: Rs. 107
: Rs. 150
CEAT Ltd. (CEAT), a flagship company of the RPG
conglomerate, has been on the Indian road since 1958 and has run up
to be one of the best tyre manufacturers in the business.
: Rs. 364 Crs
: Rs. 34 Crs.
: Rs 125 /Rs 87
Shareholding Pattern (%)
This Tyre takes you to a million places
Offering the widest range of tyres to leading Original Equipment
Manufacturers (OEMs) across the world, it caters to various
segments, which includes heavy duty trucks and buses, light
commercial vehicles, earthmovers and forklifts (specialty segment),
tractors, trailers, passenger cars, motorcycles, scooters and autorickshaws.
CEAT acquired the brand name ‘CEAT’ from Italian Tyre
Manufacturer Pirelli in October 2010 for Rs. 55 Crs, which has
helped CEAT set up a robust distribution network in Latin
America and the EU, and command a premium as well. With 55%
of its revenue coming from international operations, this
acquisition is set to give the export revenues of CEAT a huge push
in the near future.
CEAT posted an exceptional performance for FY13, with
revenues rising by 8% from Rs. 4,675 crs in FY12 to Rs. 5,070 crs
in FY13. EBITDA saw a whopping 66% jump from Rs. 274 crs in
FY12 to Rs. 455 crs in FY13. PAT stood at Rs. 120 crs, a
Script Performance vs. Broader Indices
phenomenal 567% more than the PAT of Rs. 18 crs in FY12.
Recommendation: CEAT has done a turnaround with its
performance in the last 6 years. CEAT has a market cap of just Rs.
364 crs, with its top line pegged at Rs. 5,070 crs (13.9 times its
market cap). With the rubber prices falling in the last year and the
auto industry recovering, CEAT is poised to be of great value to
its investors. We recommend a ‘STRONG BUY’ on CEAT with a
1 Year Target Price of Rs. 150/share.
(Rs. In Crs.)
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (Q4FY13)
EBITDA Margin (%)
PAT Margin (%)
Eq Sh. Cap
CEAT – Company Profile
CEAT, a flagship company of the RPG Conglomerate, was first established in 1924 at Turino in
Italy and manufactured cables for telephones and railways. In 1958, CEAT came to India, and CEAT
Tyres of India Ltd was established in collaboration with the TATA Group. In 1982, the RPG Group
took over CEAT Tyres of India, and in 1990, renamed the company CEAT Ltd.
CEAT has captured over 12% of market share, manufacturing about 10 million tyres every year.
CEAT owns two bias tyres manufacturing facilities in Maharashtra (Bhandup & Nasik) and has also
set up a greenfield radial tyre manufacturing facility at Gujarat (Halol).
Q1FY13 Q2FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13
Volume (lakh MT)
Robust growth in Replacement market: More than 50% of CEAT’s revenues come from the
Replacement market, and the Replacement market has grown in the last year, which is expected to
give a boost to the company’s future earnings.
Volume growth: CEAT has seen a volume growth of 6% on a YoY basis and an 8% volume growth
on a CAGR basis from FY09 to FY13. This was mainly on account of higher growth in the OEM
segment and softening of the raw material prices, the combined effect of which led to an EBITDA
expansion for the full year.
New Product Development: CEAT has lined up a premium range of SUV radial tyres called CZAR
and a healthy pipeline of 100 plus product launches in FY14. This gives CEAT some positivity in
terms of volume growth going ahead.
Capacity Expansion: The plant in Halol has also ramped up and production is at about 80% plus
utilization at the close of the year. With an increased capacity, and new product ideas lined up, the
future growth and revenues of CEAT look quite promising.
Past Years’ Financial Performance
Eq. Sh. Cap
(in Rs. Cr.)
Past Years: CEAT has seen a complete turnaround in its performance in the last 5 years, having
improved its margins steadily and considerably in times of pressure. Revenues saw a robust growth of
19% on a CAGR basis from Rs. 2,558 crs in FY09 to Rs. 5,070 crs in FY13. EBITDA grew at a
phenomenal 72% CAGR from Rs. 52 crs in FY09 to Rs. 455 crs in FY13. PAT fluctuated
between FY09 and FY13, but the company posted an impressive PAT of Rs. 120 crs in FY13, a
difficult year for the industry.
FY2013 performance: In a year where the raw material prices played havoc with the industry, CEAT
posted an exceptional performance for FY13, with revenues rising by 8% from Rs. 4,675 crs in
FY12 to Rs. 5,070 crs in FY13. With expenses remaining more or less in line with last year,
EBITDA saw a whopping 66% jump from Rs. 274 crs in FY12 to Rs. 455 crs in FY13. PAT stood
at Rs. 120 crs, a phenomenal 567% more than the PAT of Rs. 18 crs in FY12.
Impact of raw material prices: Over 70% of CEAT’s cost is the cost of raw materials, of which
~43% is natural rubber. Natural Rubber prices in India peaked last year in April-May and SeptOct 2012 to about Rs. 200/kg, which severely hit most of the industries. CEAT made a conscious
effort to improve its EBITDA and PAT margins, which enabled it to maintain its performance
even in these times of pressure, . The raw material prices are falling now, and currently stand at Rs.
169/kg. These trends, backed by CEAT’s performance in the past, augur well for the company
(in Rs. Cr.)
Mar'13 Mar'13 Mar'13E Mar'13E
CEAT is currently trading at a very low P/E of 3.0x, which is the lowest as compared to its peers.
This indicates that CEAT has immense potential and grossly undervalued with respect to the other
firms in the industry, which makes it a very attractive investment.
CEAT is trading at a P/BV of 0.5, which yet again is one of the lowest in the industry, and compared to
its other peers, CEAT is relatively undervalued.
Higher PAT/MCAP ratio of CEAT than its peers indicates that the company is undervalued. CEAT’s
PAT/MCAP ratio is higher at 31% when compared to the other giants like Apollo and MRF.
CEAT’s EBITDA and PAT margins are slightly on the lower side due to the fluctuating raw
material prices and subdued auto demand. However, these are on an improving trend and the fact
that CEAT has shown a superb result indicates that the company can perform in times of pressure
also. This is an encouraging sign for the company in the coming times.
Touted as one of the most reputed tyre brands in the country, CEAT has done a turnaround with its
performance in the last 6 years. Armed with strong financials, CEAT has a market cap of just Rs.
364 crs, with its top line pegged at Rs. 5,070 crs (13.9 times its market cap). With the rubber prices
falling in the last year and the auto industry recovering, CEAT is poised to be of great value to its
investors. We recommend a ‘STRONG BUY’ on CEAT with a 1 Year Target Price of Rs.
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